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I created a new business account for Oliver Projections @OProjections which will be primarily sports and NO POLITICS. If you like me for sports but don't want to see my politics, please head over there to give a follow. I have no problem if you unfollow me here to go there.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
If you insist. :)
Youngkin:
Brought in over 10K high-growth and high-wage companies to Virginia, totaling nearly $160 BILLION into our economy;
Removed DEI from schools;
Banned cellphones in schools;
Passed Virginia Literacy Act to boost reading;
Raised teachers' pay WITHOUT a tax increase;
Left us a surplus every year, and returned tax dollars to Virginians;
Passed over $9 billion in tax relief INCLUDING ending the grocery tax;
Withdrew us from the RGGI saving Virginians hundreds on their individual bills ever year;
Overhauled mental health systems with an emphasis on providing mental health to young people;
Directed substantial state funds to childcare and early childhood systems.
Did you need more, I have more. But I don't want to overwhelm you. :)
Now, what exactly has Spanberger done for Virginians?
Youngkin:
Brought in over 10K high-growth and high-wage companies to Virginia, totaling nearly $160 BILLION into our economy;
Removed DEI from schools;
Banned cellphones in schools;
Passed Virginia Literacy Act to boost reading;
Raised teachers' pay WITHOUT a tax increase;
Left us a surplus every year, and returned tax dollars to Virginians;
Passed over $9 billion in tax relief INCLUDING ending the grocery tax;
Withdrew us from the RGGI saving Virginians hundreds on their individual bills ever year;
Overhauled mental health systems with an emphasis on providing mental health to young people;
Directed substantial state funds to childcare and early childhood systems.
Did you need more, I have more. But I don't want to overwhelm you. :)
Now, what exactly has Spanberger done for Virginians?
I mean she's doing a better job than the last governor of Virginia. You tell me exactly what did Glenn Youngkin do for Virginia those 4 years he was in office??? @PolitiBunny
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
When Europeans arrived in North America 400 years ago, multiple eras & civilizations of Mound Builders had risen & fallen as far back as 4500 BC.
Thousands of these sites still sit hidden, or forgotten, across the Eastern US.
In our Mound Builder LiDAR Mission: we’re aiming to 3D mothese sites - giving people a way to view this lost world like never before.
My hope is that by being able to see close-to-accurate digital reconstructions of the overlooked Mound Builders’ world: people will finally be able to fully appreciate the scale & power of ancient Eastern America.
Thousands of these sites still sit hidden, or forgotten, across the Eastern US.
In our Mound Builder LiDAR Mission: we’re aiming to 3D mothese sites - giving people a way to view this lost world like never before.
My hope is that by being able to see close-to-accurate digital reconstructions of the overlooked Mound Builders’ world: people will finally be able to fully appreciate the scale & power of ancient Eastern America.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
@youbeenxshamelessly plug my Substack, but I wrote about this in a subsequent post, too:
"Obama released $100 billion in previously frozen Iranian assets, roughly half of which were liquid and convertible to cash, and through sanctions relief, enabled the regime to expand oil production and exports to add an additional $20 billion in annual revenue. In exchange, Iran was not required to dismantle its uranium enrichment infrastructure or play nice... Throughout the JCPOA’s term, Iran continued testing ballistic missiles, advancing centrifuge technology, expanding its military footprint in the region, and financing and arming proxies like Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Iraqi Shia militias, Hezbollah and the Houthis. The regime captured American sailors, harassed U.S. warships, threatened American forces throughout the region, conducted cyberattacks and espionage, and pursued a coordinated strategy to undermine American and allied interests. To make matters worse, these efforts were funded in part by cash and assets made available through Obama’s sanctions relief. While the Iranians pocketed the cash and patiently waited for their permission slip to continue their nuclear ambitions, they only escalated their confrontational stance toward the United States. President Obama’s diplomatic efforts, for which he heaped praise upon himself in Cleveland, were a farce."
