Un hito de estas elecciones:
Por primera vez en la historia de España, una persona abiertamente LGBTQ+ es candidata a la presidencia del Gobierno.
Por primera vez en la historia de España, una persona abiertamente LGBTQ+ es candidata a la presidencia del Gobierno.
403
90
700
AsĂ quedan las izquierdas no estatales. Dos novedades importantes:
- @AdelanteAND se suma al grupo de fuerzas que concurren de manera independiente
- @Esquerra_ERC se suma al grupo de partidos con alianzas estatales
- @AdelanteAND se suma al grupo de fuerzas que concurren de manera independiente
- @Esquerra_ERC se suma al grupo de partidos con alianzas estatales
5
3
58
No ha habido grandes cambios en las Ășltimas semanas de encuestas, pero sĂ que se perciben dos tendencias:
- Subida de PSOE y Vox
- Bajada de PP
- Subida de PSOE y Vox
- Bajada de PP
2
17
85
Este retuit...
Mi apuesta es que va a haber dos listas de izquierdas en casi todo el paĂs:
1) ERC-Bildu-BNG-Adelante-Podemos: liderazgo coral de Rufiån, Montero, Matute, Pontón y alguien de Adelante. Alianza estratégica; luego, grupos propios.
2) Sumar-IU-MĂĄs Madrid-Comuns: Colau al frente.
4
8
172
Lastly, we are super thankful to those, including the reviewers, who helped us make the better! :)
0
0
1
The Muslim penalty is nearly double among nativists (8pp) compared to non-nativists (4pp).
This means that even non-nativists show this bias. The rejection of Muslim-associated proposals isn't limited to the usual suspects. (8/11)
This means that even non-nativists show this bias. The rejection of Muslim-associated proposals isn't limited to the usual suspects. (8/11)
1
0
2
Key findings on what drives support:
đ Proposals from Muslim-associated organizations receive a ~5pp penalty across all policy types (progressive and conservative)
đ In-group norms matter most: when told 80% of nationals support a policy, support jumps 13pp vs. 20% support
đ Proposals from Muslim-associated organizations receive a ~5pp penalty across all policy types (progressive and conservative)
đ In-group norms matter most: when told 80% of nationals support a policy, support jumps 13pp vs. 20% support
1
0
2
We test this with a novel AI-powered visual conjoint experiment in the Netherlands đłđ± and Germany đ©đȘ (N=2,527).
Respondents chose between hypothetical education reform proposals from civic actors, with randomized identity cues.
Example of task: (5/11)
Respondents chose between hypothetical education reform proposals from civic actors, with randomized identity cues.
Example of task: (5/11)
1
0
1
Far-right leaders invoke liberal values (womenâs, LGBTQ+ and environmental rights) to justify anti-immigration stances, while eroding those values at home.
Think Elon Musk's sudden concern for women's rights, but only when *Muslim* men are perpetrators. (2/11)
Think Elon Musk's sudden concern for women's rights, but only when *Muslim* men are perpetrators. (2/11)
1
0
1
New publication with Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte in @PSRMJournal! đ§”
We study whether citizensâ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?
Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) đ
We study whether citizensâ liberal values are selective: do people support policies based on who promotes them?
Short answer: Yes, and it's driven by ethnic out-group disidentification. (1/11) đ
1
2
6
Indebted to a huge number of people along the way â in particular the folks at EPSA 2024, ECPR 2024 and the kind people at the EUI, Lund and Uppsala for inviting us to talk about this.
We also thank Charlie XCX đ for keeping us motivated during the writing process
We also thank Charlie XCX đ for keeping us motivated during the writing process
1
0
5
If this explanation holds true, we should see evidence in support of two assumptions: 1. Negative affect for centre-left should be greater than positive affect for the far right 2. Centre-right partisans should *expect* in-group members to reward far-right vis-Ă -vis centre-left.
1
0
3
Behavioural evidence â which gets around statistical discrimination, information equivalence and reduces social desirability bias â demonstrates that the centre-right treats the far-right just like an in-party peer.
1
0
2
Observational evidence demonstrates that centre-right partisans do not view voting for the far right as a red flag in a potential partner.
1
0
2
Our theoretical claim is that centre-right partisans face competing social norms: a polity norm to reject stigmatised parties and a group-based norm to reject the political out-group.
1
0
3
We asked over 2,000 people in Britain and Spain to swipe on 20,000 AI-generated dating profiles. Each profile randomly varied in traits like job, hobbies, and political party support â including for the far-right.
