Election day afternoon update. Ballot share by party.
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 40.0% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 30.4% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 29.6% / 30% / 28%
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 40.0% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 30.4% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 29.6% / 30% / 28%
Here is the party share of total ballots cast 1 day before the election.*
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 40.7% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 30.7% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 28.6% / 30% / 28%
*From election morning, with updates on yesterday's returns
2
0
0
681
Here is the Dem vs. Rep vote share by day.
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.0
Election afternoon: Dem +9.6
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.0
Election afternoon: Dem +9.6
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
1
0
0
274
Here is the party share of total ballots cast 1 day before the election.*
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 40.7% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 30.7% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 28.6% / 30% / 28%
*From election morning, with updates on yesterday's returns
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 40.7% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 30.7% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 28.6% / 30% / 28%
*From election morning, with updates on yesterday's returns
2
0
5
1,692
Here is the Dem vs. Rep vote share by day.
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.0
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.0
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
1
0
0
378
Republican turnout in Oregon is now slightly ahead of Democratic turnout.
Since 1966, Republicans have turned out at a higher rate than Democrats in every midterm election except 2018.
Since 1966, Republicans have turned out at a higher rate than Democrats in every midterm election except 2018.
20
94
1,028
22,387
Turnout by county in Oregon's 2026 midterm as of November 2 (1 day prior to the election)
0
5
37
2,998
Here is the party share of total ballots cast as of this morning, 1 day before the election.*
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 41% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 31% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 29% / 30% / 28%
*This is the second update of the day
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 41% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 31% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 29% / 30% / 28%
*This is the second update of the day
1
1
2
895
Here is the Dem vs. Rep vote share by day.
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.2
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
18: Dem +47.1
15: Dem +26.8
14: Dem +26.1
13: Dem +26.9
12: Dem +23.4
11: Dem +16.7
8: Dem +14.3
7: Dem +12.8
6: Dem +11.8
5: Dem +11.3
4: Dem +10.5
1: Dem +10.2
2018 final: Dem +11.8
2022 final: Dem +9.7
0
0
1
297
Here is the party share of total ballots cast as of this morning, 1 day before the election.
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 41% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 31% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 27% / 30% / 28%
I expect at least one more update today.
Party / Today / 2022 final / 2018 final
-Dem / 41% / 40% / 42%
-Rep / 31% / 30% / 30%
-NAV+other / 27% / 30% / 28%
I expect at least one more update today.
1
1
9
3,647
Oregon Democratic candidates for governor have tended to run behind Democrats for the US House and Senate. They have more closely matched Democrats for the state House.
0
0
3
1,133
Multnomah County turnout by day comparing 2026 to past midterms.
This includes only ballots accepted. Including all ballots received today, turnout would increase by about 0.5 points.
This includes only ballots accepted. Including all ballots received today, turnout would increase by about 0.5 points.
0
3
19
3,201
Portland Public Schools updated its enrollment figures this week. Here are the trends by grade level.
31
25
298
53,720
For comparison, these are the trends for Oregon. I don't expect updated state numbers until early next year.
1
0
6
2,308
Here is how Oregon Democratic and Republican daily turnout in 2026 compares to 2022 and 2018.
Both Democratic and Republican turnout exceeds past years at this point.
Republican turnout is now ever so slightly ahead of Democrats, 49.9% to 49.8%.
Both Democratic and Republican turnout exceeds past years at this point.
Republican turnout is now ever so slightly ahead of Democrats, 49.9% to 49.8%.
4
3
39
6,945
