Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Great detail here from @ShMMor . If the polls are right, it’s the biggest swing against an incumbent since 2009 (when Bibi returned to power.)
Spoke to @mattfrei of @Channel4News about the upcoming election. channel4.com/news/benjamin-…
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ובכן, רק הייתי צריך לחכות יומיים.
שבוע לפני הבחירות ב־1999, 2006, 2015, נתניהו כבר התנהג כמי שיודע שהוא עומד להפסיד (וטעה ב־2015 אבל זה סיפור אחר).

ב־2026 קצת פחות. מה קורה כאן בעצם?
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מזכיר שמעבר של 5-10 מנדטים גוש לגוש (בד״כ מקואליציה מכהנת לאופוזיציה) היה פעם תופעה סטנדרטית בכל מערכת בחירות משנות ה־1970 עד 2009. והמעבר שבא לידי ביטוי בבחירות 2009 כבר התרחש בדעת הקהל לפחות שנתיים קודם לכן. כך גם המעבר שנראה ביום שלישי קרה גם הוא למעשה כבר לפני שלוש שנים.
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באופן מפתיע הקטע הזה שמעלים תמונה של השדרה שמובילה לביקורת גבולות בנתב״ג עכשיו בימים לפני הבחירות דווקא מרגש אותי מאוד.
🛬🇮🇱🗳️
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It is likely that in 2027 general elections will plunge both France and Germany into states of ungovernability. Which is depressing for me as a political scientist, since France has a terrible electoral system and Germany has an excellent one, and it apparently won't matter.
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שבוע לפני הבחירות ב־1999, 2006, 2015, נתניהו כבר התנהג כמי שיודע שהוא עומד להפסיד (וטעה ב־2015 אבל זה סיפור אחר).

ב־2026 קצת פחות. מה קורה כאן בעצם?
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הנושא השלישי מיותר ויבזבז זמן יקר והנושא הראשון לא צריך לחכות להרכבת ממשלה אלא לעלות בכנסת גם בלי ממשלה יחד עם ביטול חוק היועמ״ש, ביטול חוק התקשורת, ביטול חוק ועדת שופטים, ביטול חוק יסוד:לימוד תורה, וביטול חוק בתי הדין הרבנים.

הנושא השני באמת חייב לחכות להקמת ממשלה. בסדר גמור.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Replying to @trashavocado
@trashavocado I did not.
@elderofziyon As if you don't know where this is going. The next terms to be watered down to meaninglessness so that they can be thrown at the Jewish state are "genocide" within five years and "holocaust" within at most ten.
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Wrote this three years ago during the week that everyone now claims to remember as one where they were all showing solidarity with Israel.

Was I wrong?
Human rights groups are getting ready to castigate Israel for occupying a territority they falsely claimed it already occupied, enforcing a siege on a territory they falsely claimed was under siege, and creating refugees of people they falsely claimed were already refugees.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Si vous n’avez pas lu c’est article phénoménal de @ShMMor sur le désastre palestinien et la guerre, et notre rôle dans tout ça, c’est le moment. Il est encore en accès libre pour quelques jours.
Today the paywall was lifted (temporarily?) on my article from three years ago “Ecstasy and Amnesia in the Gaza Strip.” It was my attempt in the first weeks after October 7 to understand a current event as a historical one. ideas.tikvah.org/mosaic/essays/…
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Einer der wahrscheinlich besten Texte zum Verständnis des israelisch-palästinensischen Konfliktes.
Today the paywall was lifted (temporarily?) on my article from three years ago “Ecstasy and Amnesia in the Gaza Strip.” It was my attempt in the first weeks after October 7 to understand a current event as a historical one. ideas.tikvah.org/mosaic/essays/…
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RT @laderafrutal: Yes. It is, and should still be mandatory reading for anyone even trying to grasp the conflict rationally.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
A prophetic essay, written in the very first shock. Don't miss the opportunity to read unpaywalled.
Today the paywall was lifted (temporarily?) on my article from three years ago “Ecstasy and Amnesia in the Gaza Strip.” It was my attempt in the first weeks after October 7 to understand a current event as a historical one. ideas.tikvah.org/mosaic/essays/…
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Replying to @ShMMor
The single deadliest day of the war, of course, was October 7, 2023. About 1200 Israelis were killed in the invasion and massacre. 1600 of the Palestinian invaders were killed in Israel, and 200 more Palestinians were killed in Israeli airstrikes in Gaza.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Replying to @TVietor08
@TVietor08 A fucking moron figures out how to identify a fucking moron without realizing it makes him and all the people he has promoted in the last three years fucking morons. Because he's a — well, you get it.
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Still so very true. x.com/ShMMor/status/…
The American Jewish political discussion exists in a parallel universe where there was no Corbyn, no Gomułka, no Lueger.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Read. One of the best essays on the topic.
Today the paywall was lifted (temporarily?) on my article from three years ago “Ecstasy and Amnesia in the Gaza Strip.” It was my attempt in the first weeks after October 7 to understand a current event as a historical one. ideas.tikvah.org/mosaic/essays/…
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Replying to @acandidworld
@acandidworld Worth keeping this in mind in our assessment of all the contemporaneous "Ceasefire Now" and "Eyes on Rafah" campaigns.
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Shany Mor שני מור شني مور retweeted
Replying to @speechboy71
@speechboy71 The "cause" doesn't exist without murderous antisemitism because its goal is antisemitic murder and its only means of mobilization is antisemitic hysteria. This isn't some tactical mistake.

Here is what I wrote a week after the massacre. medium.com/@shanymor/mayb…
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