After a pandemic-sized hiatus, pleasure to be back in person teaching the latest regeneration of our course on mathematical modelling of infectious diseases for @vaccineimpact #mathspartylivesagain
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Wishing we could all have met in person, first up Nik Cunniffe giving us a virtual refresher on our basic calculus!
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A very different group photo for our final Wellcome Trust Advanced Course on Disease Dynamics. Very sad to be moving on after 10 years, but many thanks to all the instructors and students over the years for making this course a success (and highlight of my year). #FinalMathsParty
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Setting for final Wellcome Advanced Course for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases less salubrious than the Genome Campus (and dissappointedly cake free) but the Maths is still flowing digitally! #MMIDD2021 #FinalMathsParty
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Someone has made my to-do list massively more dramatic overnight. I know who is making my next poster!
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Coming to the end of this years course @rozeggo brings us bang up to date with current modelling efforts on Covid-19 from @cmmid_lshtm #mmidd2020 #mathsparty2020
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In our second invited seminar Caroline Trotter presents on use of models in policy and vaccination impact on Meningitis in Africa. #mmidd2020 #mathsparty2020
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Delighted to welcome @petrakle to talk about pandemic preparedness for the first seminar of our penultimate Advanced Course on Disease Dynamics #MMIDD2020 #mathsparty2020
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@jw132 Closes off this years #mathsparty #mmidd2019 asking whether modelling has impacted bovine TB policy in the UK
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Warm and balmy at this years #mathsparty #MMIDD2019, quite a difference from the Beast from the East last year...
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Modelling for pandemic preparedness - @petrakle demonstrates the importance of social contact data - and a fun way of gathering it. #mmidd2019 #mathsparty
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In our first invited seminar @GrahamMedley exposes us to macroparasites (in a good way!) at #mmidd2019 #mathsparty continues
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First day in the computer lab for this years advanced course in disease dynamics, introducing R and RStudio #mmidd2019 #mathsparty
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Normal life beckons after another fun and exhausting Wellcome Advanced Course on disease dynamics. Advanced topics this year included snow cats and tactical snow-fare. Save travels everyone! #MMID2018 #MathsParty
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My models (at least) suggest reproductive ratio plateaus with larger herd sizes (density dependence only really evident in small herds 1/3
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Proportion of confirmed reactors is consistent between herd tests in low (RHT) and high (WHT) incidence herds DOI: 10.1186/1297-9716-44-97
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Apologies for log-log scale - proportion is less, distribution of absolute numbers gets increasingly variable within increasing herd size
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Strength of density dependence is very difficult to estimate. Most models have assumed linear relationship, my models suggest non-linear
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John Edmunds closes this years Advanced Course presenting the use of models during the West African Ebola Epidemic #MMIDD2017
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On stochastic saturday we first get to grips with ... eigenvalues! #MMID2017
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Very excited to welcome Daniel Streicker to course to talk about wildlife disease dynamics #MMIDD2017
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Half way through our Welcome Advanced Course on disease dynamics and knee-deep in integration #MMIDD 2016
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