substack.com/home/post/p-22…
"Obama released $100 billion in previously frozen Iranian assets, roughly half of which were liquid and convertible to cash, and through sanctions relief, enabled the regime to expand oil production and exports to add an additional $20 billion in annual revenue. In exchange, Iran was not required to dismantle its uranium enrichment infrastructure or play nice... Throughout the JCPOA’s term, Iran continued testing ballistic missiles, advancing centrifuge technology, expanding its military footprint in the region, and financing and arming proxies like Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Iraqi Shia militias, Hezbollah and the Houthis. The regime captured American sailors, harassed U.S. warships, threatened American forces throughout the region, conducted cyberattacks and espionage, and pursued a coordinated strategy to undermine American and allied interests. To make matters worse, these efforts were funded in part by cash and assets made available through Obama’s sanctions relief. While the Iranians pocketed the cash and patiently waited for their permission slip to continue their nuclear ambitions, they only escalated their confrontational stance toward the United States. President Obama’s diplomatic efforts, for which he heaped praise upon himself in Cleveland, were a farce."
substack.com/home/post/p-22…
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
The thing no one wants to talk about around "affordability"
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
Nothing says "affordability" like re-opening the borders
As Biden was historically releasing tens of thousands of illegal aliens a month at the Texas border by June 2021, now Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa praised his policies for “restoring order and humanity at the border”
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
This is one of the most factually correct and historically accurate scenes Hollywood has ever produced.
The average American mind cannot comprehend this.
The average American mind cannot comprehend this.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
Polling place worker in California just casually admitted the barcode scanner has been broken ALL DAY.
Every single ID they scan? It pulls up the same random guy named Scott Long — at the county’s Imperial Highway headquarters address.
Not the actual voter. Scott. Every time.
: “Some guy named Scott… every time we scan, this random guy just pops up.”
One voter’s ID, another person’s ID, same result. “Same person.” “It’s the Imperial Highway address… like our county’s head center.”
Official ballots and party-change forms are right there on the table. The system that is supposed to verify who you are is locked on one name all day long.
If the check-in machine can’t tell voters apart, what else is it getting wrong?
Every single ID they scan? It pulls up the same random guy named Scott Long — at the county’s Imperial Highway headquarters address.
Not the actual voter. Scott. Every time.
: “Some guy named Scott… every time we scan, this random guy just pops up.”
One voter’s ID, another person’s ID, same result. “Same person.” “It’s the Imperial Highway address… like our county’s head center.”
Official ballots and party-change forms are right there on the table. The system that is supposed to verify who you are is locked on one name all day long.
If the check-in machine can’t tell voters apart, what else is it getting wrong?
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
THIS IS INSANE..OUR GOVT IS INSANE. @johnpcoale has gotten 900+ out of prison in Belarus..then Trump nominated him to head the office in State Dept to get Americans wrongfully detained out of foreign prisons but he must be senate confirmed and the process is so stupid. He was asked today for his college grades (he graduated 54 years ago) and he had to call Univ of Md and they won’t give him his grades w/out him telling them the phone number he used in 1969 and he has NO IDEA what number he had then…all this to help get Americans home! @POTUS @SecRubio
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
ENOUGH about the 27 "defeats" in seeking election records.
That was all a planned effort -- the cases need to get to the Supreme Court.
There is a federal statute that requires states to keep election records for 22 months, and allow federal officials to inspect them.
But the language of the statute is odd. It refers to records that "come into the possession" of state election officials.
What DOJ has sought are the state "Voter Files." That is the electronic database states create from the registration submissions made by persons when they register.
Because the Voter File is something state officials create themselves, Courts have held it is not a record that "comes into the possession" of state officials.
DOJ could simply ask for the registration paperwork that new registrants submit, but then it would need to assemble entire voting data bases itself, not knowing if its database matched the state's Voter File.
This is far from a meritless effort. The fact that Judges -- who are now relying on each other's analysis -- have adopted a technical reading of the precise nature of documents covered by the statute (whether Congress intended to be so restrictive or not) isn't a basis to declare what DOJ CRD has done to be illegitimate.