1
0
2
A Tinder Test of Democratic Normsđ
New paper in @The_JOP with Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte.
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right đŹđ§đȘđž doi.org/10.1086/736698
New paper in @The_JOP with Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte.
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right đŹđ§đȘđž doi.org/10.1086/736698
1
40
154
This stereotype is not just limited to far-right votersâitâs widespread across ideological groups.
LGBTQ+ individuals themselves are just as likely to hold this view.
LGBTQ+ individuals themselves are just as likely to hold this view.
1
0
2
Across all four countries đŹđ§ đșđž đ©đȘ đłđ± a majority of respondents associated Muslims with being a threat to LGBTQ+ people.
1
0
1
We use double-list experiments to reveal hidden biases while avoiding social desirability bias.
This method boosts power by exposing everyone to the treatment, randomizing its placement across two lists.
This method boosts power by exposing everyone to the treatment, randomizing its placement across two lists.
1
1
1
Excited to present my ongoing research agenda on selective (il)liberalism this Wednesday at 1 PM, hosted by @BU_PoliSci. The talk features collaborations with @turnbulldugarte, @laiabalcells & Ethan vanderWilden.
If in Boston/BU area, happy to engage!
If in Boston/BU area, happy to engage!
0
7
29
Not all demographic groups have shifted toward the Republicans.
LGBTQ+ voters seem to have moved even more solidly into the Democratic camp this year than ever before.
nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-poâŠ
LGBTQ+ voters seem to have moved even more solidly into the Democratic camp this year than ever before.
nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-poâŠ
0
2
6
Absolute favorite movie of 2024.
A rightfully gory mirror to our current state of affairs on gendered internalized ageism.
A rightfully gory mirror to our current state of affairs on gendered internalized ageism.
0
0
6
Excited to present my new research on citizen backlash to LGBTQ+ diplomacy at #APSA2024 @APSAtweets!
Honored to share the panel with brilliant scholars I admire like @_kvelasco, @CallaHummel, @Phillip_Ayoub, @BaralSiddhartha and @JEMoreau.
Join us Friday at 8 am! đ
Honored to share the panel with brilliant scholars I admire like @_kvelasco, @CallaHummel, @Phillip_Ayoub, @BaralSiddhartha and @JEMoreau.
Join us Friday at 8 am! đ
0
8
55
Aunque toda evidencia cientĂfica apunte al fracaso, vemos socialdemĂłcratas copiando polĂticas antiinmigraciĂłn de la derecha radical y a verdes criminalizando el Islam y los refugiados.
Mientras, la poblaciĂłn a favor de una polĂtica migratoria progresista cada vez mĂĄs huĂ©rfana.
Mientras, la poblaciĂłn a favor de una polĂtica migratoria progresista cada vez mĂĄs huĂ©rfana.
1
4
12
đšSome professional news :)
In September, I will be the 2024-25 Ramon Areces Fellow & Visiting Scholar at @HarvardCES.
Then in July, I'll work as a tenured assistant professor at @VUamsterdam & on the VENI grant @NWONieuws!
ïżŒ
Now time to celebrate summer! âïž
In September, I will be the 2024-25 Ramon Areces Fellow & Visiting Scholar at @HarvardCES.
Then in July, I'll work as a tenured assistant professor at @VUamsterdam & on the VENI grant @NWONieuws!
ïżŒ
Now time to celebrate summer! âïž
42
3
262
Yendri VelĂĄsquez is a tireless LGBTQ+ activist and a very dear friend. He was detained today by the authoritarian Venezuelan government.
We do not know his whereabouts and health condition. We want to know: #DondeEstaYendri
We do not know his whereabouts and health condition. We want to know: #DondeEstaYendri
0
13
31
Just concluded the 3rd year LGBTI Inequalities COST Action @lgbt_inequality Summer School in Cluj-Napoca. đđ·đŽ
30 PhD students, 5 instructors, all from over 24 countries.
Also, countless inspiring moments and ideas shared.
Proud of this incredible group! đ
30 PhD students, 5 instructors, all from over 24 countries.
Also, countless inspiring moments and ideas shared.
Proud of this incredible group! đ
1
1
44
May hatred not blind us from seeing the truth:
Out of 10,714 athletes at the Paris Olympics, only 2 are openly trans/non-binary individuals. None of them are trans women.
None. 0/10,714.
The abolition/erasure of whom?
Out of 10,714 athletes at the Paris Olympics, only 2 are openly trans/non-binary individuals. None of them are trans women.
None. 0/10,714.
