Both sides are motivated. But the numbers tell a bigger story.
Our latest polling shows 82% of Democratic voters and 76% of Republican voters rate their motivation to vote at a perfect 10 out of 10.
But here’s where it gets interesting.
Democrats hold a 13-point lead among e most motivated voters, that lead grows to 18 points.
Enthusiasm is high on both sides. The question is whether that motivation translates into votes on Election Day.
The data tells us who’s motivated. Turnout will tell us what it means.
#CornellConnects #CornellBelcher #Midterms2026 #PollingData #VoterTurnout
Our latest polling shows 82% of Democratic voters and 76% of Republican voters rate their motivation to vote at a perfect 10 out of 10.
But here’s where it gets interesting.
Democrats hold a 13-point lead among e most motivated voters, that lead grows to 18 points.
Enthusiasm is high on both sides. The question is whether that motivation translates into votes on Election Day.
The data tells us who’s motivated. Turnout will tell us what it means.
#CornellConnects #CornellBelcher #Midterms2026 #PollingData #VoterTurnout
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Yes and thank you. And could you say it louder for those so-called strategist in the back
I hear Dem operatives going on about how kitchen table issues matter. They do. But why the huge and disproportionate surge in black and Latino turnout? Surely it has to do with assaults on civil rights and immigrants. Democracy may not matter much to Dem operatives; it matters to lots of Dem voters.
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Politics 101: if you’re explaining you’re losing
With 3 days left to #ElectionDay, here’s part of the closing argument from @RogerMarshallMD.
#kansassenate
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
Claiming one group is unfairly hurt by civil rights is an old divide-and-conquer tactic. Our #2026CivilRightsMonitor poll shows it isn’t working: our communities are aligned, and attacks on one strengthen our unity.
@mayawiley and @cornellbelcher:
@mayawiley and @cornellbelcher:
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
This is the single most unproductive, selfish thing a Democratic candidate has done all cycle and likely many cycles before that.
Having misjudged candidates in the past myself, I hope everyone who tried to recruit, support, and defend Haley can now admit what a mistake it was.
Having misjudged candidates in the past myself, I hope everyone who tried to recruit, support, and defend Haley can now admit what a mistake it was.
Stevens says she’s for investing in Black owned businesses. “And that’s the policy that Mike’s going to take on,” Stevens says.
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
What would it take for America to be exceptionally moral?
@mayawiley and @cornellbelcher on what five years of polling shows: most of us already share the values. Now we must make our voices heard on Election Day. #2026CivilRightsMonitor
@mayawiley and @cornellbelcher on what five years of polling shows: most of us already share the values. Now we must make our voices heard on Election Day. #2026CivilRightsMonitor
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While I’m excited to see so many Americans surging to their polling places to cast their ballots these long lines are both a testament to the civic values of Americans & an indictment of our voting infrastructure. NO American should have to wait in long lines for hours to simply exercise their RIGHT to vote. We can and we must do better. We have the ability to make voting easier, I hope the Dem House will work as hard at making it easier to vote as the GOP has at making it harder
This is the line outside the Hinds County courthouse an hour and a half before last minute absentee voting ends.
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There are far more values that unite the vast majority of Americans then divide us. Please check out our @mayawiley op-ed about what’s important to a cross-section of voters on the left and right amny.com/opinion/what-v…
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I say & I say agin - polls aren't crystal balls. They aren’t predictors they are instructors. In campaigns we don't poll to find out who's winning; we poll to figure out how to win. Because someone has a lead doesn’t mean they will win. Media has to do a better job of explaining so wd” doesn’t win you accuse the poll of being wrong. Six days out, the better question isn't "who's up?" It's "who's still undecided, and what are their issues.
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Facts. However that truth is uncomfortable so malpractice there will be.
Whatever happens, I want to plead with media, pundits, and strategists gaming 2028 not to simply look at Michigan results through standard Right vs Left / Left vs Center paradigms. If you asses this race and don’t account for the unrelenting racism, you’re engaged in malpractice
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
18 years ago Jay-Z became the first rapper to headline Glastonbury & trolled Oasis when they said rap had no place there. He came on stage playing their song Wonderwall & then flipped it into 99 Problems and destroyed the stage 😭
JAY-Z has four #1 hits on the Billboard Hot 100
- Umbrella (with Rihanna)
- Empire State Of Mind (with Alicia Keys)
- Crazy In Love (with Beyoncé)
- Heartbreaker (with Mariah Carey)
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I think the kids referred to this as “playing in your face“
Trump's affordability message: "You could even come to Mar-a-Lago. You'll be my guest. The problem is that for $5,000 the most you'll be able to buy is a hamburger and maybe a small dessert. I'm not even sure you could buy that! No, don't go there. It's not a good place if you're price conscious."
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
Black voters are turning out in huge numbers in NC. Interestingly, the biggest increases in turnout are coming from younger voters.
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I have to keep saying this, no offense, but again - just because a candidate has a lead in a poll doesn’t mean they are going to win. If you’re under 51%, the lead is nice but not determinative. The candidate in the lead with 48% has the undecideds break against them and loses and all of a sudden we scream the polls are wrong!!! 😮💨 🤦🏾♂️
Here's what the Senate map will look like if polls are exactly correct, versus what Dems could get with a historically normal shift in the race over the next 2.5 weeks + polling error favoring either Reps or Dems:
gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-10-16-s…
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Cornell Belcher retweeted
She’s the poster child for why DEI policies will eventually be reinstated
Unfortunately, w/o DEI in place as a moral & legal guideline, quite a few 🇺🇸 white people will only hire other white people even if that white person is wholly incompetent & unqualified for the job
Unfortunately, w/o DEI in place as a moral & legal guideline, quite a few 🇺🇸 white people will only hire other white people even if that white person is wholly incompetent & unqualified for the job
Incredible first day for new White House press secretary Katie Zacharia
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The level of corruption, lies, incompetence and just yuck is mind-boggling. Not serious people (Logan Roy voice).
There’s no evidence that White House press secretary Katie Zacharia practiced law in the U.S.
Several experts said that if a person is not a licensed lawyer but is identifying as one, that presents serious ethical and legal problems. wapo.st/4ikpoPi
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