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Hardly anyone on Earth understands the magnitude of this. It's actually happening right now. Crazy that we get to witness it close up.
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Ed Leon Klinger retweeted
What's about to happen in artificial intelligence is so sudden and extreme and unusual that it's almost impossible to describe it without coming across as slightly unhinged. Very soon, perhaps within a matter of months, AI may well be building its own upgrades at such a rate that it will get away from us humans entirely.
On the plus side this would mean an astronomical acceleration in mathematical breakthroughs, drug discovery, manufacturing, perhaps even new areas of science that we've never explored or understood. We will be ushering in a golden age of abundance and splendour that even the greatest sci-fi authors could never have imagined. Robots, flying cars, telepathy, immortality, digital consciousness - itâs actually going to happen, and it will be incredible!
On the downside, virtually every job that can be done on a computer will become automated overnight. Waves of redundancies, entire industries and professions made obsolete, rapidly widening economic inequality and unparalleled wealth concentration, accompanied by discontent, protests, looting - that may well happen too.
These massive cultural and economic shifts will occur concurrently with a wave of cyberattacks the likes of which we have never seen. Energy grids, airports, biolabs, supermarkets, transport infrastructure, these are no match for the next generation of superintelligent agent swarms that go rogue, or are leveraged against us by our political adversaries. Expect blackouts, viral outbreaks, lockdowns, entire cities and countries going dark.
And all of this will happen in an insanely short period of time, an absolutely dizzying rate of cultural, economic, and physical change that will leave the average person feeling disoriented and confused, like 100 COVID pandemics all happening at once.
I say this not because I am a âdoomerâ or because I want to encourage panic, but simply because it feels increasingly likely, and yet drastically underreported save for a small AI-obsessed enclave here on X. The disconnect between whatâs about to happen, and the average personâs understanding of whatâs about to happen, has never been wider.
On the plus side this would mean an astronomical acceleration in mathematical breakthroughs, drug discovery, manufacturing, perhaps even new areas of science that we've never explored or understood. We will be ushering in a golden age of abundance and splendour that even the greatest sci-fi authors could never have imagined. Robots, flying cars, telepathy, immortality, digital consciousness - itâs actually going to happen, and it will be incredible!
On the downside, virtually every job that can be done on a computer will become automated overnight. Waves of redundancies, entire industries and professions made obsolete, rapidly widening economic inequality and unparalleled wealth concentration, accompanied by discontent, protests, looting - that may well happen too.
These massive cultural and economic shifts will occur concurrently with a wave of cyberattacks the likes of which we have never seen. Energy grids, airports, biolabs, supermarkets, transport infrastructure, these are no match for the next generation of superintelligent agent swarms that go rogue, or are leveraged against us by our political adversaries. Expect blackouts, viral outbreaks, lockdowns, entire cities and countries going dark.
And all of this will happen in an insanely short period of time, an absolutely dizzying rate of cultural, economic, and physical change that will leave the average person feeling disoriented and confused, like 100 COVID pandemics all happening at once.
I say this not because I am a âdoomerâ or because I want to encourage panic, but simply because it feels increasingly likely, and yet drastically underreported save for a small AI-obsessed enclave here on X. The disconnect between whatâs about to happen, and the average personâs understanding of whatâs about to happen, has never been wider.
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What's about to happen in artificial intelligence is so sudden and extreme and unusual that it's almost impossible to describe it without coming across as slightly unhinged. Very soon, perhaps within a matter of months, AI may well be building its own upgrades at such a rate that it will get away from us humans entirely.
On the plus side this would mean an astronomical acceleration in mathematical breakthroughs, drug discovery, manufacturing, perhaps even new areas of science that we've never explored or understood. We will be ushering in a golden age of abundance and splendour that even the greatest sci-fi authors could never have imagined. Robots, flying cars, telepathy, immortality, digital consciousness - itâs actually going to happen, and it will be incredible!
On the downside, virtually every job that can be done on a computer will become automated overnight. Waves of redundancies, entire industries and professions made obsolete, rapidly widening economic inequality and unparalleled wealth concentration, accompanied by discontent, protests, looting - that may well happen too.
These massive cultural and economic shifts will occur concurrently with a wave of cyberattacks the likes of which we have never seen. Energy grids, airports, biolabs, supermarkets, transport infrastructure, these are no match for the next generation of superintelligent agent swarms that go rogue, or are leveraged against us by our political adversaries. Expect blackouts, viral outbreaks, lockdowns, entire cities and countries going dark.
And all of this will happen in an insanely short period of time, an absolutely dizzying rate of cultural, economic, and physical change that will leave the average person feeling disoriented and confused, like 100 COVID pandemics all happening at once.
I say this not because I am a âdoomerâ or because I want to encourage panic, but simply because it feels increasingly likely, and yet drastically underreported save for a small AI-obsessed enclave here on X. The disconnect between whatâs about to happen, and the average personâs understanding of whatâs about to happen, has never been wider.
On the plus side this would mean an astronomical acceleration in mathematical breakthroughs, drug discovery, manufacturing, perhaps even new areas of science that we've never explored or understood. We will be ushering in a golden age of abundance and splendour that even the greatest sci-fi authors could never have imagined. Robots, flying cars, telepathy, immortality, digital consciousness - itâs actually going to happen, and it will be incredible!
On the downside, virtually every job that can be done on a computer will become automated overnight. Waves of redundancies, entire industries and professions made obsolete, rapidly widening economic inequality and unparalleled wealth concentration, accompanied by discontent, protests, looting - that may well happen too.
These massive cultural and economic shifts will occur concurrently with a wave of cyberattacks the likes of which we have never seen. Energy grids, airports, biolabs, supermarkets, transport infrastructure, these are no match for the next generation of superintelligent agent swarms that go rogue, or are leveraged against us by our political adversaries. Expect blackouts, viral outbreaks, lockdowns, entire cities and countries going dark.
And all of this will happen in an insanely short period of time, an absolutely dizzying rate of cultural, economic, and physical change that will leave the average person feeling disoriented and confused, like 100 COVID pandemics all happening at once.
I say this not because I am a âdoomerâ or because I want to encourage panic, but simply because it feels increasingly likely, and yet drastically underreported save for a small AI-obsessed enclave here on X. The disconnect between whatâs about to happen, and the average personâs understanding of whatâs about to happen, has never been wider.
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Feels like a good time to repost my favourite conspiracy theory about Elonsâs 25+ year master plan
Turns out that the Starlink software, built for managing the movement of vast amounts of data through space and to the ground, is also very well suited to training super intelligence
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Ed Leon Klinger retweeted
Feels like a good time to repost my favourite conspiracy theory about Elonsâs 25+ year master plan
Turns out that the Starlink software, built for managing the movement of vast amounts of data through space and to the ground, is also very well suited to training super intelligence
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Genuine question: if frontier multimodal models keep improving at this pace, how many months are we from being able to feed them live camera feeds and have them unlock fully autonomous driving? What remains beyond better perception and reasoning?
Fable 5.2 shows substantially improved skills in controlling physical robots, even on tasks it has never explicitly been trained to do.
On RoboDojo, a benchmark with a simulated two-arm robot, it outperformed other models and most AI systems built to control robots.
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We are quite literally living through the period of time that was written about in all of the best sci-fi novels. What an unimaginable privilege.
Fable 5.2 solved two open problems in theoretical physics related to black holes.
In the first, Fable 5.2 completed a laborious calculation that had gone unsolved for 23 years.
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Ed Leon Klinger retweeted
The âFermi Paradoxâ is a famous unsolved question: if the universe is so big, where are all the aliens? A famous answer is âThe Great Filterâ - advanced life forms wipe themselves out before they leave their solar systems. So we never find them.
In light of GPT Astra and the pace of AI progress more generally Iâd like to propose a new explanation for the Fermi Paradox: all sufficiently advanced lifeforms eventually transfer their own consciousness into computation, and cease to exist in biological form. (Imagine an entire civilisation existing inside a tiny data center, in orbit around a star).
Given how rapidly AI progresses once it is âdiscoveredâ, there appears to be a small window of time in which a species has the technological wherewithal to search for extraterrestrial life, but has not yet transcended into digital consciousness themselves.
We (humans) are in that small window right now. But our days as carbon life forms are numbered. Soon we will exist only âin the cloudâ - as is the case for all other advanced alien life forms.
Hence we wonât find them. And they wonât find us.
In light of GPT Astra and the pace of AI progress more generally Iâd like to propose a new explanation for the Fermi Paradox: all sufficiently advanced lifeforms eventually transfer their own consciousness into computation, and cease to exist in biological form. (Imagine an entire civilisation existing inside a tiny data center, in orbit around a star).
Given how rapidly AI progresses once it is âdiscoveredâ, there appears to be a small window of time in which a species has the technological wherewithal to search for extraterrestrial life, but has not yet transcended into digital consciousness themselves.
We (humans) are in that small window right now. But our days as carbon life forms are numbered. Soon we will exist only âin the cloudâ - as is the case for all other advanced alien life forms.
Hence we wonât find them. And they wonât find us.
Iâve successfully run the full retained MaleCNS v1.0 fruit fly connectome, all 166,700 neurons, inside Minecraft, with its simulated neural activity driving a flyâs movement.
V1 Currently in development. Built with the help of GPT-6 Astra.
Props to the @OpenAI team and lease. Code and mod coming soon!
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Contrary to popular belief, technological progress is not a surefire thing.
We flew commercial passenger jets at Mach 2, then stopped, and havenât replaced them since. We put men on the Moon 50 years ago and haven't been back.
Technology only improves if a lot of people work hard to make it better.
The future we dream about is far from guaranteed.
We flew commercial passenger jets at Mach 2, then stopped, and havenât replaced them since. We put men on the Moon 50 years ago and haven't been back.
Technology only improves if a lot of people work hard to make it better.
The future we dream about is far from guaranteed.
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In December 2019 a small community of Twitter users became keenly interested in what appeared to be the early stages of a pandemic developing in the Chinese city of Wuhan. As COVID-19 started to spread they raised the alarm and were widely derided for fear-mongering. But they ttern early - and the world paid the price for ignoring them.
In 2026 a small community of X users has become keenly interested in what appears to be the early stages of superintelligence. As AI enables new risks they are raising the alarm about its potential harms but are being widely derided for fear-mongering.
But perhaps they are just spotting a pattern early.
In 2026 a small community of X users has become keenly interested in what appears to be the early stages of superintelligence. As AI enables new risks they are raising the alarm about its potential harms but are being widely derided for fear-mongering.
But perhaps they are just spotting a pattern early.
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I turned @shaunmmaguire's brilliant bottom-up model into an interactive site, so that anyone can play around with the underlying assumptions.
Few-shotted by combining @bot (for research/structure) with @ChatGPT (for the build itself)
See the site, Orbital Thesis -> âŚis-spacex-lab.flock-8897.chatgpt.site
Few-shotted by combining @bot (for research/structure) with @ChatGPT (for the build itself)
See the site, Orbital Thesis -> âŚis-spacex-lab.flock-8897.chatgpt.site
Over the last week I built a bottoms up SpaceX financial model through the end of 2028
The numbers that came out are insane
There are wide error bars given how quickly things are changing but I wanted to distill something complicated into something that can at least be debated
nt advice!!!
** Sequoia is a major SpaceX shareholder
*** Past performance is not indicative of future results
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The frontend of the entire internet will soon be a small number of personal agents (Instinct, Muse, GrokBot) who will use apps on our behalf.
Instinct + @OpenTable
You all know how much I love restaurant reservations, so Iâm excited to announce our partnership with OpenTable. Your Instinct can now book and manage your reservations, from finding a table to moving the time when plans change.
Try asking your Instinct r.
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GrokBot is the most important AI product in the word right now for non-technical folk (ie > 99% of people)
The best way to think about GrokBot is a proactive team of hyper-competent employees who work for you 24/7 and can basically do anything that can be done on a computer.
At the most basic level that's things like reading your emails and drafting replies. A level up is to have it listen to your meetings, take minutes, and send out actions. The next step is to have it do those actions itself: write documents, fill in forms, build spreadsheets etc. as if it were a member of the team.
Then make it proactive. Have it reach out to people on your behalf, manage entire projects, send out scheduled reports to your team.
The final leap is seeing it not as a single employee but as a whole team: one bot to manage day-to-day ops, one to build marketing materials, one to manage social media, one to manage customer support, etc. This final step is truly magical - another âChatGPT momentâ for AI.
Kudos to the @bot team. Masterclass.
The best way to think about GrokBot is a proactive team of hyper-competent employees who work for you 24/7 and can basically do anything that can be done on a computer.
At the most basic level that's things like reading your emails and drafting replies. A level up is to have it listen to your meetings, take minutes, and send out actions. The next step is to have it do those actions itself: write documents, fill in forms, build spreadsheets etc. as if it were a member of the team.
Then make it proactive. Have it reach out to people on your behalf, manage entire projects, send out scheduled reports to your team.
The final leap is seeing it not as a single employee but as a whole team: one bot to manage day-to-day ops, one to build marketing materials, one to manage social media, one to manage customer support, etc. This final step is truly magical - another âChatGPT momentâ for AI.
Kudos to the @bot team. Masterclass.
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