The abolition/erasure of whom?
9
17
106
Over the moon to announce that...
Iâve been awarded a @NWOFunding VENI grant for my project âSelectively (il)liberal citizensâ!!! đđ
Excited to spend 4 years exploring how ethnic norms shape liberal values with AI-powered visual experiments.
Can't wait to dive into this!
Iâve been awarded a @NWOFunding VENI grant for my project âSelectively (il)liberal citizensâ!!! đđ
Excited to spend 4 years exploring how ethnic norms shape liberal values with AI-powered visual experiments.
Can't wait to dive into this!
NWO has awarded Veni funding of up to EUR 320,000 to 174 promising researchers from across the full breadth of science. This will allow the laureates to further develop their own research ideas over the next three years. nwo.nl/en/news/from-aâŠ
42
9
187
Full room for star LGBTQ+ politics academics @m_hunklinger & @GrahnMichal and their groundbreaking research. âš
#ECPG2024
#ECPG2024
0
1
26
Recomiendo este artĂculo de @candelabarro y @SergioSangiao que incluye entre otras cosas algunas conclusiones de mi investigaciĂłn y opiniĂłn sobre temas de gĂ©nero y sexualidad
publico.es/sociedad/b-cogâŠ
publico.es/sociedad/b-cogâŠ
1
4
9
3/ On Tuesday at 09:00 I'll present in beautiful Ghent another paper with... @turnbulldugarte! đ
Here we show that citizens are selectively (il)liberal, with nativists showing greater instrumental policy support for liberal policy changes based on multidimensional ethnic cues.
Here we show that citizens are selectively (il)liberal, with nativists showing greater instrumental policy support for liberal policy changes based on multidimensional ethnic cues.
0
1
7
2/ On Friday at 17:00 I'll present my paper with @turnbulldugarte on dating far-right people.
We find little evidence for the stigmatization hypothesis, but a bloc-logic norm. Our results suggest it is affective polarization and out-bloc rejection help normalize the far-right.
We find little evidence for the stigmatization hypothesis, but a bloc-logic norm. Our results suggest it is affective polarization and out-bloc rejection help normalize the far-right.
1
2
3
All ready for @europsa in Cologne and @ecpg in Ghent!
1/ On Friday at 13:00, @javierpmt2 will present our paper with @CanalejoAlvaro.
We show how the IDs and democratic attitudes of citizens disenfranchised regions such as Andalusia are affected by center-periphery relations.
1/ On Friday at 13:00, @javierpmt2 will present our paper with @CanalejoAlvaro.
We show how the IDs and democratic attitudes of citizens disenfranchised regions such as Andalusia are affected by center-periphery relations.
1
3
14
4/ What does this mean?
Researchers using text conjoints might have been overreporting favorability for "visible" women, non-white, and non-white women candidates.
"Unvisible" LGBTQ+ candidates are especially penalized, particularly non-binaries, when *read* as such, in text.
Researchers using text conjoints might have been overreporting favorability for "visible" women, non-white, and non-white women candidates.
"Unvisible" LGBTQ+ candidates are especially penalized, particularly non-binaries, when *read* as such, in text.
1
0
3
3/ Using pretested AI-generated pictures, we find general confirmatory results for women and LGBTQ+ status.
In the case of ethnicity, the effect (text-drived "prejudice control) is only present among left-wing respondents.
In the case of ethnicity, the effect (text-drived "prejudice control) is only present among left-wing respondents.
1
0
4
2/ We hypothesize that:
People control their prejudice *better* when they read "woman" or "non-white" in text vs. when they see a picture of a woman or a non-white candidate.
Opposite effects are expected for "invisible" categories like being gay, lesbian, bi, or non-binary.
People control their prejudice *better* when they read "woman" or "non-white" in text vs. when they see a picture of a woman or a non-white candidate.
Opposite effects are expected for "invisible" categories like being gay, lesbian, bi, or non-binary.
1
1
9
đą A new paper w/ Marco Radojevic is now out in @PolBehavior
Does learning political candidatesâ social categories through visual (vs. text) cues affect voter preferences?
We run a visual and a text conjoint and find the answer is: yes.
rdcu.be/dL1Ih #OA
1/đ§”
Does learning political candidatesâ social categories through visual (vs. text) cues affect voter preferences?
We run a visual and a text conjoint and find the answer is: yes.
rdcu.be/dL1Ih #OA
1/đ§”
7
32
109
Homo- and femonationalism seem to be central to đȘđž new conspiracy party Se acabĂł la fiesta.
