The TRUF NETWORK team just came back from @SALTConference and @SiGMAworld_.
The appetite & demand for Earnings per Share prediction markets and making real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand is only growing.
24/7 We're building for $TRUF
The appetite & demand for Earnings per Share prediction markets and making real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand is only growing.
24/7 We're building for $TRUF
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
🔮 Our U.S. PCE forecast and report is now live, 24 hours ahead of the official release.
99.3% historical forecast accuracy
The hidden signals driving PCE
📈📉 The movers and shakers
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve implications and forward outlook
Stay ahead: truflation.com/t-1
99.3% historical forecast accuracy
The hidden signals driving PCE
📈📉 The movers and shakers
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve implications and forward outlook
Stay ahead: truflation.com/t-1
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
SpaceX just posted $14.6B of Q3 revenue (+161% YoY), launched its first revenue-generating Starship mission and set up Flight 15’s attempt at full vehicle recovery.
Now @elonmusk attention turns to Tesla earnings today.
The Truflation crowd and analysts both sit near $0.45 non-GAAP EPS. Do you agree?
Make your prediction before settlement 👇
predict.truflation.com/markets/eps-te…
$TSLA
Now @elonmusk attention turns to Tesla earnings today.
The Truflation crowd and analysts both sit near $0.45 non-GAAP EPS. Do you agree?
Make your prediction before settlement 👇
predict.truflation.com/markets/eps-te…
$TSLA
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Everyone has an opinion. What is yours?
Tesla’s next earnings report (Q3 2026) is this Wednesday, October 21.
Tesla 🤝 flying car(s).
What do you think Tesla's earnings per share will be?
Link: truflation.com/markets/eps-te…
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TRUF NETWORK was at Token2049.
We met investors, market makers, partners, traders and new friends. The feedback was extremely positive.
Prediction markets are infrastructure, not a product feature. We will be sharing very soon how we enable brands to become the venue. 👀 $TRUF
We met investors, market makers, partners, traders and new friends. The feedback was extremely positive.
Prediction markets are infrastructure, not a product feature. We will be sharing very soon how we enable brands to become the venue. 👀 $TRUF
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
A lot of projects talk about utility.
@truflation + @TRUFNETWORK is building around something that actually matters: verified economic data, market settlement, and AI-ready infrastructure.
That’s why I’m watching ethereum:0x243c9be13faba09f945ccc565547293337da0ad7 closely.
@truflation + @TRUFNETWORK is building around something that actually matters: verified economic data, market settlement, and AI-ready infrastructure.
That’s why I’m watching ethereum:0x243c9be13faba09f945ccc565547293337da0ad7 closely.
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Learn more about the $TRUF
How @truflation & TRUF NETWORK is making real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand. 👇
How @truflation & TRUF NETWORK is making real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand. 👇
Episode 249: Economic TruthMaxxing with Stefan Rust of Truflation
@alextapscott @fiftyfly @truflation @CMCC_Global
0:00 Introduction
3:59 "Transitory" and the case for a better number
5:37 Real-time, verifiable, and written to a blockchain
6:52 Why nobody built this sooner tied to CPI
9:47 41 days ahead of the government (70 during COVID)
13:45 Oil, the Iran war, and where we are in the cycle
15:33 Going live on FRED, and what the Fed actually watches
18:38 Trimmed mean, $15 eggs, and the 40% nobody reports
20:27 Inflation as a hidden tax
24:18 Building macro data for an agentic market
28:57 Revisions, edits, and the frozen index
29:55 Why Bitcoin and gold traded like risk assets
33:00 The Genius Act, stablecoins, and borrowing costs
39:06 Where to learn more
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A lot of updates are coming to $TRUF.
We have been building 24/7. Reminder 👇
TRUF. NETWORK is the foundation.
Trufscan is the infrastructure business.
@truflation is the company that started TRUF. NETWORK and remains its founding, premium data publisher. (500-plus live macro indexes) on the ledger and usable by anyone in their own outcome markets.
Truflation Predict is the flagship application. It exists to show what the stack and Trufscan give anyone who wants their own prediction market.
We have been building 24/7. Reminder 👇
TRUF. NETWORK is the foundation.
Trufscan is the infrastructure business.
@truflation is the company that started TRUF. NETWORK and remains its founding, premium data publisher. (500-plus live macro indexes) on the ledger and usable by anyone in their own outcome markets.
Truflation Predict is the flagship application. It exists to show what the stack and Trufscan give anyone who wants their own prediction market.
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
Our Inflation Report & Forecast is LIVE.
Know tomorrow’s gov CPI today.
Link: truflation.com/t-1
For traders, professional researchers & skeptics.
The hidden signals.
Category-specific breakdowns.
The market risks & outlook.
You don't need to wait for the government.
Know tomorrow’s gov CPI today.
Link: truflation.com/t-1
For traders, professional researchers & skeptics.
The hidden signals.
Category-specific breakdowns.
The market risks & outlook.
You don't need to wait for the government.
Inflation is becoming less benign beneath the headline.
Our T-1 report & forecast for the U.S. August CPI goes live in 1H30. Our data team didn't sleep for the past week to make sure this report is our most advanced yet.
Everything you need to find the signal in the noise.
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We just added new markets.
Truflation PCE, BLS CPI, and BEA PCE are all live on predict. We now have 7 key inflation markets up as our offering with more to come.
All powered by $TRUF.
Truflation PCE, BLS CPI, and BEA PCE are all live on predict. We now have 7 key inflation markets up as our offering with more to come.