Blue states have refused to be transparent with the current state of their Voter File, and whether they knowingly have non-citizens listed as registered voters. DOJ CRD is entirely justified in exploring.all kinds of different ways to get access to them.
That was all a planned effort -- the cases need to get to the Supreme Court.
There is a federal statute that requires states to keep election records for 22 months, and allow federal officials to inspect them.
But the language of the statute is odd. It refers to records that "come into the possession" of state election officials.
What DOJ has sought are the state "Voter Files." That is the electronic database states create from the registration submissions made by persons when they register.
Because the Voter File is something state officials create themselves, Courts have held it is not a record that "comes into the possession" of state officials.
DOJ could simply ask for the registration paperwork that new registrants submit, but then it would need to assemble entire voting data bases itself, not knowing if its database matched the state's Voter File.
This is far from a meritless effort. The fact that Judges -- who are now relying on each other's analysis -- have adopted a technical reading of the precise nature of documents covered by the statute (whether Congress intended to be so restrictive or not) isn't a basis to declare what DOJ CRD has done to be illegitimate.
Blue states have refused to be transparent with the current state of their Voter File, and whether they knowingly have non-citizens listed as registered voters. DOJ CRD is entirely justified in exploring.all kinds of different ways to get access to them.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
🧵 THREAD: The true reason Pete Hegseth is being targeted is because he's standing between President Trump and a coup
@PeteHegseth named the institutions... CFR, Brookings, the general class... in 37 seconds in a video by @Liz_Wheeler . Within 72 hours of his nomination, a color ument cited him as an insider threat.
They didn't go after him because of drinking. They didn't go after him because of women. They went after him because every color revolution manual ever written says the same thing: you cannot topple a government unless the security forces defect. And a loyal Secretary of Defense is the one person who makes sure they don't.
I have the receipts. Their own documents. Their own training sessions. Their own words on camera.
As always, patience as I pull together the thread. 👇
@PeteHegseth named the institutions... CFR, Brookings, the general class... in 37 seconds in a video by @Liz_Wheeler . Within 72 hours of his nomination, a color ument cited him as an insider threat.
They didn't go after him because of drinking. They didn't go after him because of women. They went after him because every color revolution manual ever written says the same thing: you cannot topple a government unless the security forces defect. And a loyal Secretary of Defense is the one person who makes sure they don't.
I have the receipts. Their own documents. Their own training sessions. Their own words on camera.
As always, patience as I pull together the thread. 👇
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
FDR's own party on Capitol Hill recognized the existential threat of Court-packing to a free people & a republic of laws.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
Let me tell you something absolutely BONKERS from last night’s midterms…
Democrat Ericka Lomick just “won” Texas House District 93 despite being a convicted felon who suspended her campaign months ago.
She pleaded guilty in 2011 to federal charges including mortgage-fraud and money laundering. Her sentence? 63 months in federal prison.
On her candidate paperwork, she checked the box claiming she had not been finally convicted of a felony. After her criminal record surfaced in September, she suspended her campaign and stopped running.
But Texas election deadlines had already passed, so her name remained on the ballot for both the regular general election and the special election.
And voters still elected her by roughly 51–49%.
Here’s the kicker: Under Texas law, a final felony conviction generally makes someone ineligible to hold office unless they’ve been pardoned or had their disabilities released.
Meaning she can’t actually serve. Her “victory” simply creates a vacancy and triggers yet another special election.
A convicted federal fraudster who quit campaigning still got elected to the Texas House.
Let that absolutely sink in.
Democrat Ericka Lomick just “won” Texas House District 93 despite being a convicted felon who suspended her campaign months ago.
She pleaded guilty in 2011 to federal charges including mortgage-fraud and money laundering. Her sentence? 63 months in federal prison.
On her candidate paperwork, she checked the box claiming she had not been finally convicted of a felony. After her criminal record surfaced in September, she suspended her campaign and stopped running.
But Texas election deadlines had already passed, so her name remained on the ballot for both the regular general election and the special election.