0
3
4
Where do supporters of Se acabĂł la fiesta (new đȘđž conspiracy party) place themselves?
Data collected by @CanalejoAlvaro, @javierpmt2, and me shows they lean more centrist than PP and Vox, despite high variation.
That said, self-placement â political positions. More to come!
Data collected by @CanalejoAlvaro, @javierpmt2, and me shows they lean more centrist than PP and Vox, despite high variation.
That said, self-placement â political positions. More to come!
1
26
99
Esto sencillamente no es asĂ.
Hay muchos argumentos contra del voto obligatorio, pero precisamente lo que la literatura mĂĄs reciente indica justo lo contrario: el voto obligatorio empuja hacia el votante mediano reduciendo la polarizaciĂłn.
cambridge.org/core/journals/âŠ
Hay muchos argumentos contra del voto obligatorio, pero precisamente lo que la literatura mĂĄs reciente indica justo lo contrario: el voto obligatorio empuja hacia el votante mediano reduciendo la polarizaciĂłn.
cambridge.org/core/journals/âŠ
Este factor es uno de los grandes argumentos contra el voto obligatorio.
Sabemos que si se obliga a votar a gente a la que la polĂtica le genera indiferencia o rechazo, suelen priorizar a candidatos extremos.
Cuando movilizas a quien le da igual todo, votan lanzallamas.
2
22
109
Also, read @CW_PoWiâs thread to get a summary and learn how Heartstopperâs Nick and Kit Connor inspired us during our writing.
More in the paper!
More in the paper!
1
0
3
Tomorrow, we say goodbye to this academic year's Queer Politics Webinar...
But we couldn't be happier because we'll have @Phillip_Ayoub presenting his newest book with @StoecklKristina.
Join us! đ
But we couldn't be happier because we'll have @Phillip_Ayoub presenting his newest book with @StoecklKristina.
Join us! đ
We are over the moon because this is happening tomorrow... đ
Don't miss it at 9 am PT/5 pm GMT+1!
0
1
16
En tiempos en los que aumentan los ataques globales a los sĂmbolos LGBTQ+, me preocupan los gestos de desprecio desde dentro del colectivo a las medidas "no materiales".
En un paper reciente muestro quiĂ©nes atacan y por quĂ© son importantes nuestras đłïžâđđłïžââ§ïž.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11âŠ
En un paper reciente muestro quiĂ©nes atacan y por quĂ© son importantes nuestras đłïžâđđłïžââ§ïž.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11âŠ
0
11
17
Estos argumentos que contraponen los derechos mujeres y la infancia a los de migrantes y personas LGBTQI+ son los mismos que utiliza la extrema derecha en toda Europa.
Los medios son responsables de instalar el caldo de cultivo promoviendo las ideas que les hacen avanzar.
Los medios son responsables de instalar el caldo de cultivo promoviendo las ideas que les hacen avanzar.
1
1
3
Sorprende poco. Desde hace unos años son numerosas las columnas que utilizan a mujeres e infancia como vehĂculo para promover ideas prejuiciosas o de odio.
Ayer mismo, esta vez usando a los niños, se planteó un falso dilema contra los derechos trans.
elpais.com/opinion/2024-0âŠ
Ayer mismo, esta vez usando a los niños, se planteó un falso dilema contra los derechos trans.
elpais.com/opinion/2024-0âŠ
1
1
5
Es impresionante el nivel de islamofobia que tolera el filtro editorial de El PaĂs.
elpais.com/opinion/2024-0âŠ
elpais.com/opinion/2024-0âŠ
3
5
13
This paper does two cool things:
- It provides very robust evidence on little overall support for the cordon sanitaire among voters in Spain.
- It proposes a very convincing affective argument on why cordon sanitaire is so unpopular in such a two-bloc polarized context.
- It provides very robust evidence on little overall support for the cordon sanitaire among voters in Spain.
- It proposes a very convincing affective argument on why cordon sanitaire is so unpopular in such a two-bloc polarized context.
0
1
9
Analysis through ordinal linear regressions shows that party preference and age significantly influence anti-LGBTQ+ symbol sentiments.
Vox strongly predicts this negativity, with PP vote intent (but not recall) also indicating a trend toward opposition to pride flags.
Vox strongly predicts this negativity, with PP vote intent (but not recall) also indicating a trend toward opposition to pride flags.
1
0
4
Utilizing a timely overlap of the ESS survey and Murcia's public institute barometer, the study compares attitudes in a similar population toward abstract concepts, formal rights, and state-sponsored symbolism....
revealing way more negativity toward LGBTQ+ flags.
revealing way more negativity toward LGBTQ+ flags.
1
0
3
New paper:
Why, as Western European countries grow more tolerant of LGBTQ+ rights, do we see an increase in attacks on LGBTQ+ flags?
In my paper, I explain and provide evidence of hostility against state-sponsored symbolism in đȘđž:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.11âŠ
Why, as Western European countries grow more tolerant of LGBTQ+ rights, do we see an increase in attacks on LGBTQ+ flags?
In my paper, I explain and provide evidence of hostility against state-sponsored symbolism in đȘđž:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.11âŠ
5
33
137
Ese mismo o mayor conservadurismo de las mujeres mayores de 35 se puede ver en otras cuestiones de género ademås como el aborto:
1
0
3
La cara positiva de los resultados de la encuesta de @40dbES hoy:
- Una mayorĂa estĂĄ a favor de medidas clave para garantizar la igualdad entre mujeres y hombres.
La cara negativa:
- El % de apoyo a medidas inclusivas para las personas trans y no binarias es aun muy bajo.
- Una mayorĂa estĂĄ a favor de medidas clave para garantizar la igualdad entre mujeres y hombres.
La cara negativa:
- El % de apoyo a medidas inclusivas para las personas trans y no binarias es aun muy bajo.
1
8
11
Amid rising anti-LGBTQ+ hate, this survey is deeply problematic for 2 reasons:
(1) it falsely pits "trans women's identity" against "women's safety in bathrooms"
(2) it advises those valuing "equality" or questioning gender stereotypes to attend a transphobic demonstration.
(1) it falsely pits "trans women's identity" against "women's safety in bathrooms"
(2) it advises those valuing "equality" or questioning gender stereotypes to attend a transphobic demonstration.
0
13
41
đŁđÂżTienes algĂșn trabajo sobre comportamiento polĂtico, valores, o temas parecidos?
El congreso AECPA este año es en Burgos y @macarena_ares y yo hemos organizado un grupo de trabajo sobre estos temas.
ÂĄNo dudĂ©is en enviar vuestras propuestas! aecpa.es/es-es/valores-âŠ
El congreso AECPA este año es en Burgos y @macarena_ares y yo hemos organizado un grupo de trabajo sobre estos temas.
ÂĄNo dudĂ©is en enviar vuestras propuestas! aecpa.es/es-es/valores-âŠ
0
9
18
Delirio queer, dictadura queer, chorrada queer...
Que el Ministerio de Igualdad "progresista" elija como directora del Instituto de las Mujeres a alguien que abiertamente ataca a las personas LGBTI, en especialmente a las personas trans, es indignante.
x.com/IgualdadGob/stâŠ
Que el Ministerio de Igualdad "progresista" elija como directora del Instituto de las Mujeres a alguien que abiertamente ataca a las personas LGBTI, en especialmente a las personas trans, es indignante.
x.com/IgualdadGob/stâŠ
El #CMin nombra a @IsaGarciasanc directora del Instituto de las Mujeres
igualdad.gob.es/comunicacion/nâŠ
50
426
810
As advanced by @DCampus, dual leaderships are rising both in Europe! Most green parties in Europe have it, but also many SD, liberal, and even some far-right parties have implemented it.
Conjoint results in đ©đȘshow that is has consequences for (ethnic) candidate preferences!
Conjoint results in đ©đȘshow that is has consequences for (ethnic) candidate preferences!
0
0
3
đ Amazingly insightful talk on âThe war on sexâ by @m_hunklinger for Amsterdam Pride in The Social Hub #Pride2023.
1
1
10
Aunque los nĂșmeros no son exactamente los mismos, #Predilect predijo que PP y Vox no sumarĂan mayorĂa y que el bloqueo era el escenario mĂĄs probable.
Como dije aquĂ, como en el 2015 y al 2019, probablemente necesitemos dos elecciones para volver a un nuevo equilibrio.
Como dije aquĂ, como en el 2015 y al 2019, probablemente necesitemos dos elecciones para volver a un nuevo equilibrio.
3
1
5
đłïžđ Por transparencia, aquĂ la ultima predicciĂłn de #Predilect.
A partir de las 22h salimos de dudas.
AquĂ mĂĄs: elperiodico.com/es/politica/20âŠ
A partir de las 22h salimos de dudas.
AquĂ mĂĄs: elperiodico.com/es/politica/20âŠ
1
2
13