Pinned Tweet
After nearly a decade of work on the Russia-Iran relationship, I wrote a book about it.
hurstpublishers.com/book/russia-an…
hurstpublishers.com/book/russia-an…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
One French official warned that it would be possible to attack a Russian target with a conventional weapon but “get a nuclear response”. He added: “If the Russians don’t get the signal right you could get to the nuclear threshold without realising.”
ft.com/content/7f61b5…
ft.com/content/7f61b5…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
“ U.S. intelligence indicates that Iran’s hard-line leadership is determined to hold on to power at nearly any cost, according to two officials with direct knowledge of the information, which suggests economic pain alone may not lead to regime change.” nytimes.com/2026/11/10/us/…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Fascinating read on French concerns about Germany's acquisition of deep precision strike capabilities.
ft.com/content/7f61b5…
ft.com/content/7f61b5…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
New Iranian cruise missile design, potentially a further development of the Paveh.
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Geolocation of the alleged Houthi solid-propellant rocket motor production site struck by Saudi Arabia (15.3430° 44.1375°)
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Nous avons le plaisir d’annoncer que Thierry Balzacq a été nommé directeur du Centre for Global Security and Governance de Sciences Po.
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
More evidence that the era of sanctuary for US forward bases is over, and with it the assumption of the last 30+ years that the US can project military power at will globally wsj.com/world/middle-e…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
The U.S. evacuated American aircraft from a Royal Air Force base in England on Monday in the wake of a threat from Iran.
The precise nature of the threat to RAF Mildenhall—whether imminent or more general—remains under discussion among U.S. officials.
The precise nature of the threat to RAF Mildenhall—whether imminent or more general—remains under discussion among U.S. officials.
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
A second convoy of three Russian cargo vessels known to be involved in shipping weapons and military goods sailed from Baltiysk, Kaliningrad on November 5. Maia-1 (IMO 9358010), Lady R (IMO 9161003) and Lady D (IMO 9349289), all Russia-flagged, appear to be following Anastasiia on (IMO 9198226), which sailed through the English Channel on November 4.
All of the ships have long histories supplying weapons, military equipment and dual use goods to and from Russian Baltic ports. All five are sanctioned by the U.S., UK or EU, or a combination of them. In the past 180 days, vessel tracking shows the three ships made port calls in China, in addition to extended dark periods that likely masked port calls in Iran and Syria.
Analysis from Windward’s Maritime Intelligence Operations Center. okt.to/eVzKH3
All of the ships have long histories supplying weapons, military equipment and dual use goods to and from Russian Baltic ports. All five are sanctioned by the U.S., UK or EU, or a combination of them. In the past 180 days, vessel tracking shows the three ships made port calls in China, in addition to extended dark periods that likely masked port calls in Iran and Syria.
Analysis from Windward’s Maritime Intelligence Operations Center. okt.to/eVzKH3
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Iran's position is that the US must return to the June MOU, and that in response Iran will allow the strait to reopen and consent to resume nuclear negotiations.
The US has been pushing for Iran to make nuclear concession up front. Iran has refused.
It is not clear which part of this position Rubio finds "ridiculous." But that is the position.
The US has been pushing for Iran to make nuclear concession up front. Iran has refused.
It is not clear which part of this position Rubio finds "ridiculous." But that is the position.
Rubio:
"The President would always prefer to solve this and every problem diplomatically. Sometimes that's not possible, unfortunately...Right now it hasn’t been productive because the Iranian demands are simply not just unacceptable, but in some cases, outrageous and ridiculous, and really not realistic."
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
🇷🇺 🇮🇷 Start the week catching up on @ForeignAffairs: see the review of ‘Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine’ by @NicoleGrajewski highlighted in this week’s newsletter.
As trilateral talks between Trump/Putin/Xi are expected to encompass the war in Iran at mmit, the question of the Russia/Iran relationship is once again in the headlines.
‘Grajewski, an international relations scholar, offers a relentlessly detailed account of the recent rapprochement between Russia and Iran.’ @ForeignAffairs
Read an excerpt & purchase at 25% discount w/code RUSSIAIRAN25 ➡️ tinyurl.com/mtnsrhzv
As trilateral talks between Trump/Putin/Xi are expected to encompass the war in Iran at mmit, the question of the Russia/Iran relationship is once again in the headlines.
‘Grajewski, an international relations scholar, offers a relentlessly detailed account of the recent rapprochement between Russia and Iran.’ @ForeignAffairs
Read an excerpt & purchase at 25% discount w/code RUSSIAIRAN25 ➡️ tinyurl.com/mtnsrhzv
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Anonymous has hacked Chargameh Bar, a partner of the sanctioned-IRISL. The documents allegedly show the deeper involvement of MODAFL and IRGC in Caspian shipping.
Chargameh Bar was HACKED!
They thought they could operate quietly, hide behind paperwork and keep their business out of the public eye. Well, someone forgot to tell them we are coming.
