Pinned Tweet
Do you think the ocean at night is spooky to whales? Just cruising through the void like that. Damn.
40
8
208
*Normal Disclaimer of CVR vs AKDOE*:
The RCV Ballot Measure/U.S. Senate Race in Alaska are highly correlational. Cramér's V = 0.78
88.1% of those who voted Yes to end RCV, Ranked Dan S. Sullivan 1st.
84.6% of No ballots, Peltola.
Heike 53% Yes.
Dan J. Jr.: 56% No.
#akelect
The RCV Ballot Measure/U.S. Senate Race in Alaska are highly correlational. Cramér's V = 0.78
88.1% of those who voted Yes to end RCV, Ranked Dan S. Sullivan 1st.
84.6% of No ballots, Peltola.
Heike 53% Yes.
Dan J. Jr.: 56% No.
#akelect
0
1
5
911
will muldoon retweeted
Maps have been updated. Totals for the default map are of the election day vote ONLY - that's how AK rolls.
Not many rural bush precincts were added. Sullivan still leads the RCV Count (pull down the choose which map to display menu & change to RCV):
cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…
Not many rural bush precincts were added. Sullivan still leads the RCV Count (pull down the choose which map to display menu & change to RCV):
cinycmaps.com/index.php/stat…
1
2
13
4,515
The tabulations I am posted are based on the "Cast Vote Record". This is a separate dataset than the map/summary on Elections.Alaska.gov and elsewhere.
Currently the CVR has 9,909 fewer ballots than the Summary updates. Mostly missing rural AK and some SE.
Currently the CVR has 9,909 fewer ballots than the Summary updates. Mostly missing rural AK and some SE.
Please explain
2
0
5
1,311
Sullivan, Dan S. 101,560 (48.5%) 102,124 (49.0%) 104,321 (50.6%)
Peltola, Mary 100,048 (47.7%) 101,061 (48.5%) 101,956 (49.4%)
(No real tea leaves to read imho)
#Akelect
Peltola, Mary 100,048 (47.7%) 101,061 (48.5%) 101,956 (49.4%)
(No real tea leaves to read imho)
#Akelect
8
0
9
21,550
Registration Transactions != Transactions.
This is a 300pg+ PDF from the EAC, a nonpartisan commission from Congress.
The idea that Mike Johnson's Congress during Donald Trump's Presidency is just dropping PDFs that says "Yup. here's the frauds!" is a bit of a stretch for now.
This is a 300pg+ PDF from the EAC, a nonpartisan commission from Congress.
The idea that Mike Johnson's Congress during Donald Trump's Presidency is just dropping PDFs that says "Yup. here's the frauds!" is a bit of a stretch for now.
Here is the full list of ‘New valid voter registrations’ done nationwide between 2022-2024 WITHOUT ID
🚨 The total number of new voter registrations WITHOUT ID in 43 states is 24,662,998
California: 4,308,269 Texas: 2,900,357 North Carolina: 1,410,905 Florida: 1,337,303 s: 981,482 Pennsylvania: 842,187 Georgia: 757,440 New York: 680,259 Tennessee: 634,912 Michigan: 604,606 South Carolina: 594,568 Alabama: 572,632 Virginia: 563,781 Maryland: 524,189 Colorado: 498,308 Washington: 473,192 Minnesota: 471,657 Massachusetts: 465,616 Missouri: 460,197 New Jersey: 425,782 Oklahoma: 388,669 Connecticut: 386,014 Indiana: 357,741 Mississippi: 344,991 Louisiana: 263,705 Arkansas: 246,974 Oregon: 240,611 Kentucky: 220,093 Kansas: 218,739 Idaho: 181,741 Nebraska: 164,491 Nevada: 145,494 New Mexico: 118,141 Iowa: 116,644 Maine: 106,978 Vermont: 81,993 Montana: 78,669 Delaware: 71,902 Hawaii: 64,468 West Virginia: 53,343 Rhode Island: 53,040 Alaska: 52,456
States: 43
Total new valid registrations without ID: 24,662,998
This is extremely suspicious since Democrats somehow materialized 20 million new voters….
It’s almost like they stacked the voter rolls with tens of millions of new voter registrations without ID or proof of citizenship and then used electronic voting machine algorithms to rig the results…..
1
0
5
992
Since the citizens passed BM1 a decade ago, Alaskans have been able to auto-register to vote via their PFD application.
Just because I can use MyAlaska as a holistic system of engagement, doesn't mean there aren't measures transparent and opaque to defend against fraud.
Just because I can use MyAlaska as a holistic system of engagement, doesn't mean there aren't measures transparent and opaque to defend against fraud.
