Global Election Simulator retweeted
''statistical certainty''
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18
277
7,332
Global Election Simulator retweeted
Tô com pena desses caras. Fazem um trabalho seríssimo no mundo inteiro, mas chegou no Bostil e conheceram a maracutaia, o jeitinho brasileiro.

É DEMOCRACIA PUJANTE
BREAKING: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is officially re-elected to a fourth term, defying all expectations and odds and cruising to a comfortable victory. Flavio Bolsonaro supporters did not turn out in the second round, while most Cury, Santos, and Caiado supporters chose nted in brazilian politics, as it is also the first time ALL of the polling aggregators got the result wrong, including us.
15
96
2,372
32,500
🇷🇸 looks like we were right in that the serbian polls were biased.
🇷🇸 The closely watched Serbian parliamentary election this Sunday brings the potential for regime change. If government-funded polls are incorrect, the Student List could win an outright majority, drawing a direct parallel to the victory of the Tisza Party in Hungary.
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
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0
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7,351
🇧🇷 BREAKING: Following a narrow victory by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro refused to concede the runoff election and announced plans to seek an annulment.

According to The New York Times Live Updates, the legal challenge centers on an unprecedented Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin to extend voting hours nationwide by two hours. The extension, requested by both campaigns due to local disruptions, created widespread confusion. Because the ruling came down minutes before the scheduled closing time, some polling places had already turned off their voting machines and could not reopen them.

Four electoral lawyers interviewed by the publication called the situation unprecedented. Lawyer Priscilla Sodré Pereira characterized it as an extremely serious, critical situation. Professor Fernando Neisser of the Fundação Getulio Vargas explained that an annulment remains a legal possibility if the final margin is narrow and evidence shows that extended hours disproportionately favored one candidate's strongholds.
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43
812
31,512
🇧🇷 2026 Tocantins Presidential Election Tabulation:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Bolsonaro (PL) - 469,321 ➡️ 467,916 (51.4%)
🔴 Lula (PT) - 404,009 ➡️ 442,962 (48.6%)
20
7
179
21,957
🇧🇷 2026 Brazilian 1º turno; 2º turno survey (part 2)
34
30
236
32,419
🇧🇷 Your Brazilian Election Preference in 1º turno v.s. 2º turno:
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102
525
46,546
lula could win 64 million votes, after his party lost almost everything in the legislature back in the first round. After Tarcisio won re-election by 20+ points.
BREAKING: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is officially re-elected to a fourth term, defying all expectations and odds and cruising to a comfortable victory. Flavio Bolsonaro supporters did not turn out in the second round, while most Cury, Santos, and Caiado supporters chose nted in brazilian politics, as it is also the first time ALL of the polling aggregators got the result wrong, including us.
114
63
1,297
80,026
BREAKING: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is officially re-elected to a fourth term, defying all expectations and odds and cruising to a comfortable victory. Flavio Bolsonaro supporters did not turn out in the second round, while most Cury, Santos, and Caiado supporters chose nted in brazilian politics, as it is also the first time ALL of the polling aggregators got the result wrong, including us.
🇧🇷 Final 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margin of Error: ±1.0%
📅 October 24, 2026
512
306
3,903
351,904
It seems like our projections for the Gubernatorial Elections are pretty accurate...
In many areas that have completed the count, First-turn Bolsonaro voters either did not come out to vote in the second-turn, or nearly 90% of Cury, Santos, Caiado, and Zema supporters voted for Lula.
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23
890
119,804
In many areas that have completed the count, First-turn Bolsonaro voters either did not come out to vote in the second-turn, or nearly 90% of Cury, Santos, Caiado, and Zema supporters voted for Lula.
Bolsonaro and Lula are even with 15% of the votes counted. Bolsonaro will grow alot before dropping.
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462,465
Replying to @globalelectsim
This is extremely uncommon in such a polarized election.
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99,748
Bolsonaro and Lula are even with 15% of the votes counted. Bolsonaro will grow alot before dropping.
Hop on to our page to view live election results and analysis! Design updates and features are added by the minute! globalelectionsimulator.com/brazil-2026
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Global Election Simulator retweeted
🚨 URGENTE: PROJEÇÃO GLOBAL SIMULATOR

🇧🇷 2026 Projeção final eleição presidencial no Brasil
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margem de erro: ±1.0%
📅 25 de outubro, 2026
13
94
600
81,034
Global Election Simulator retweeted
🇧🇷 Final 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margin of Error: ±1.0%
📅 October 24, 2026
19
77
429
54,404
Hop on to our page to view live election results and analysis! Design updates and features are added by the minute! globalelectionsimulator.com/brazil-2026
🇧🇷 Final 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margin of Error: ±1.0%
📅 October 24, 2026
54
76
1,196
343,158
Our live election night page is almost ready, featuring a live chat and second-by-second updates of the results. We aim to be the first to project the winners. If you trust GES and like our UI vibe, having this tab open is your go-to!
🇧🇷 Final 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margin of Error: ±1.0%
📅 October 24, 2026
16
43
860
96,821
✅
🇧🇷 Final 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection:
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com

🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) - 61,120,006 (52.3%)
🔴 Lula da Silva (PT) - 55,839,688 (47.7%)

📊 Margin of Error: ±1.0%
📅 October 24, 2026
70
79
3,133
452,029