CD9 appears to now depend heavily on how many ballots are actually left, which has become less clear. Today CD9 made up an outsized share of what LA County processed: 2.7% of ballots, more than double its 1.2% share of the count so far.
Ugarte's lead is down to 286 votes, and est batch since election night (58.6%).
58% is enough IF there are ~1,800 ballots remaining.
If there are around 600 left, he needs about 74% which appears to be unrealistic.
The real number is likely somewhere in between putting Ugarte in a strong position in a race still too close to call.
Ugarte's lead is down to 286 votes, and est batch since election night (58.6%).
58% is enough IF there are ~1,800 ballots remaining.
If there are around 600 left, he needs about 74% which appears to be unrealistic.
The real number is likely somewhere in between putting Ugarte in a strong position in a race still too close to call.
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6
43
2,053
The Basin retweeted
How LA voted in the 2026 mayor’s race, precinct by precinct.
Find your neighborhood to see where Karen Bass and Nithya Raman led. Use the map’s race menu to explore City Council contests and ballot measures, too. lapublicpress.org/2026/11/how-la…
Find your neighborhood to see where Karen Bass and Nithya Raman led. Use the map’s race menu to explore City Council contests and ballot measures, too. lapublicpress.org/2026/11/how-la…
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13
54
3,876
LA gets a decent amount of precinct-level election coverage, but most of Southern California doesn’t
So we’ve mapped the precinct results for the over 550 local races in Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino and San Diego counties
Tap any precinct to see each race applicable and ed out!
So we’ve mapped the precinct results for the over 550 local races in Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino and San Diego counties
Tap any precinct to see each race applicable and ed out!
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2,347
We also took your feedback and flipped the colors on our newest maps
Darker shades indicates a wider lead
These new maps are early stages so please let us know what you think, and how they could be even better!
Darker shades indicates a wider lead
These new maps are early stages so please let us know what you think, and how they could be even better!
0
0
3
280
Following today's count it will be challenging for Mazariegos to make up the difference in CD9
With an estimated 1600 votes left he will need to pick up about 60.6%
With an estimated 1600 votes left he will need to pick up about 60.6%
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5
66
9,067
Corporate money had a very bad year in LA
10 companies put $8.2 million behind Karen Bass, John McKinney and Tim Gaspar. All three lost
CD9 is still a toss-up with outside groups putting $2.75 million behind Jose Ugarte there
10 companies put $8.2 million behind Karen Bass, John McKinney and Tim Gaspar. All three lost
CD9 is still a toss-up with outside groups putting $2.75 million behind Jose Ugarte there
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31
165
20,164
CD9 is down to 417 votes. Mazariegos cut Ugarte’s lead again today, but took 55.9% of the new votes, short of the 58.5% he now needs by our estimate
At this pace, Ugarte holds on by less than 100. At the pace Mazariegos hit on Friday, it’s about tied. Anything more and Mazariegos could win
At this pace, Ugarte holds on by less than 100. At the pace Mazariegos hit on Friday, it’s about tied. Anything more and Mazariegos could win
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7
83
7,353
LA’s Saturday count is in
Mayor: Raman’s lead over Bass grew to 94,921. She won 63% of today’s new votes
CD9: Ugarte’s lead over Mazariegos fell from 702 to 417. Mazariegos got 56% of today’s votes, this is just short of the 57% he needed
He now needs about 58% of what’s left
CD3: Girvan’s lead grew to 1,869.
Mayor: Raman’s lead over Bass grew to 94,921. She won 63% of today’s new votes
CD9: Ugarte’s lead over Mazariegos fell from 702 to 417. Mazariegos got 56% of today’s votes, this is just short of the 57% he needed
He now needs about 58% of what’s left
CD3: Girvan’s lead grew to 1,869.
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58
2,551
The two counties with the most billionaires are voting for the billionaire tax by 8 points
The 41 with none are voting against it by 20
The 41 with none are voting against it by 20
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79
461
12,219
New votes from this evening put CD9 at a 702-vote race
We estimate about 4,900 votes are left, and Mazariegos needs about 57% of them
We estimate about 4,900 votes are left, and Mazariegos needs about 57% of them
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7
43
5,568
LA’s 10:59 PM count:
Mayor: Raman 53.9%, Bass 46.1%. Raman’s lead is now 78,482.
CD9: Ugarte’s lead fell to 702. Mazariegos took 58.1% and needs about 57% of what’s left.
CD3: Girvan’s lead grew to 1,530. Gaspar took 44.1% and needs about 60% of what’s left.
This looks good for Mazariegos
Mayor: Raman 53.9%, Bass 46.1%. Raman’s lead is now 78,482.
CD9: Ugarte’s lead fell to 702. Mazariegos took 58.1% and needs about 57% of what’s left.
CD3: Girvan’s lead grew to 1,530. Gaspar took 44.1% and needs about 60% of what’s left.
This looks good for Mazariegos
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8
95
19,924
CD9 is down to 916 votes
Mazariegos needs about 57% of what’s left, by our estimate, and got 57.6% this afternoon
Mazariegos needs about 57% of what’s left, by our estimate, and got 57.6% this afternoon
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4
58
3,630