1
0
3
138
There's PLENTY of Fraud divisions within the state of Alaska. PFD/DOR/DOH/DPA/CED all have specific Fraud divisions. Then there's the Dept of Law.
The idea that an Alaskan would risk a C Felony, their current and future PFDs, and more to conspire in an Italian attack is silly.
The idea that an Alaskan would risk a C Felony, their current and future PFDs, and more to conspire in an Italian attack is silly.
0
0
3
61
Zero evidence of this in the data.
Biggest break is coincidentally on who you support for U.S. Senate and highly partisan down ballots.
There's a slight *negative correlation* to vote share in strong Dan precincts with Daniel J.
Go run Cramérs v on BM2 vs everything else.
Biggest break is coincidentally on who you support for U.S. Senate and highly partisan down ballots.
There's a slight *negative correlation* to vote share in strong Dan precincts with Daniel J.
Go run Cramérs v on BM2 vs everything else.
You have ruined the credibility of ranked choice voting for all time. The system that all the institutions are trying to push on us as the fairest system and helps resolve polarization.
Then, the first close race you got, you intentionally seek out someone else named Dan Sullivan and run him to confuse the voters.
The only positive side of all this is that you are blatantly destroying credibility in the "democracy" ecosystem pushing structural reform down all our throats. It was never about unity. It was always about a power grab and creating a one-party dictatorship.
This is why the theme of the last two years of the Trump administration will be "Defend the Republic." You guys are pulling a coup on us all in a million directions, and we see it.
0
3
13
729
My assumption is HD28 in 26GENR will be slightly off. Maybe even just one ballot.
Its one of my flagged districts for auditing and reverse engineering the rank processor configs.
Haven't seen a single other person posting tabs mention the issue.
Shouts to Cinyc!
Its one of my flagged districts for auditing and reverse engineering the rank processor configs.
Haven't seen a single other person posting tabs mention the issue.
Shouts to Cinyc!
Nevertheless, because I can't confirm AKDoE didn't add any conditions or change what they did from 2024, you need to take any of the close races (like HD-28 and 30) as directional.
And, of course, the CVR data is stale. It doesn't include many rural hand count precicnct yet.
0
0
8
624
will muldoon retweeted
#26general The Division of Elections is deeply grateful to our dedicated poll workers who give their time, energy, and commitment to serving Alaska’s voters.
Your hard work and dedication helps make our elections possible, and we sincerely appreciate everything you do!
Your hard work and dedication helps make our elections possible, and we sincerely appreciate everything you do!
1
7
19
1,728
will muldoon retweeted
JULIA LETLOW will be the first US senator whose name contains exactly one of each vowel since EDWIN S. BROUSSARD (a 94-year gap)
67
194
2,785
467,163
We already have the data. There are 1,208 ballots cast with only Daniel J as Rd 1. in this morning's CVR.
For comparison, 14.2x as many voters ranked Peltola first and Daniel J 2nd.
#akelect
For comparison, 14.2x as many voters ranked Peltola first and Daniel J 2nd.
#akelect
PSA because people keep overhyping the current numbers - Alaska has ranked choice!!
A measurement of Dan J “confusion” impact could be how many 1st choice Dan J voters exhaust their ballots and didn’t rank a second option. We are a long way away from that point right now.
3
4
29
5,081
Let's tabulate the Preliminary CVR and see how Republicans are ranking for the Gov race using my Alaska fork of RCTab...
Here we stand, Alaska. We are waiting, but we are not idle. This effort is and always has been on God’s timing. Now, what we feel is a long wait is a call to prayer.
We knew our goal in this 1st round of counting was to finish as the top Republican by a wide margin while keeping plus one in the first round. It appears as though those have indeed been accomplished.
More ballots will be dropped nearly every day for the next several days, and in approximately one week, more than tens of thousands of early and absentee votes will be counted.
On November 18th, the Division of Elections will release the second and third rounds of counting. We fully anticipate that this is the day we will know the future of our state. No early voting from Friday, October 30th, through Monday, November 2nd, has been counted. These results are expected to be counted on November 10th.
November 10th and November 18th are the two days we will be watching closely.
While the sign waving, phone banking, door knocking, events, and fundraising have concluded, our call to action remains clear:
Remain steadfast in prayer. Your state needs you.
We pray for grace, humility, healing, and forgiveness. For wisdom, justice, and fortitude. And above all, that God’s will be done.
We have a race to win, Alaska.
Let’s do this!
#BernadetteForGovernor
#MikeShower
1
1
13
1,758
