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1/ A lot of bearishness on open-weights commoditizing frontier labs alongside token budget cuts, which then impacts semis. There is a wall of worry of OAI / ANT's NNARR $ over the near term. My (more bullish) views on 1) token optimization, 2) open-weights, 3) the real LT opt
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CUDA moat this. CUDA that. You CUDA seen Jensen's Huang
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Breaking news. Tae Kim is reportedly applying to $NVDA's health care division to suck Jensen off one more time
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The way $AVGO been ripping off Jensen's affairs...Hock Tan about to change his name to Hawck Tuan
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You think Zuck hasn't cheated on Priscilla? LOL. I know when too - early summer 2024. You want proof? How about this obvious apology statue $META

bbc.com/news/articles/…
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Nah $NVDA should be up on this. It just means Jensen is a hoe, not a traitor to China. Bullish
BOOOOOOM

*JENSEN HUANG SAID TO HAVE HAD AFFAIR WITH NVIDIA EXECUTIVE: NYT
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What is Dario doing lol
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Anthropic bogey was Fable 5.5. But we only got 5.2. Disappointing!
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If AI stocks don’t go down tmrw on the news that one of the most important CEOs got honeypotted by the CCP, then we bounce. Max pain as funds are now underweight AI infra relative to its market cap. I don’t make the rules
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He didn’t wake up no loser
Nvidia's board is launching an investigation into whether Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang was targeted by a foreign espionage plot after he admitted to employees that he was unfaithful to his wife bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Breaking news. Making up rumors that a fund is shutting down to make me feel about about my own performance
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“Idk, this seems like a downtick from his usual postings pre EPS. The 2nd deriv of tone worsened sequentially. Clearly a short”

Every pod analyst to their PM
It’s that time again: writing earnings and listening to music. Going with some obscure Talking Heads, a bit of Prince, mixed with the best songs off Ryan Adams’s cover of Taylor Swift’s 1989 Album. Let’s go!!
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Guys chill. If ANT hits Oct ARR with a $8 handle, we all know everything is fine again. War will end. Yields crash. Trump and AOC kiss. And GTA 6 actually drops
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Claude. Hack Binance. Do it in a clever way. I’ve seen the math problems you have solved. Steal $6bn. Leave $3bn as a decoy. Make the other $3bn disappear. I just topped off $1k in credits, so we should be good. Please run overnight. Make no mistakes
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This is ridiculous. That implies $CRWD only CAGRs revs at like 17% for 10 years from $5 to $25bn. Clearly too low. OP doesn’t appreciate security will be 90% of IT budgets if we run-rate the breach cadence over the last 2 weeks
it is the year 2035

Amazon Retail is worth $0B
AWS is worth $500B
Amazon's stake in Anthropic is worth $2T

Crowdstrike is worth $2.5T and trades at 100x Revs
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65% still > 40%
Removing AI natives? So don't target the fasting growing customer segment?
And you have how much SBC relative to your non-GAAP margins?

I say this as somebody long $SNOW. But not a good look
release all the numbers.

does 80% yoy become 65% when you remove passthru inference?

what does it become when you remove ai natives?

and how much of it is from one time software license --> service transition?

fcf, RPO, cRPO?
op margin non-gaap, gaap? dilution?

curious ppls want to know

ps: @alighodsi happy for your success. the world is big and life long.

x.com/bhorowitz/stat…
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Idk feel like we’re now here. AI momentum back up driven by 1) ANT S-1 that was better than feared, 2) good fundamentals across CSPs, 3) neocloud yields topping. Idk how long we go up for but sentiment too neg / positioning too light. Pain trade higher now post de-grossing
Let me guess. Everybody is gonna freak out and trade down into midterms….positioning going to get too negative….midterms will be better than feared and ANT will re-accelerate NNARR in Q4 given less META churn, less distillation headwind, and Opus 5.5 gaining share back. We rip
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My shorts right now
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