TAUNTING penalties are ridiculous. This is nothing, a flex by Puka Nacua after a catch. @NFLOfficiating need to scrap taunting & unsportsmanlike conduct immediately. Too much impact on games for a harmless celebration #LARvsPHI #RamsHouse

#CARvsGB officiating crew cheat sheet

HOME teams are 44-69-5 ATS (39%) in referee Scott Novak's career

HOME teams are 1-6 SU & 0-5-2 ATS w' Novak in 2026

However, the #Packers are 7-2 SU & 4-3-2 ATS all time w' Novak, including a 3-1 SU/ATS record at Lambeau Field

Novak No.1 penen Bay & Carolina rank No.1 & No.4 respectively in penalty per game avg

@Packers & @Panthers both TOP TEN penalized teams for PRE-SNAP infractions

Novak No.1 for OFFENSIVE HOLDING & top 5 for FALSE START

The #Panthers have struggled w' OFF-HOLD, as have GB. But the Packers issues in this category have been on the road, they are much better at home

GB No.1 for ROUGHING THE PASSER & Carolina co-rank as the second highest penalized team in this category but the Panthers also rank second overall as a BENEFICIARY of these calls, whereas GB ranks last

UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS gets called at a higher rate on PRIMETIME

Novak's crew LEAD the #NFL in this category

I detailed some of the historically high AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via penalty w' GB in 2026 earlier in the week

Novak's crew calling an above avg rate of penalties in this category, primarily via the aforementioned unn-roughness

Those are some key points & I could add more but want to keep it brief

Clearly, discipline will be paramount when navigating this crew & whoever is less penalized has an advantage

The Panthers are a roller-coaster team w' no consistency. Off that embarrassing performance Sunday they likely bounce back here

GB is seemingly in a down to the wire game each week & they have had some terrible officiating go against them late in games

Ultimately, its in the leagues & #TNFonPrime interests for these games to be close late & 6 of the 7 games officiated by Novak in 2026 have been one possession contests

This feels no different, so a lean to Panthers +3.5 pts in a higher scoring 27-24 type contest

#KeepPounding #GoPackGo

Week 8 #NFL referee assignments
#CARvsGB - Scott Novak
#BALvsBUF - Clay Martin
#MINvsDET - Craig Wrolstad
#TENvsCIN - Brad Allen
#INDvsJAX - Adrian Hill
#AZvsDAL - Ron Torbert
#CLEvsPIT - Alex Kemp
#LVvsNYJ - John Hussey
#ATLvsTB - Alan Eck
#KCvsDEN - Clete Blakeman s
#NEvsMIA - Shawn Hochuli
#PHIvsWAS - Alex Moore
#CHIvsSEA - Shawn Smith

Green Bay Packers 2026 penalty numbers, specifically on all-important THIRD DOWN plays & in the FOURTH QTR of games

The #Packers lead the #NFL#NFL4TH qtr penalty per game avg, recording historically high numbers in this category

Compounding that, the @packers have off-endering AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via penalty on THIRD DOWN plays (& primarily in the 4th qtr)

None of this is news to Green Bay players/coaches or fans

Three games in particular this season (@Vikings @Lions & vs Cowboys) were beyond ridiculous w' officiating in the 4th qtr of those contests

There are many numbers I can detail going back two decades but ill use 2021/2025 five-yr data as comparison to highlight the statistical improbablity of the 2026 stats

Green Bay is surrendering 1.71 AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS per game on THIRD DOWN

To put that in perspective, over the past 5 seasons the next highest avg in this category is the 2023 Titans (0.94 per game) & the 2021 #Bills at 0.89 per game

GB is averaging almost DOUBLE per game of the next highest penalized team over past 5 seasons in this category

In the FOURTH QTR, Green Bay is surrendering 1.29 AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via penalty in 2026

The next closest to that the past five seasons is the 2024 Commanders at 0.90 per 4th qtr

The bulk of Packers ROUGHING THE PASSER & UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS & ILLEGAL CONTACT penalties have occurred in the 4th qtr (see clip #GBvsMIN Week 1 w' Shawn Hochuli)

For the record im not a Packers fan, just someone that studies data

But I watch every game & the officiating in some GB contests this season has been diabolical late

The general response is "just play better" so a bad call or calls have no impact on the final outcome

That sounds great & im sure every team would love to be ahead 50-0 in the 4th so an atrocious UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS penalty has zero impact

But the fact is most games come down to the final 10 mins & if you're on the wrong end of bad calls in the 4th qtr & particularly on 3rd down, its near impossible to overcome

Its up to Matt LaFleur & Packers hierarchy to inform @NFLOfficiating & start calling out the one-sided numbers

The positive would be these numbers can't continue indefinitely & GB does have 6 more games at Lambeau Field, where they historically have received better treatment

#GoPackGo

Lions win. Whole lotta shady calls both ways. Dan Campbell is an idiot, and got away with it. Cut Trey Smack. Just because he was a 6th round pick, who cares? If he was an UDFA you would cut him. Get a vet in without the fucking yips.

