🎯 Mark your calendars: TOMORROW at 2pm ET, the Cook Political Report team goes live to talk about everything we're watching on Election Night. And we'll answer your questions.

👋 Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…

👋 Watch on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/42…

🎯 Mark your calendars: This Monday, the Cook Political Report team goes live to talk about everything we're watching on Election Night. And we'll answer your questions.

👋 Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…

👋 Watch on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/42…

The Cook Political Report is issuing our closing analysis of the battle for the Senate. We are keeping our latest range unchanged — we expect Democrats to pick up between two and six seats.

We’re now projecting Democrats will flip 12 to 25 seats, giving them as many as 240 seats in the House.

2026 is the 'Back to the Future' midterms, says @Redistrict.

Today, we moved another 19 House races in Democrats’ direction. Following this latest round of ratings changes, Democrats now are favored outright in the 218 seats they need to win control of the House.

Democratic Senate candidates narrowly lead their GOP opponents in three red states critical to control of the U.S. Senate: Ohio, Texas and Iowa. The Democratic candidates for governor lead in two out of three of these states.

Republican advertisers have outspent Democrats by nearly $300M across the eight Senate races we currently rate as Toss Up or Lean.

Learn more about each competitive Senate race from @AdImpact_Pol's new report: adimpact.com/fight-for-cong…

A new report from @AdImpact_Pol breaks down congressional ad spending and messaging trends.

Democrats hold a slight aired ad spending advantage across the 21 House races we currently rate as Toss Up. Here's how spending breaks down across all our House ratings:

Today, the Cook Political Report is moving four governors' races, all in Democrats' direction.

• Alaska: Toss Up to Lean Democrat
• Oklahoma, Nebraska and Vermont: Solid Republican to Likely Republican

👉 NEW Editors Roundtable with @ercovey and Carrie Dann. They walk through our new round of House race rating changes and give an update on our latest range of how many possible seats Democrats could pick up.

The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up nine to 19 seats. That would give them 224 seats on the lower end and 234 on the upper end.

This week, we shifted three Senate races in the direction of Democrats. Here's where's our current ratings stand.

We are revising our estimate of potential Senate pickups to two to six seats for Democrats — squarely within the range of the four seats they need to net for a majority.

👉 NEW Editors Roundtable podcast with @amyewalter and Carrie Dann. AI data centers were not on our bingo card at the start of the year. But just a few weeks out from Election Day, voters have very strong feelings on the topic.

We have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican:

• Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R)
• Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)

🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @JessicaTaylor
and @ercovey on our current thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.

🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @ercovey and @JessicaTaylor on our thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.

NEW Odd Years pod: @amyewalter talks with @cspan's @SamFeistDC about their new project covering downballot candidates and the role of C-SPAN at a time of changing consumer habits and media upheaval.

The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.

This week, we shifted three Senate races in the direction of Democrats.

Here's where's our current ratings stand.

The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.

With just under six weeks until Election Day, the Cook Political Report released our range of possible Senate outcomes.

At 2 PM ET, join @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann as they go live to answer your questions about the midterms and our latest polling projects.

Tune in on Substack (open.substack.com/live-stream/36…) or YouTube (youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…)

🎯 TOMORROW at 2pm ET. Join @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann as they discuss our latest polling projects, their midterm outlook and answer your questions.

👉 Watch on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/36…

👉Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…

🎧 Hispanics in Texas Swung Hard Toward Trump in 2024. They Are Abandoning Him in 2026.

Listen to our latest Editors Roundtable pod with @amyewalter, @ercovey and Carrie Dann.

👋 It's the last day to buy your Election Pass! Don't miss out on The Cook Political Report's midterm analysis.

Learn more here: cookpolitical.com/subscribe

A new survey of Texas Hispanic likely voters, conducted for The Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision, finds President Donald Trump’s job approval rating in the state has sunk to just 33% with a demographic group that swung hard in his direction in 2024.

📺 Watch on YouTube.

youtube.com/watch?v=6gwAmd…

👏 NEW Odd Years pod! @SarahLongwell25 - founder of the @BulwarkOnline - talks to @amyewalter about what she thinks Democrats should borrow from Trump. Sarah's new book is "How to Eat An Elephant."

Here is where our CPR 2026 Senate Race Ratings sit today:

🎧 NEW Editors Roundtable: Is the Senate map really still expanding? @amyewalter asks @JessicaTaylor for a reality check.

What issues did we hear about most in campaign ads that aired during the primaries? For Democratic candidates, a top one was ICE and immigration.

👉@amyewalter and Carrie Dann discuss what we've learned from our Battleground Issue Tracker - powered by @AdImpact_Pol.

Yesterday, we moved the Florida governor's race from Solid Republican to Likely Republican.

The Cook Political Report is changing its ratings in three more House races, each in the direction of Democrats.

-> FL-14 and MI-10: Lean R to Toss Up
-> MI-08: Lean D to Likely D

We tracked every ad in competitive primaries. Here's what worked. Listen to @amyewalter and Carrie Dann discuss what we've learned from our Battleground Issue Tracker - powered by @AdImpact_Pol.

🎧 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/we-…

Yesterday, we shifted the Iowa and Texas Senate races to the Toss Up column.

Here is where our 2026 ratings sit today:

Today we are shifting 4 key statewide race ratings:
#TXSEN: Lean R → Toss Up
#IASEN: Lean R → Toss Up
#TXGOV: Solid R → Likely R
#IAGOV: Toss Up → Lean D

🎧NEW Odd Years pod! The real threats to voting this November might not be what you think. @amyewalter talks with @baseballot for our latest episode.

👉Listen wherever you get your podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…

NEW Editors Roundtable pod: Are Democrats blowing their chance to take back the Senate? Listen to our latest episode with @amyewalter, @JessicaTaylor and Carrie Dann.

🎧 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/are…

The Cook Political Report has updated its Partisan Voter Index (PVI) scores for all ten states that redrew their lines for 2026. And although 80% of states didn’t redistrict, the shift is still dramatic.

Read the full report from @Redistrict: cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/intro…

NEW Editors Roundtable pod! @Redistrict explains the redistricting "doomloop" and what our new Cook PVI for the ten states that redistricted this year means for House control.

👉Listen on Substack:
thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/dave-wasserm…

NEW Editors Roundtable pod! @Redistrict explains the redistricting "doomloop" and what our new Cook PVI for the ten states that redistricted this year means for House control.

👉Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/dave-wasserm…

The Cook Political Report has updated its Partisan Voter Index (PVI) scores for all ten states that redrew their lines for 2026. And although 80% of states didn’t redistrict, the shift is still dramatic.

Read the full report from @Redistrict: cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/intro…

Read more from @amyewalter here:
cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…

The Cook Political Report has updated its Partisan Voter Index (PVI) scores for all ten states that redrew their lines for 2026. And although 80% of states didn’t redistrict, the shift is still dramatic.

Read the full report from @Redistrict: cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/intro…

And don't miss our Cook PVI℠ explainer from @Redistrict:

youtube.com/watch?v=u6DMMI…

🎧 NEW pod! An update on the Maine, Michigan and South Carolina Senate races from @amyewalter and @JessicaTaylor.

👉Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/maine-michig…

🎯 Join @amyewalter and @JessicaTaylor TODAY at 2pm to hear them talk about the shake-up in the Maine Senate race. And they'll answer your questions.

👉Tune in on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/28…