All powered by $TRUF.
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Bear or bull market, the TRUF team is going to keep building. We haven't stopped. We won't stop.
The focus is simple: make real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand.
What we've recently shipped:
→ Card funding is now live on Predict and users can now fund their Predict account directly with a card-based fiat on-ramp for USDC.
→ Rate-of-change markets are now supported end to end. Markets can now settle on an index’s percentage change, not just the index level. Strike ranges are readable, negative and open-ended ranges resolve as written, and traders are paid on settlement.
→ Market odds now line up everywhere
Odds are now derived from the order book wherever a market appears: tile, chart, accordion, and trade panel. The price you see is the price you trade.
→ Price history and charts now load faster
Market charts now use the indexer’s chart mode with larger pages, reducing requests and making pages open much faster.
→ Better data and platform experience
Monthly feeds now report on their own cadence, settlement pages show every outcome set attached to a stream, watchlists are easier to reach, comparison dates are simpler to pick, and chart presentation is cleaner across dashboard, index, and Predict surfaces.
What’s next:
→ UK CPI and Consumer Confidence Index updates.
→ Strike-range buckets for index-change markets.
→ New Predict markets.
→ Text sentiment scoring.
→ Better data readability for search tools and AI agents
→ Data management interface
→ Business Optimism Index
→ Refreshed UK weights
This is just the tip of the $TRUF.
We are here to stay.
The focus is simple: make real-world economic data easier to access, trade, build with and understand.
What we've recently shipped:
→ Card funding is now live on Predict and users can now fund their Predict account directly with a card-based fiat on-ramp for USDC.
→ Rate-of-change markets are now supported end to end. Markets can now settle on an index’s percentage change, not just the index level. Strike ranges are readable, negative and open-ended ranges resolve as written, and traders are paid on settlement.
→ Market odds now line up everywhere
Odds are now derived from the order book wherever a market appears: tile, chart, accordion, and trade panel. The price you see is the price you trade.
→ Price history and charts now load faster
Market charts now use the indexer’s chart mode with larger pages, reducing requests and making pages open much faster.
→ Better data and platform experience
Monthly feeds now report on their own cadence, settlement pages show every outcome set attached to a stream, watchlists are easier to reach, comparison dates are simpler to pick, and chart presentation is cleaner across dashboard, index, and Predict surfaces.
What’s next:
→ UK CPI and Consumer Confidence Index updates.
→ Strike-range buckets for index-change markets.
→ New Predict markets.
→ Text sentiment scoring.
→ Better data readability for search tools and AI agents
→ Data management interface
→ Business Optimism Index
→ Refreshed UK weights
This is just the tip of the $TRUF.
We are here to stay.
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
The Fed just told markets to do their own macro work. Official PCE: 3.70%. Our real-time PCE: 2.67%.
Feed the Taylor rule the official number and it demands 5.65–6.25%. Feed it real-time data and it says 3.57–4.11%, against a 3.63% funds rate. x.com/i/article/2094…
Feed the Taylor rule the official number and it demands 5.65–6.25%. Feed it real-time data and it says 3.57–4.11%, against a 3.63% funds rate. x.com/i/article/2094…
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Wall street guesses earnings. You can price them.
Our prediction markets make earnings expectations explicit, liquid & continuously priced.
Providing institutional-grade hedging instruments & market-implied earnings data around key company catalysts.
Markets powered by TRUF.
Our prediction markets make earnings expectations explicit, liquid & continuously priced.
Providing institutional-grade hedging instruments & market-implied earnings data around key company catalysts.
Markets powered by TRUF.
"Our company is thirty days from going out of business." was the unofficial motto of NVIDIA in its early days.
Q2 Revenue: $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago
Adjusted Earnings per share: $2.22 (beat Exp)
@JensenHuang How much compute is needed to have 60 days runway?
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
Our July PCE Report and Forecast is now live.
24H before the BEA. We were right for June.
Link: truflation.com/t-1
Fed Interest Rate Policy Expectation
Inflation & areas of growing concern
Mixed Labor Market Signals
Strain on Consumer Demand
Outlook & Forecast
24H before the BEA. We were right for June.
Link: truflation.com/t-1
Fed Interest Rate Policy Expectation
Inflation & areas of growing concern
Mixed Labor Market Signals
Strain on Consumer Demand
Outlook & Forecast
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Nvidia's next earnings report for fiscal Q2 2027 is scheduled for August 26, 2026.
• Earnings this week could test the AI trade
• China chip/export headlines are heating up again
• AI data center spending ❓👀
What is your prediction?
Link: truflation.com/markets/eps-nv…
• Earnings this week could test the AI trade
• China chip/export headlines are heating up again
• AI data center spending ❓👀
What is your prediction?
Link: truflation.com/markets/eps-nv…
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
Imagine Claude code for macro researchers and traders.
Enter Truman V2.
Our very own proprietary macro agent.
Evidence-based answers powered by real-time data unavailable to traditional AI models.
There is no financial and economic question that Truman cannot answer. 🧵
Enter Truman V2.
Our very own proprietary macro agent.
Evidence-based answers powered by real-time data unavailable to traditional AI models.
There is no financial and economic question that Truman cannot answer. 🧵
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TRUF.NETWORK retweeted
What If the The Bureau of Labor Statistics Is 'Wrong'?
Get ahead: truflation.com/t-1 x.com/i/article/2086…
Get ahead: truflation.com/t-1 x.com/i/article/2086…
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