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#TreasuriesToday: Yields mixed with curve flatter as oil prices slide. $213b coupon settlement (net paydown of $17.4b). Oct index return 2.4% (best month since Dec 2023), YTD -0.5%. Ahead Weds, Treasury sets next week's auction sizes & projects others thru Jan.
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Friday fun with @TheTerminal news search

N "TRUMP" "IRAN" "SOON" HEADS BBG <GO>
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields down 2bp-4bp (despite oil rally) at lowest levels this month with Nasdaq 100 futures down 2.7%. 2Y & 5Y late Thursday fell below 50-day average levels for 1st time since August. Month-end index rebalancing at 4pm to extend duration by estimated 0.05 year.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields little changed, retaining most of Wednesday's post-FOMC curve-steepening move. $44b 7Y note auction at 1pm, last coupon sale of the Aug-Oct quarter with Nov-Jan TBA next week, has WI yield near 4.92%, between last two results.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields higher by 1bp-3bp with oil benchmarks up 1%-2%. For FOMC decision at 2pm, short-term rate contracts price in just 3bp of tightening but still almost fully price in a hike by year-end & 3 by end-2027. 7Y auction (last of Aug-Oct quarter) is ahead Thurs.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower with oil prices by 1bp-2bp inside Monday's ranges. $70b 5Y auction at 1pm (day earlier than normal to avoid conflict with FOMC meeting tomorrow) has WI yield near 4.81%, between last two results. Buyback of up to $6b in 20Y-30Y sector closes at 2pm.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields narrowly mixed with curve flatter. $69b 2Y auction at 1pm (week's cycle starts a day earlier than normal to avoid conflict with FOMC meeting Wednesday) has WI yield near 4.70%, between last two results. Size of Tuesday's 20Y-30Y buyback TBA at 11am.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields higher by 3bp-5bp inside Thursday's rally ranges (biggest since 8/1/25 on weak jobs report) as stocks & French bonds stabilize & oil rises. Auctions ahead next week (last of the Aug-Oct quarter): $69b 2Y Mon, $70b 5Y Tues, $44b 7Y Thurs (FOMC has Weds).
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We sent some headlines today
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower by 5bp-10bp, nearing low end of past month's ranges, with stock futures red & French bonds tanking. 30Y is below 50-day average for 1st time since July. $26b 5Y TIPS new issue at 1pm has WI yield near 2.39%, still exceeding results since Oct 2023.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields little changed, edging lower as oil pares gain, with stock futures higher & most European bond markets under pressure. $13b 20Y reopening (2nd) at 1pm has WI yield near 5.47%, about 5bp higher than last month's record (since 2020) result.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields mostly lower by as much as 2bp-3bp inside Monday's selloff ranges despite sharply higher oil prices with US tech shares indicated to open lower. Curve flatter. Ahead this week: $13b 20Y reopening (2nd) Wednesday & $26b 5Y TIPS new issue Thursday.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields little changed inside Friday's ranges as France leads most European bond markets lower & WTI crude oil stabilizes after last week's 10% jump. Ahead this week: $13b 20Y reopening (2nd) Wednesday & $26b 5Y TIPS new issue Thursday.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields higher by 2bp-5bp inside Thursday's rally ranges. Treasury unveils dealer survey questions for November refunding at noon. Ahead next week: $13b 20Y reopening (2nd) Wednesday & $26b 5Y TIPS new issue Thursday.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields down 6bp-10bp near lowest levels of past month amid global bond rally spurred by Asian stock selloff. Next week's auction sizes TBA at 11am: $13b 20Y reopening (2nd) & $26b 5Y TIPS new issue projected. Buyback of up to $6b in 10Y-20Y sector closes at 2pm.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower by 1bp-2bp inside Tuesday’s ranges. Pre CPI an Oct. 28 Fed hike is about 20% priced in. Size of buyback in 10Y-20Y sector ahead Thursday (not Wednesday as yesterday’s post said in error) TBA at 11am.
#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower with oil prices by 2bp-5bp with curve flatter as cash market reopens after Monday's US bank holiday. 30Y touched lowest level since Sept. 29. Ahead this week: buyback of at least $4b in 10Y-20Y sector Wednesday.
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower with oil prices by 2bp-5bp with curve flatter as cash market reopens after Monday's US bank holiday. 30Y touched lowest level since Sept. 29. Ahead this week: buyback of at least $4b in 10Y-20Y sector Wednesday.
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#TreasuriesToday will return Oct. 13, rested and ready. Peace
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#TreasuriesToday: Yields lower with oil prices by ~3bp amid steeper yield declines in Europe (ex-France). Market-implied chance of Oct Fed rate hike ~25% ahead of Sept jobs data. Coupon auctions next week: $58b 3Y new issue Tues, $39b 10Y & $22b 30Y reopenings (2nd) Weds & Thurs.
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#TreasuriesToday: Happy Fiscal New Year! Yields mixed, off session highs, with curve steeper. 10Y reached 5.34%, highest since 2002. Next week's 3Y/10Y/30Y auction sizes TBA at 11am & buyback of up to $6b in 10Y-20Y sector closes at 2pm. Sept index return -2.24%, YTD -2.8%.
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