Alex Moore's crew No.1 in 2025 for ROUGHING THE PASSER + top 3 in 2026

Ridiculously weak call here but theyre doing what @NFLOfficiating & #NFL instruct them to do

Very frustrating for #Packers today

#Onepride #GoPackGo

Praying for Marshall Faulk.

Joe Gibbs went 2-0 last week betting off the officials

This week Alex Moore has Packers-Lions

His crew ranks 2nd in penalties per game, and Green Bay is the most penalized road team in the NFL

Every Week 7 crew plus @nflrefstats1's picks:
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#KCvsSEA officiating crew cheat sheet

HOME teams are an #NFL best 100-63-5 ATS (62%) w' referee John Hussey over the last decade

FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS w' Hussey in 2026

The #Chiefs are 9-4 w' Hussey in the Mahomes era. However, the bulk of those games (9) were at Arrofour ROAD games, KC was just 1-3 w' Hussey, most recently their controversial Thanksgiving loss at Dallas in November, 2025

KC currently rank a top 10 penalized ROAD team & Seattle a top 10 penalized HOME team

Hussey's crew are a top five enforcer of FALSE STARTS

The #Chiefs rank as the LEAST penalized team for FALSE START penalties

The #Seahawks rank as a top 10 home team generating FALSE START & PRE-SNAP infractions on opposing offenses, continuing a trend dating back to the Legion of Boom era

The impact of the 12's has always contributed to elevated offensive pre-snap infractions on visiting teams but the Chiefs offense is better equipped than most to navigate the noise at Lumen Field

The Chiefs offense is one of the LEAST penalized in 2026, whereas the Seahawks avg almost DOUBLE the offensive penalties per game as KC

The departure of Klint Kubiak has has a major (negative) impact of this offense & inflated penalties in 2026 vs their excellent 2025 numbers are another example of that

KC & Seattle rank as top 10 penalized teams for UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS. That penalty has been called at a higher rate in 2026 & particularly on PRIMETIME games

On the topic of discipline, Hussey's crew have called a disproportionately high percentage of TAUNTING & UNSPORTSMANLIKE CONDUCT penalties this decade , & both teams should take note Sunday night w' these guys in charge

Hussey's crew rank top 5 awarding AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty, primarily via DEFENSIVE PASS INTERFERENCE & ILLEGAL CONTACT penalties , categories they rank second overall in per game

Those are some key points for this game

SNF gives us the Super Bowl champs vs an undefeated @Chiefs who have reestablished themselves as the team to beat in 2026

The Kenneth Walker return adds additional intrigue to the match-up

It dosent get any better than this IMO.

Seattle needs this game like blood

I have major concerns about their offense but will give them the benefit of doubt they can fix some issues during the mini bye week & extra prep time

I like the under in this game & if Seattle doesn't get a win here thats 3 straight losses & the season begins to unravel

I lean to Seattle at home & we'll find out if this team still has the championship pedigree vs a Chiefs team thats been the standard for excellence this decade on @SNFonNBC

#GoHawks #ChiefsKingdom

#GBvsDET officiating crew cheat sheet

HOME teams are 0-5 SU & ATS w' referee Alex Moore in 2026

Thats a total 180 from his first season in 2025, when home teams were 10-6 SU & ATS

This will be he #Lions f#Lionsame w' Alex Moore

GB has one game w' this crew (27-23 WIN @AZCardie's crew rank second in penalty per game avg

A lot to unpack w' these guys so I'll focus on some key points

They rank No.2 for OFFENSIVE HOLDING, calling almost DOUBLE the #NFL avg per game in this category

That looms as a potential issue for GB, who have the largest HOME vs ROAD splits of any team in this category, w' 75% of their OFF-HOLD occuring in road contests

The positive for GB, the Lions defense has been lackluster in 2026 generating those OFF-HOLD penalties on opposing offenses

Regardless, both teams need to be focused in the trenches w' these guys in charge of proceedings Sunday because they will be looking to throw flags

Moore ranks 4th overall awarding AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty, w DEFENSIVE HOLDING & ROUGHING THE PASSER points of emphasis

The #Packers defense is a top 5 unit surrendering AUTO 1st downs

Again, a silver lining for Green Bay is the @Lions offense isn't a prolific unit at generating beneficial AUTO 1st down penalties, ranking 20th overall