And voters still elected her by roughly 51–49%.
Here’s the kicker: Under Texas law, a final felony conviction generally makes someone ineligible to hold office unless they’ve been pardoned or had their disabilities released.
Meaning she can’t actually serve. Her “victory” simply creates a vacancy and triggers yet another special election.
A convicted federal fraudster who quit campaigning still got elected to the Texas House.
Let that absolutely sink in.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
NEW: Alaska numbers. Peltola and Sullivan still separated by just 637 votes. The two recruits including "Decoy Dan" have more than 8,400 votes. Easily enough to sway final results.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
Ummm...I thought it was about affordability, gas prices and groceries?
No?
No?
Jamie Raskin promises Democrats will be going after corporations and law firms that "collaborated," "capitulated" and "surrendered" to Trump.
Translation: We will try to destroy any company or firm that dared to work with the Trump administration. Examples must be made for Democrat party.
It was all about healthcare and affordability, you guys.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
We asked AI to show America without any Republicans.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
@LeaderJohnThune No recess appointments.
230 outstanding appointments to confirm.
Huge backlog of judges you failed to confirm.
Failure to pass the save act.
Six HUNDRED house bills sitting on your desk with no action.
You’re a failure. And a disgrace.
230 outstanding appointments to confirm.
Huge backlog of judges you failed to confirm.
Failure to pass the save act.
Six HUNDRED house bills sitting on your desk with no action.
You’re a failure. And a disgrace.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
Mr. Vice-President,
Please allow me to present a different perspective.
The problem was not the Iran War. It was the cease fire.
If you start a war, you need to win it and finish it – otherwise don’t start it.
This war should have been over six months ago, with the Strait of Hormuz wide open and oil flowing. The second and third tiers of Iranian leadership should have been destroyed, and we should have supported the pro-western forces who could have taken leadership. We stood on the brink of a new, more peaceful Middle East - and then we blinked. We had a chance not only to deny Iran nuclear weapons, but to get rid of the world’s biggest supporter of terrorism.
Instead, we had a cease fire, which was followed by months of will we or won’t we finish the job. Every day was a different message. There still is. Is the war over? Is it about to begin? No one knows. There is confusion and inconsistency.
In June 2025, America was not involved. This was an Israel vs Iran issue.
No one forced the United States to attack Iran then, or in February of 2026. It was a decision made by President Trump. In my opinion, it was the right decision.
Once the decision was made, we should not have stopped until the regime fell. But instead, you negotiated a cease fire that didn’t last, didn’t work and left us in no man’s land, with higher prices and our troops still deployed.
Our troops could have been home, the Navy returned to its bases, a peaceful regime in place , new alliances forged, and gas prices below $3.00 a gallon.
No, Mr. Vice President. It’s not the war. It’s the so-called cease fire.
Please allow me to present a different perspective.
The problem was not the Iran War. It was the cease fire.
If you start a war, you need to win it and finish it – otherwise don’t start it.
This war should have been over six months ago, with the Strait of Hormuz wide open and oil flowing. The second and third tiers of Iranian leadership should have been destroyed, and we should have supported the pro-western forces who could have taken leadership. We stood on the brink of a new, more peaceful Middle East - and then we blinked. We had a chance not only to deny Iran nuclear weapons, but to get rid of the world’s biggest supporter of terrorism.
Instead, we had a cease fire, which was followed by months of will we or won’t we finish the job. Every day was a different message. There still is. Is the war over? Is it about to begin? No one knows. There is confusion and inconsistency.
In June 2025, America was not involved. This was an Israel vs Iran issue.
No one forced the United States to attack Iran then, or in February of 2026. It was a decision made by President Trump. In my opinion, it was the right decision.
Once the decision was made, we should not have stopped until the regime fell. But instead, you negotiated a cease fire that didn’t last, didn’t work and left us in no man’s land, with higher prices and our troops still deployed.
Our troops could have been home, the Navy returned to its bases, a peaceful regime in place , new alliances forged, and gas prices below $3.00 a gallon.
No, Mr. Vice President. It’s not the war. It’s the so-called cease fire.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
As an Iranian who has been closely following US politics from the outside over the past two years, let me tell you what was the reason behind the midterm election results in my opinion.
Many were blaming the Iran war.
The war in Iran was essentially a proxy war whose battlefield happened to be in Iran, but behind the scenes, a complex network of global powers was involved. China, Russia, Arab nations, the Democrats, and most importantly, the UK and European liberals were the lifelines and supporters of this regime, they had no intention of ever letting the Islamic regime in Iran go. The Islamic regime functioned as their tool, their financial cash cow, and their asset in the region, to entangle the US in the region and weaken it.
Trump confronted and stood against this entire network. He knew the regime was holding the Strait of Hormuz hostage, but he had the courage to step up, take the risk, and push forward. In response, they had no tools left except the narrative war.
A big sophisticated network started warmongering rhetoric and propaganda. Beyond the mainstream media, they even recruited right-wing podcasters like @TuckerCarlson , who suddenly flipped their positions and began spreading false narratives.
One of their primary tactics was stoking antisemitism and exploiting societal sensitivities, repeating lies until they were accepted as absolute fact. They kept claiming this was Israel’s war, which it simply wasn’t. I grew up in Iran and was forced to chant "Death to America" every morning at school, but I never once said "Death to Israel." This regime was obsessed with US, you are just so lucky you got Israeli intelligence in keeping you updated on the threat. Without Israel, you may had learned about it after a nuclear 9/11. This was America’s war, a fight against a system that was being weaponized to undermine the United States.
As for the necessity of this conflict, Trump had known for years (dating back to his first term) what needed to be done with this regime. Why this timing? Because the people of Iran rose up in January 2026. If you had paid attention, the military buildup started immediately afterward because any meaningful action had to tap into the energy and courage of the Iranian people.
No one in the media tells you that the Islamic regime massacred 75,000 people in Iran, and suddenly that horrific atrocity became a non-issue, completely brushed aside by those who are obsessed with Gaza.
The fearmongers constantly tried to claim that this is just another "forever war," when in reality, Trump was actively preventing a repeat of the Iraq and Afghanistan disasters. What happened back then was a sudden, uncalculated collapse with no plan for the aftermath, plunging those countries into chaos and trapping America in a quagmire. But this time, Trump was handling it in a very controlled manner, applying limited, gradual pressure to steadily weaken the regime so the people could take their country back themselves, without needing any American boots on the ground.
They knew full well that there were no boots on the ground in Iran and that their claims were baseless, yet they intentionally made mountains out of molehills to distort public opinion and hence bail out the regime.
But it changes nothing for @realDonaldTrump , he finishes what he starts, and this will become his lasting legacy. Sadly, by making these choices, Americans have deprived themselves of domestic progress Trump could have offered, and even worse, let the enemy within inside the Senate and the House.
I truly hope this serves as a wake-up call so that by 2028, these lies won’t work on you anymore.
Many were blaming the Iran war.
The war in Iran was essentially a proxy war whose battlefield happened to be in Iran, but behind the scenes, a complex network of global powers was involved. China, Russia, Arab nations, the Democrats, and most importantly, the UK and European liberals were the lifelines and supporters of this regime, they had no intention of ever letting the Islamic regime in Iran go. The Islamic regime functioned as their tool, their financial cash cow, and their asset in the region, to entangle the US in the region and weaken it.
Trump confronted and stood against this entire network. He knew the regime was holding the Strait of Hormuz hostage, but he had the courage to step up, take the risk, and push forward. In response, they had no tools left except the narrative war.
A big sophisticated network started warmongering rhetoric and propaganda. Beyond the mainstream media, they even recruited right-wing podcasters like @TuckerCarlson , who suddenly flipped their positions and began spreading false narratives.
