What to expect on Election Night: Central Count Edition

While we don't know who will win or by how much, there are some things we can easily predict about Election Night. Since the conspiracy theorists love to talk about scary Milwaukee vote dumps late at night as evidence of

VoteHub projects Cindy Holscher to win the Kansas Governor election.

The 2027 Wisconsin Supreme Court election is in 150 days. A conservative candidate still has not announced, and 150 days doesn’t really tell the story.

First of all, the stakes are not low here. A Republican activist justice is retiring and so far two progressive candidates

base? Trying and losing again or not even trying at all?

Wow, unexpected banger tweet. Just gonna say, if this is a no-conservative race analyzing the absentees will be so damn interesting

I wonder when we’ll get a Republican post-mortem. For example, they frivolously spent hundreds of millions pretending to contest safely Democratic states, like Texas, and barely invested in crucial swing states like South Carolina and Mississippi. This silliness cost them dearly

With victory in Mississippi a near lock at this point, this will absolutely go down in the history of great political ads.

youtube.com/shorts/Tv7cPgY…

When stupid people confidently tell you exactly what you want to hear, you should be skeptical

Shoutout to @ChazNuttycombe and the @StateNavigate team for incredible performances last year and this year. They followed the data where it led

I need to say something.

In 2022, during Biden's midterm, Minnesota and Michigan elected Dem trifectas to join Illinois' Dem trifecta. The upper Midwest was united. WI's Gov. Tony Evers was re-elected, but the Republicans kept both houses of the Legislature.

WI Republicans claim that WI voters were different, their candidates were different, their campaigns were different, Dem candidates were different (weaker).

But that was a lie. What was different is that Minnesota had fair maps. Michigan's voters had given them fair maps. And Wisconsin's maps were still rigged.

This week's elections were clear proof of this. Again, in a mid-term election, Dems won trifectas in Minnesota, Michigan, and Illinois. The Dem candidate for governor in Wisconsin won. But this time, because we have fairer maps, Dems in Wisconsin won the trifecta too.

We would have done so in 2018 under fair maps. Indisputably. Dems probably would have won legislative majorities in 2012 and 2020. We would have had a much narrower Republican majority after the 2016 election.

Rigged maps ruined Wisconsin for a generation.

Now, in Minnesota and Michigan, Republicans won a bunch of seats back in 2024. That might happen again in those two states in 2028, and in Wisconsin. Although, I think people will want to finally turn the page on Trump and I think 2028 will be a good Dem year. We'll see.

But if Republicans win under fairer maps, that's okay. Because as much as I'm a partisan Dem, I'm an American first. We have to win elections to earn the right to exercise power.

All I'm saying is Tuesday was final proof that the Republicans rigged the maps in 2011/2012, they kept it rigged through an incredibly activist court ruling called "least change," and now that we have finally won a fair court, and we have fairer maps, we can actually have a little more actual democracy in Wisconsin.

Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk.