Pinned Tweet
We're shutting down Fireplace.
To everyone who traded with us and supported us along the way - thank you. It was a hell of a run.
The site stays open until the end of September so you can close positions, withdraw funds, and export your account. Please do it before September 30, 23:59 UTC.
If you're building in the prediction markets space and are interested in anything we've built, shoot us a DM.
Everything you need is here: pro.fireplace.gg
To everyone who traded with us and supported us along the way - thank you. It was a hell of a run.
The site stays open until the end of September so you can close positions, withdraw funds, and export your account. Please do it before September 30, 23:59 UTC.
If you're building in the prediction markets space and are interested in anything we've built, shoot us a DM.
Everything you need is here: pro.fireplace.gg
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fireplace retweeted
it’s been very fun building in the prediction market space
it truly was a hell of a run
thank you all for your support ❤️
it truly was a hell of a run
thank you all for your support ❤️
We're shutting down Fireplace.
To everyone who traded with us and supported us along the way - thank you. It was a hell of a run.
The site stays open until the end of September so you can close positions, withdraw funds, and export your account. Please do it before September 30, 23:59 UTC.
If you're building in the prediction markets space and are interested in anything we've built, shoot us a DM.
Everything you need is here: pro.fireplace.gg
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fireplace retweeted
this was an incredibly hard decision and i'm extremely proud of the entire team for what we built
we're definitely not giving up yet though and will be announcing our next product shortly
stay tuned :)
we're definitely not giving up yet though and will be announcing our next product shortly
stay tuned :)
We're shutting down Fireplace.
To everyone who traded with us and supported us along the way - thank you. It was a hell of a run.
The site stays open until the end of September so you can close positions, withdraw funds, and export your account. Please do it before September 30, 23:59 UTC.
If you're building in the prediction markets space and are interested in anything we've built, shoot us a DM.
Everything you need is here: pro.fireplace.gg
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if you're building on polymarket, you can now plug into fireplace's apis
everything that powers fireplace pro, exposed as clean endpoints:
> the fastest news feed covering every polymarket category
> osint data for the strait of hormuz, russia-ukraine war, and air traffic
> our proprietary leaderboard and wallet tracker
docs in the replies
everything that powers fireplace pro, exposed as clean endpoints:
> the fastest news feed covering every polymarket category
> osint data for the strait of hormuz, russia-ukraine war, and air traffic
> our proprietary leaderboard and wallet tracker
docs in the replies
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fireplace retweeted
this guy might be cooking again
same guy who read the "China x Philippines" market rules correctly and turned $31k into $709K
is now holding 150K+ YES shares on "NATO x Russia military clash by Dec 31" too
market jumped to 32% today after Romania shot down two suspected kend, first time a NATO jet's fired on an intruder since the war started
YES case: rules count any UAV shootdown between NATO and Russian forces, and Romanian fragments were reportedly Russian
NO case: rules need military x military contact, this was Romania acting solo on an unidentified drone, may not qualify
this guy just keeps finding the edge in the fine print
same guy who read the "China x Philippines" market rules correctly and turned $31k into $709K
is now holding 150K+ YES shares on "NATO x Russia military clash by Dec 31" too
market jumped to 32% today after Romania shot down two suspected kend, first time a NATO jet's fired on an intruder since the war started
YES case: rules count any UAV shootdown between NATO and Russian forces, and Romanian fragments were reportedly Russian
NO case: rules need military x military contact, this was Romania acting solo on an unidentified drone, may not qualify
this guy just keeps finding the edge in the fine print
a market most people wrote off as "basically impossible" just resolved YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027...
what happened: Chinese Coast Guard and Philippine Navy clashed with oars and batons near Second Thomas Shoal today, injuring one PH sailor
this isn't a milar armed standoff in 2024, and tensions have been climbing for months as China pushes on PH's outpost there
market rules define "military encounter" broadly enough that this qualified, even without gunfire
someone won $709,628 off a bet at 17% odds
what was his read here? genuinely curious what the thesis was
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the meeting markets (like US x Iran diplo meeting) on polymarket get decided the moment a flight for any involved people takes off
so we built a flight tracker onto fireplace:
> a live feed of VIP aircraft entering and exiting key locations
> each crossing linked to the exact meetinfor, and opens it right there
> a confidence read on every sighting: dedicated jet, shared government fleet, or flying dark
> an alert the second one of your tracked figures crosses
so we built a flight tracker onto fireplace:
> a live feed of VIP aircraft entering and exiting key locations
> each crossing linked to the exact meetinfor, and opens it right there
> a confidence read on every sighting: dedicated jet, shared government fleet, or flying dark
> an alert the second one of your tracked figures crosses
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fireplace retweeted
a market most people wrote off as "basically impossible" just resolved YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027...
what happened: Chinese Coast Guard and Philippine Navy clashed with oars and batons near Second Thomas Shoal today, injuring one PH sailor
this isn't a milar armed standoff in 2024, and tensions have been climbing for months as China pushes on PH's outpost there
market rules define "military encounter" broadly enough that this qualified, even without gunfire
someone won $709,628 off a bet at 17% odds
what was his read here? genuinely curious what the thesis was
China x Philippines military clash before 2027...
what happened: Chinese Coast Guard and Philippine Navy clashed with oars and batons near Second Thomas Shoal today, injuring one PH sailor
this isn't a milar armed standoff in 2024, and tensions have been climbing for months as China pushes on PH's outpost there
market rules define "military encounter" broadly enough that this qualified, even without gunfire
someone won $709,628 off a bet at 17% odds
what was his read here? genuinely curious what the thesis was
THE UNEXPECTED MILITARY CLASH BETWEEN CHINA AND PHILIPPINES
A completely ridiculous event just triggered a massive market resolution. The Chinese Coast Guard and the Philippine Navy literally beat each other with oars
It sounds like a joke but one Philippine soldier was officially declared it unacceptable violence
Retail was buying NO believing an oar fight doesn't count. But Polymarket clarified this is valid. And the market resolved as YES
I fully agree with the resolution. That's exactly how it was bound to resolve based on the rules
Knowing market mechanics is an edge. Don't give that away to others. There's PVP
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the elon musk tweet-count markets are some of the most mispriced markets on polymarket
and they move at a rate you can actually model, so we built a set of tools into fireplace for you to be able to trade them profitably with minimal effort
> a live post / tweet count
> a fair value ts where the final count will land
> each account's posting rhythm, so you can tell if they're running ahead or behind
> a live tracker for every post the second it drops
and they move at a rate you can actually model, so we built a set of tools into fireplace for you to be able to trade them profitably with minimal effort
> a live post / tweet count
> a fair value ts where the final count will land
> each account's posting rhythm, so you can tell if they're running ahead or behind
> a live tracker for every post the second it drops
trading the russia-ukraine markets means cross referencing the ISW map against every settlement market by hand, just to see what moved and how close the front actually is
so we built the isw map straight into fireplace, with much more useful data that gives you a clean read in ver there's movement on any territory
> the last 24h of russian and ukrainian gains, the moment isw redraws the lines
> a war-updates feed that tells you which markets each front-line move touches
> historical playback to see how the map changed over time
> every market pinned at its settlement, with live odds and exact distance to the front
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fireplace retweeted
if you're having a bad day, remember this guy
he aped $127,966 on France vs England going UNDER 6.5 goals
current score at 85': France 3 - England 4
that's 7 goals already....
wanted to turn $128K into $211K
instead he's watching the most chaotic match of the tournament happen live
rough one
he aped $127,966 on France vs England going UNDER 6.5 goals
current score at 85': France 3 - England 4
that's 7 goals already....
wanted to turn $128K into $211K
instead he's watching the most chaotic match of the tournament happen live
rough one
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fireplace retweeted
regular time's over. still 0-0
Argentina playing dirty today, already down to 10 men after a red card
meanwhile someone turned $60,000 into $1,000,000
bet the exact score: Spain 0-0 Argentina, at 6% odds
Argentina playing dirty today, already down to 10 men after a red card
meanwhile someone turned $60,000 into $1,000,000
bet the exact score: Spain 0-0 Argentina, at 6% odds
everything points to Argentina today🇦🇷...
a resurfaced 𝕏 post from 2021 "predicted" Argentina beats Spain 3-2 in the 2026 World Cup final
meanwhile, on-chain: the wallet (gud.hl) that made $1.9M trading TRUMP$ at launch just sniped 12.3M shares of "Argentina wins" at 10¢
that 5,096,071.06 +314%
if Argentina wins: $12.3M payout
but you know what, I'm rooting for Spain anyway
Vamos España 🇪🇸
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gud.hl put $1.2m on argentina to win the world cup back when they were sitting at 10c
they made it all the way to the final and at one point his position was worth over $5m - he was up more than $4m and didn't sell a single share
spain just won and the whole thing went to 0 - , and he walked away with nothing
they made it all the way to the final and at one point his position was worth over $5m - he was up more than $4m and didn't sell a single share
spain just won and the whole thing went to 0 - , and he walked away with nothing
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trading the russia-ukraine markets means cross referencing the ISW map against every settlement market by hand, just to see what moved and how close the front actually is
so we built the isw map straight into fireplace, with much more useful data that gives you a clean read in ver there's movement on any territory
> the last 24h of russian and ukrainian gains, the moment isw redraws the lines
> a war-updates feed that tells you which markets each front-line move touches
> historical playback to see how the map changed over time
> every market pinned at its settlement, with live odds and exact distance to the front
so we built the isw map straight into fireplace, with much more useful data that gives you a clean read in ver there's movement on any territory
> the last 24h of russian and ukrainian gains, the moment isw redraws the lines
> a war-updates feed that tells you which markets each front-line move touches
> historical playback to see how the map changed over time
> every market pinned at its settlement, with live odds and exact distance to the front
imf portwatch only publishes strait of hormuz data once a week, so traders have been counting ships passing through the strait manually by staring at marinetraffic
so we built a live strait of hormuz tracker in fireplace:
> live feed of every vessel crossing (name, direction, vesit count according to marinetraffic, days before portwatch posts it
> a notification whenever a ship crosses
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when you place a trade on polymarket and see a trump tweet nuke your position 10 minutes later:
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fireplace retweeted
if you're trading strait of hormuz markets without this, you're already at a disadvantage
you're getting a fairly accurate daily ship count days before portwatch publishes it
you're getting a fairly accurate daily ship count days before portwatch publishes it
imf portwatch only publishes strait of hormuz data once a week, so traders have been counting ships passing through the strait manually by staring at marinetraffic
so we built a live strait of hormuz tracker in fireplace:
> live feed of every vessel crossing (name, direction, vesit count according to marinetraffic, days before portwatch posts it
> a notification whenever a ship crosses
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imf portwatch only publishes strait of hormuz data once a week, so traders have been counting ships passing through the strait manually by staring at marinetraffic
so we built a live strait of hormuz tracker in fireplace:
> live feed of every vessel crossing (name, direction, vesit count according to marinetraffic, days before portwatch posts it
> a notification whenever a ship crosses
so we built a live strait of hormuz tracker in fireplace:
> live feed of every vessel crossing (name, direction, vesit count according to marinetraffic, days before portwatch posts it
> a notification whenever a ship crosses
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check it out for free on any strait of hormuz market page or by adding the widget on your workspace pro.fireplace.gg
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fireplace is now on mobile
the whole polymarket terminal fits in your pocket, so you never miss a move
the whole polymarket terminal fits in your pocket, so you never miss a move
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