@JenLRossman This ... kinda makes me want to re-watch
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Correct! The information asymmetry drives the whole thing. I think that's part of what makes it challenging for people (myself included) -- we're conditioned to see problems involving probabilities as involving *random* selections because that's how probability classes are taught
I've apparently gaslit myself about the monty hall problem since learning about it 10 years ago!
The entire thing hinges on the fact that he knows which door has [desired object] and he will never open that door! That's the only reason it's probabilistically best to switch
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
Discovering Elaida piece by piece was fascinating. Slipping into her lavish costumes was exhilarating, and wearing her shoes felt surprisingly comforting...
Who's ready for March 13? 😉
#TwitterOfTime
Who's ready for March 13? 😉
#TwitterOfTime
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@steren I for one have never worked in an ecosystem with good tooling?
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@ajordannafa They can't have it both ways!
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
It’s been a tough few weeks. My 10yo daughter was diagnosed with a very rare, aggressive cancer called interdigitating dendritic cell sarcoma (IDCS). I’m reaching out to identify clinicians/patients who have encountered pediatric IDCS, indeterminate dendritic cell histiocytosis iocytic sarcomas cases.
I'm trying to understand non-surgical chemo and targeted therapy options, new pathology markers to better diagnose subtypes/treatments, and any data on progression in pediatric patients. Please feel free to share – I’m trying to cast a wide net due to the rarity of this condition and how little is known.
People can contact me directly at my first name (as written in my profile) at octant.bio.
I'm trying to understand non-surgical chemo and targeted therapy options, new pathology markers to better diagnose subtypes/treatments, and any data on progression in pediatric patients. Please feel free to share – I’m trying to cast a wide net due to the rarity of this condition and how little is known.
People can contact me directly at my first name (as written in my profile) at octant.bio.
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Alternatively, maybe cap the line of credit available to people? I agree with the impulse to make it harder for people to get into trouble, but capping the interest rate seems like a crude solution
Credit card interest rates are out of control. Rates have DOUBLED in recent years. In 2022 alone, credit cards charged Americans $105 billion in interest. Today @BernieSanders and I are teaming up to introduce a 10% cap on interest rates - just like @realDonaldTrump proposed
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@AbstractFairy Makes me feel good about people
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@AbstractFairy I did this. I had a sort of epiphany in college about how it's easy to be hard on others and forgiving to yourself because of the information asymmetry, and just worked on that intuition. Assuming actively that most people are doing their imperfect best, just like me
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
Hey Microsoft please stop trying to invent God and just make Outlook search work.
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
i cant believe ChatGPT lost its job to AI
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@larsiusprime Intelligence is not actually the rate-limiting reagent.
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
At some point in the last ten years (it’s hard to tease out exactly when) we crossed a boundary that no one celebrated:
Most people diagnosed with cancer in the United States of America this year will not be killed by that cancer.
Yes, outcomes have improved.
Most people diagnosed with cancer in the United States of America this year will not be killed by that cancer.
Yes, outcomes have improved.
@esjesjesj Have cancer outcomes improved since all this money was allocated to cancer research?Community noteYes.
Childhood leukemia survival rates have increased to 90%
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC28…
cancer.org/cancer/types/l…
"Overall cancer death rates during the most recent five years (2010 to 2014) decreased by 1.8% (95% CI = –1.8% to –1.8%) per year in men by 1.4% (95% CI = –1.4% to –1.3%) per year in women."
academic.oup.com/jnci/article/1…
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@jonnym1ller Not at all. My strong prior is that this is mostly bullshit and hype.
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@littleapostate Try to resist the pressure! It's a crazy, outdated expectation.
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Saffron ☠️ Whiskeybiscuit☠️ | 🇺🇦 retweeted
Been Stanning HMC for more than half a decade now🫡
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@chrisalbon Damn this book looks like a lifesaver AND it has a cute bird
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