One of their primary tactics was stoking antisemitism and exploiting societal sensitivities, repeating lies until they were accepted as absolute fact. They kept claiming this was Israel’s war, which it simply wasn’t. I grew up in Iran and was forced to chant "Death to America" every morning at school, but I never once said "Death to Israel." This regime was obsessed with US, you are just so lucky you got Israeli intelligence in keeping you updated on the threat. Without Israel, you may had learned about it after a nuclear 9/11. This was America’s war, a fight against a system that was being weaponized to undermine the United States.
As for the necessity of this conflict, Trump had known for years (dating back to his first term) what needed to be done with this regime. Why this timing? Because the people of Iran rose up in January 2026. If you had paid attention, the military buildup started immediately afterward because any meaningful action had to tap into the energy and courage of the Iranian people.
No one in the media tells you that the Islamic regime massacred 75,000 people in Iran, and suddenly that horrific atrocity became a non-issue, completely brushed aside by those who are obsessed with Gaza.
The fearmongers constantly tried to claim that this is just another "forever war," when in reality, Trump was actively preventing a repeat of the Iraq and Afghanistan disasters. What happened back then was a sudden, uncalculated collapse with no plan for the aftermath, plunging those countries into chaos and trapping America in a quagmire. But this time, Trump was handling it in a very controlled manner, applying limited, gradual pressure to steadily weaken the regime so the people could take their country back themselves, without needing any American boots on the ground.
They knew full well that there were no boots on the ground in Iran and that their claims were baseless, yet they intentionally made mountains out of molehills to distort public opinion and hence bail out the regime.
But it changes nothing for @realDonaldTrump , he finishes what he starts, and this will become his lasting legacy. Sadly, by making these choices, Americans have deprived themselves of domestic progress Trump could have offered, and even worse, let the enemy within inside the Senate and the House.
I truly hope this serves as a wake-up call so that by 2028, these lies won’t work on you anymore.
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20,115
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Brian Cartwright retweeted
My analysis is basically as follows:
1) The Iran war obviously impacted Trump’s base. Due to opposition to forever wars and also how it raised gas prices.
Now, bear with me on this, but I personally find part of this to be frustrating because (while I also oppose forever wars and detest high gas prices) I think a portion of Trump’s base conflated the military operation in Iran with the forever wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. And I think that comparison is unfair, based on the reality of what the military operation in Iran is so far, and also based on Trump’s stated goal that I think most people agree with, that Iran shouldn’t have a nuclear weapon because that poses a direct threat to America. And also based on Trump's history of opposing forever wars.
But regardless of whether I think that conflation is unfair, the reality is Iran did make a difference in the election. Look at that graph that Mollie Hemingway posted about Trump’s approval rating as it correlates to gas prices. Those two numbers track together. So I don’t know if necessarily the war itself was a mistake, I can’t say that honestly, because you and I don’t have access to the intel that answers the million dollar question, was Iran really imminently about to acquire a nuke? Or, was it the way that Trump communicated that it was going to happen quickly and then when it wasn’t over as quickly as promised, he lost people's trust… Regardless, this is obviously going to be the narrative we hear about most from now until 2028.
Worth noting too, that Trump’s base would’ve given Trump more leeway on the Iran war & even the domstic implications if they felt trust… If Trump had pounded justice as soon as he took office. We wanted perp walks and jumpsuits. Fauci, Brennan, all of them. But Pam Bondi didn’t do that, basically zero of the Democrats who weaponized govt under Biden against YOU have been held accountable, and people feel that viscerally, they feel disillusioned because they voted for justice. So they were very quick to feel “oh same old same old” when Trump launched the war in Iran, versus trusting him to execute it differently than the GOP establishment of the past.