On the flipside, the Green Bay offense should have success generating beneficial D.P.I penalties vs a shaky Detroit secondary in this match-up

Defensively, the @packers currently rank as the No.1 penalized unit on THIRD DOWN plays

However, Alex Moore's crew call a disproportionately high percentage of overall penalties on 1st/2nd downs compared to #NFL avgs, but then calls plummet (relatively speaking) on 3rd down vs league avgs

They currently rank 11th (of 17) on 3rd down penalty enforcement in 2026

Those are some noteworthy angles to keep in mind for Sunday

I expect a lot of penalties. I hope im wrong, but nothing I've seen from this crew suggests anything otherwise

It has the makings of a back & forth affair & whoever has the ball last wins type game

With a strong possibility that scenario unfolds, I can only look to the team catching points here

Thats the visiting team & I like the Green Bay Packers +3.5 in a shootout Sunday in Detroit

#OnePride #GoPackGo

#CINvsBAL officiating crew cheat sheet

Divisional HOME teams are 17-26-1 ATS (40%) in referee Shawn Smith's career, including 0-1 ATS in 2026

The #Ravens are 7-4 SU but 3-8 ATS w' Shawn Smith

That includes 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS in four AFC North contests, w' Baltimore favored by an aames

Smith's crew currently co-rank No.1 assessing a league high 50% of their overall penalties via OFFENSIVE HOLDING & FALSE START (NFL avg 39.9%)

Smith's crew rank THIRD for OFFENSIVE HOLDING penalties per game

An above avg 44% of Baltimore's overall penalties are committed via OFF-HOLD/FALSE START

Those numbers have contributed to the #Ravens ranking second for OFFENSIVE penalty per game avg in 2026

The #Bengals are one of the LEAST penalized road teams for OFFENSIVE HOLDING, ranking 30th overall

Whoever navigates those two penalty categories the best on Sunday will have a major advantage w' this crew

The @Ravens & @Bengals offenses rank in the bottom three as beneficiaries of AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty

The fact Cincinnati ranks that low is stunning to me

They have consistently been one of the NFL's best at generating beneficial calls via D.P.I/DEF-HOLD etc. I expect them to kick into gear soon & move up in the rankings

Cincinnati has been solid to start the season but i think the room for improvement with this team is immense, particularly on offense

The Bengals are rested & healthy, whereas im concerned about the Ravens O-Line & obviously Lamar's availability

Add in the fact Cincinnati is getting +3pts, I can only look to the Bengals catching points w' an outright win a strong possibility

#WhoDey #Ravensflock #RuleTheJungle

#NEvsCHI officiating crew cheat sheet

HOME teams are 36-17 SU (68%) & 30-23 ATS (57%) in referee Alan Eck's career

The #Bears are 0-3 w' Eck officiating, w' just one game at Soldier Field , a 27-24 loss vs Vikings (MNF Week 1, 2025)

FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS w' Alan Eck in 2026
one of the lowest penalty per game avgs in 2026. Lets hope that continues this week

The Bears rank top 3 for OFFENSIVE HOLDING but only 33% of these have occurred at home

Only Green Bay has a bigger road vs home discrepancy than Chicago in this category in 2026

Eck's crew have not placed major emphasis on OFF-HOLD, ranking 14 (of 17) in per game avg

Even though its a low volume penalty, Eck's crew do rank No.1 for OFFENSIVE PASS INTERFERENCE

The Bears OFFENSE is a top five BENEFICIARY of AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty

That represents a major shift for the Bears & Ben Johnson run offenses, who normally dont rank highly as a beneficiary of these calls

The #Patriots DEFENSE is a top 3 penalized unit surrendering AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS on 3RD DOWN

Eck's crew aren't No.1 in any defensive category but rank above #NFL avg for D.P.I & illegal contact

UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS is a point of emphasis w' this crew & they have always ranked around top 5 in the category since their debut in 2023

That penalty gets called at a higher rate on PRIMETIME so both teams be aware on TNF

Those are a few key points

The @Patriots enter w' 3 straight wins & one of the hottest teams in the NFL

I love their defense, but the O-Line looms as a major concern for me on Thursday

The @ChicagoBears have Caleb Williams back & are at home

That combination is enough for me to side w' Chicago -3 on #TNF

#DaBears #NEPats

Week 7 #NFL referee assignments
#NEvsCHI - Alan Eck
#PITvsNO - Bill Vinovich
#CINvsBAL - Shawn Smith
#SFvsATL - Clay Martin
#INDvsMIN - Brad Rogers
#NYGvsHOU - Land Clark
#TBvsCAR - Carl Cheffers
#MIAvsNYJ - Brad Allen
#CLEvsTEN - Scott Novak
#GBvsDET - Alex Moore
#DENvsAZ - Craig Wrolstad
#KCvsSEA - John Hussey
#DALvsPHI - Alex Kemp

AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty are on a record pace in 2026

This is particularly evident on THIRD DOWN, w' 34.1% of these penalties being awarded on the money down

The five yr avg (2021-2025) is 31.5% of AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS awarded on third down plays

Week 4 & Week 6,2026 havest third down AUTOMATIC 1st downs awarded in recent memory for a specific week

Week 6,2026 recorded the second most ROUGHING THE PASSER penalties in a single week over the past decade

Only Week 5, 2019 recorded more in this category

Top 3 referees awarding AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty on THIRD DOWN in 2026 (based on per game avg)

1. Shawn Hochuli

2. Bill Vinovich

3. Carl Cheffers

OFFENSIVE HOLDING/FALSE START penalties currently account for a combined 39.9% of overall penalties assessed through 6 weeks of 2026

Thats an increase compared to previous seasons' percentages in these categories

TOP 5 referees for OFF-HOLD/FALSE START based on the overall % ssed

1. Shawn Smith - 50%

2. Ron Torbert - 50%

3. Clay Martin - 49.5%

4. Scott Novak - 44.5%

5. Alex Moore - 44.5%

Top 5 refs for OFFENSIVE HOLDING in per game average (NFL avg is 3.3 per game)

1. Scott Novak - 6.17

2. Alex Moore - 6.00

3. Shawn Smith - 4.33

4. Brad Allen - 4.20

5. Craig Wrolstad - 4.00

Top 5 refs for FALSE START in per game average (NFL avg is 2.66 per game)

1. Adrian Hill - 4.75

2. Clete Blakeman - 4.00

3. Ron Torbert - 3.60

4. Scott Novak -3.33

5. John Hussey - 3.20

A ridiculously soft ROUGHING THE PASSER penalty #DALvsGB

But these penalties get called at higher rate on PRIMETIME, it pushes the #NFL's narrative of player safety

That also keeps #DallasCowboys in the game & eyeballs on an otherwise underwhelming @SNFonNBC

Touchdown @NFLOfficiating

Cleveland is the most penalized team in the NFL. Baltimore ranks 5th.

Carl Cheffers has their game Sunday.

Every Week 6 crew and how each one could swing the betting:

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Week 6 Best Bets & Player Props is live

Warren's best bet (39-15 lifetime on the show)

3 props from @LordReebs

Ref report: Ravens-Browns, Cowboys-Packers

College: Bama-Tennessee, ND-BYU, OSU-Indiana

Plus Texans-Jaguars in London

🎥⬇
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#DALvsGB officiating crew cheat sheet

The #DallasCowboys are 8-2 w' referee Craig Wrolstad in the Dak Prescott era, Dallas' best record w' any official over a 10 game sample size

However, the #Packers are 7-0 SU & ATS w' Wrolstad in the Matt LaFleur era

All-time, Green Bay is 5Field w' Wrolstad in charge

The Packers have the biggest home vs road penalty discrepancy possible

GB currently rank as the No.1 penalized ROAD team in the #NFL, but co-rank (w' SF) as the LEAST penalized HOME team

The Cowboys & @packers defenses rank as top 5 units SURRENDERING AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via PENALTY

The @dallascowboys offense is the No.1 BENEFICIARY of AUTO 1st DOWNS via penalty, particularly via defensive pass interference

Dallas is the No.1 BENEFICIARY of D.P.I calls, & the GB offense ranks as the No.7 beneficiary

Craig Wrolstad's crew currently rank No.1 calling DEFENSIVE PASS INTERFERENCE per game

Wrolstad's crew currently rank fifth for OFFENSIVE HOLDING penalties per game

The Cowboys & Packers are currently top 3 penalized teams in the FOURTH QTR of games in 2026

Something has to give on Sunday night, because Wrolstad's crew are averaging the FEWEST fourth qtr penalties of any crew to date in the 2026 season

Wrolstad is 4-0 OVER the total in 2026, with games averaging 53 pts.

I like the over on SNF, which currently sits at 52.5 or 53 pts

These two seem to play every season, & the games are always high scoring. I think SNF will see a continuation of that trend. The over is the play

The Packers off a dominant win & Dallas off a disastrous loss vs TB

I totally expect Dallas to be locked in after 10 days of negativity from media

Whether thats enough to get the win is debatable?

Their defense is a liability & to be fair, GB has their own issues on that side of the ball

Ultimately, home field & the "Lambeau Mystique" tip the scales in favor of the Packers & I like them at home as a small favorites on @SNFonNBC

#GoPackGo