We #hacked Chargameh Bar, we have been looking into the company darkest secrets, its ions to Iranian MODAFL and IRGC, and the people behind the operation.
Apparently, those "empty containers" have quite a story to tell.
Everyone should know by now, the Caspian is not safe for anyone who works with the Russians.
Let this #operation be another reminder to that.
Rosoboronexport, NMZ Iskra, Arzamas plant, JSC Isotope, Almaz-Antey and this is just the beginning of the list of their closest friends.
We invite everyone to look through our database, investigate it, keep exposing and sharing this information. The world deserve to know!
We do not forgive, We do not forget. EXPECT US!
mega.nz/file/HsAzhS6S#…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Chargameh Bar was HACKED!
They thought they could operate quietly, hide behind paperwork and keep their business out of the public eye. Well, someone forgot to tell them we are coming.
We #hacked Chargameh Bar, we have been looking into the company darkest secrets, its ions to Iranian MODAFL and IRGC, and the people behind the operation.
Apparently, those "empty containers" have quite a story to tell.
Everyone should know by now, the Caspian is not safe for anyone who works with the Russians.
Let this #operation be another reminder to that.
Rosoboronexport, NMZ Iskra, Arzamas plant, JSC Isotope, Almaz-Antey and this is just the beginning of the list of their closest friends.
We invite everyone to look through our database, investigate it, keep exposing and sharing this information. The world deserve to know!
We do not forgive, We do not forget. EXPECT US!
mega.nz/file/HsAzhS6S#…
They thought they could operate quietly, hide behind paperwork and keep their business out of the public eye. Well, someone forgot to tell them we are coming.
We #hacked Chargameh Bar, we have been looking into the company darkest secrets, its ions to Iranian MODAFL and IRGC, and the people behind the operation.
Apparently, those "empty containers" have quite a story to tell.
Everyone should know by now, the Caspian is not safe for anyone who works with the Russians.
Let this #operation be another reminder to that.
Rosoboronexport, NMZ Iskra, Arzamas plant, JSC Isotope, Almaz-Antey and this is just the beginning of the list of their closest friends.
We invite everyone to look through our database, investigate it, keep exposing and sharing this information. The world deserve to know!
We do not forgive, We do not forget. EXPECT US!
mega.nz/file/HsAzhS6S#…
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
Trump spoke to the Qatari emir on Friday; an Iranian delegation was in Doha today.
While Rubio's remarks tonight--noting that a breakthrough appears unlikely due to Iran's "ridiculous" demands--do not convey optimism, mediation efforts continue.
While Rubio's remarks tonight--noting that a breakthrough appears unlikely due to Iran's "ridiculous" demands--do not convey optimism, mediation efforts continue.
Trump meeting Qatar PM in the Oval Office tomorrow, per White House. Movement on Iran?
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
An uptick in U.S. military transport flights to Diego Garcia has been observed over the past few days, with two flights in particular catching my attention.
✈️ 95-0104 — Fort Bragg → Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia → Al Minhad Air Base, UAE → Dubai → Diego Garcia.
✈️ se, Okinawa, Japan → Diego Garcia.
Both Fort Bragg and Kadena are associated with US Patriot air defense systems, among other assets.
Could Washington be preparing Diego Garcia to host a potential deployment of USAF strategic bombers, B-1B or B-2?
✈️ 95-0104 — Fort Bragg → Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia → Al Minhad Air Base, UAE → Dubai → Diego Garcia.
✈️ se, Okinawa, Japan → Diego Garcia.
Both Fort Bragg and Kadena are associated with US Patriot air defense systems, among other assets.
Could Washington be preparing Diego Garcia to host a potential deployment of USAF strategic bombers, B-1B or B-2?
🇺🇸🇸🇦🇦🇪🇩🇯 Multiple U.S. Air Force C-17A Globemaster III heavy transport flights arriving in the Middle East in recent hours originated from Fort Bragg, home to the 82nd Airborne Div., FORSCOM, USASOC, 1st SFC (A), and JSOC.
• 94-0067: Al Minhad AB, UAE, then onward to Camp 95-0104: Prince Sultan AB, KSA
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
UPDATE: Initial reports of a US airstrike on an Iranian air defence site in Nariman, Qeshm Island.
Explosions also heard in Bandar Abbas, southern Iran.
Contributed by: @BeamTracker_
Explosions also heard in Bandar Abbas, southern Iran.
Contributed by: @BeamTracker_
IRAN: 4 explosions reported at Bahman Port on Qeshm Island. Cause unknown.
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
IRGC claims to have hit three ships in the last 24 hours.
UKMTO reporting two attacks. One ship on fire. Videos circulating online/satellite imagery confirms it.
UKMTO reporting two attacks. One ship on fire. Videos circulating online/satellite imagery confirms it.
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Nicole Grajewski retweeted
"Aircrews found the airspace and timing were often too tight for APKWS employment in the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf, so they have ended up relying on AIM-9s. But defensive counterair for base defense has featured APKWS." airandspaceforces.com/article/world-…
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