2) BUT I think a critical point that has been ignored is the question, not just how did the GOP or Trump disappoint his base but HOW do we have a nation where more than half the people vote for Talarico and El Sayed? Where half the people cheered for the murder of Charlie Kirk? The Democrat party has been overtaken by a very sophisticated and motivated apparatus that is committed to their ideology and knows how to win strategically. I’m talking about the DSA. This is not an RNC v DNC world anymore. And not only does the left have the political apparatus to produce such radical candidates and then run effective targeted campaigns for them, we have ceded control of all the institutions in our country to leftists who use the institutions to indoctrinate young people to vote for those radical candidates. This is a problem nobody on the right wants to address! Because colleges and universities are a status symbol and what would happen to the economy if Trump cut off federal funding to schools that brainwash our youth, etc etc. But this is a HUGE part of the problem. The electoral strategy, the campaign tactics, the DSA takeover of the Dem party wouldn’t be effective if our institutions weren’t producing the voters to support it. So what are we gonna do about that? Conservative MUST confront this if we ever want to win again.
3) Candidate quality also matters, obviously. Like Darline Graham, Paxton, and Vivek? C’mon are we even trying to win.
4) Whitepill: the good news is Democrats are so diabolically crazy that they’ll spend the next two years abusing their power so badly that voters will turn on them in 2028 unless Republicans are idiots again.
May God have mercy on our nation.
1) The Iran war obviously impacted Trump’s base. Due to opposition to forever wars and also how it raised gas prices.
Now, bear with me on this, but I personally find part of this to be frustrating because (while I also oppose forever wars and detest high gas prices) I think a portion of Trump’s base conflated the military operation in Iran with the forever wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. And I think that comparison is unfair, based on the reality of what the military operation in Iran is so far, and also based on Trump’s stated goal that I think most people agree with, that Iran shouldn’t have a nuclear weapon because that poses a direct threat to America. And also based on Trump's history of opposing forever wars.
But regardless of whether I think that conflation is unfair, the reality is Iran did make a difference in the election. Look at that graph that Mollie Hemingway posted about Trump’s approval rating as it correlates to gas prices. Those two numbers track together. So I don’t know if necessarily the war itself was a mistake, I can’t say that honestly, because you and I don’t have access to the intel that answers the million dollar question, was Iran really imminently about to acquire a nuke? Or, was it the way that Trump communicated that it was going to happen quickly and then when it wasn’t over as quickly as promised, he lost people's trust… Regardless, this is obviously going to be the narrative we hear about most from now until 2028.
Worth noting too, that Trump’s base would’ve given Trump more leeway on the Iran war & even the domstic implications if they felt trust… If Trump had pounded justice as soon as he took office. We wanted perp walks and jumpsuits. Fauci, Brennan, all of them. But Pam Bondi didn’t do that, basically zero of the Democrats who weaponized govt under Biden against YOU have been held accountable, and people feel that viscerally, they feel disillusioned because they voted for justice. So they were very quick to feel “oh same old same old” when Trump launched the war in Iran, versus trusting him to execute it differently than the GOP establishment of the past.
2) BUT I think a critical point that has been ignored is the question, not just how did the GOP or Trump disappoint his base but HOW do we have a nation where more than half the people vote for Talarico and El Sayed? Where half the people cheered for the murder of Charlie Kirk? The Democrat party has been overtaken by a very sophisticated and motivated apparatus that is committed to their ideology and knows how to win strategically. I’m talking about the DSA. This is not an RNC v DNC world anymore. And not only does the left have the political apparatus to produce such radical candidates and then run effective targeted campaigns for them, we have ceded control of all the institutions in our country to leftists who use the institutions to indoctrinate young people to vote for those radical candidates. This is a problem nobody on the right wants to address! Because colleges and universities are a status symbol and what would happen to the economy if Trump cut off federal funding to schools that brainwash our youth, etc etc. But this is a HUGE part of the problem. The electoral strategy, the campaign tactics, the DSA takeover of the Dem party wouldn’t be effective if our institutions weren’t producing the voters to support it. So what are we gonna do about that? Conservative MUST confront this if we ever want to win again.
3) Candidate quality also matters, obviously. Like Darline Graham, Paxton, and Vivek? C’mon are we even trying to win.
4) Whitepill: the good news is Democrats are so diabolically crazy that they’ll spend the next two years abusing their power so badly that voters will turn on them in 2028 unless Republicans are idiots again.
May God have mercy on our nation.
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