Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Carrion crows make decisions faster than monkeys and humans.
Learn more in a new #SciencePerspective: scim.ag/4BLPcf3
Learn more in a new #SciencePerspective: scim.ag/4BLPcf3
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Could US midterms rout start a shift back to a US net-zero transition?
What are US options as it faces up to the deeply-felt cost of fossil fuels
Could it rejoin the world at COP31?
@PeterNewmanCUSP
thenewdaily.com.au/renewable-ener…
@TheNewDailyAu 6 Nov 2026
What are US options as it faces up to the deeply-felt cost of fossil fuels
Could it rejoin the world at COP31?
@PeterNewmanCUSP
thenewdaily.com.au/renewable-ener…
@TheNewDailyAu 6 Nov 2026
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This Democratic wave must offer more than relief from Trump - it needs fresh leadership, genuine empathy and plain language about making everyday life better
Schumer and Pelosi should retire, go out on this high - any Democrat rep over 70 should join them
lnkd.in/p/gPdv7GCJ
Schumer and Pelosi should retire, go out on this high - any Democrat rep over 70 should join them
lnkd.in/p/gPdv7GCJ
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Who gets to decide what a 'realistic' energy transition is?
There's a difference between what Australia should do and what our most influential businesses would prefer we don’t do
Our energy debate too often blurs the two by insisting on being ‘realistic’
thepoint.com.au/opinions/26110…
There's a difference between what Australia should do and what our most influential businesses would prefer we don’t do
Our energy debate too often blurs the two by insisting on being ‘realistic’
thepoint.com.au/opinions/26110…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
A seemingly niche decision around data centre standards will determine whether LGC prices retain some degree of health, or resume a death spiral to negligible value
reneweconomy.com.au/the-rise-and-f…
reneweconomy.com.au/the-rise-and-f…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand)
Results:
Last week: 100.0% RE
Last 270 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5)
Results:
Last week: 100.0% RE
Last 270 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5)
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Awesome global road safety initiative saving children’s lives!
starratingforschools.org/2026/10/star-r…
starratingforschools.org/2026/10/star-r…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Opposition to renewable energy infrastructure has become an increasingly visible force in Australia's energy debate.
thefifthestate.com.au/360info/the-ne…
thefifthestate.com.au/360info/the-ne…
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Cheaper EVs will be cheaper & accelerate ICE devaluation
For companies holding large fleets, inventories or fleet devaluation risks corporate wealth destruction: falling asset values against debts that do not fall with them
Lenders need to stress-test that gap now.
For companies holding large fleets, inventories or fleet devaluation risks corporate wealth destruction: falling asset values against debts that do not fall with them
Lenders need to stress-test that gap now.
The world's switch to electric cars. 🌍
60 countries, about 72 million new cars a year.
Over the last 12 months, 19.8% of new cars were BEV. The fitted model (exclusively dependent on past data) has BEV passing ICE in mid-2030 and reaching 50% a year later.
80% takes until transition continues without systematic change, which will almost assuredly not be the case, as I see this more as a lower limit.
PHEV peaks at about 13% in 2028 and then fades.
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
The world's switch to electric cars. 🌍
60 countries, about 72 million new cars a year.
Over the last 12 months, 19.8% of new cars were BEV. The fitted model (exclusively dependent on past data) has BEV passing ICE in mid-2030 and reaching 50% a year later.
80% takes until transition continues without systematic change, which will almost assuredly not be the case, as I see this more as a lower limit.
PHEV peaks at about 13% in 2028 and then fades.
60 countries, about 72 million new cars a year.
Over the last 12 months, 19.8% of new cars were BEV. The fitted model (exclusively dependent on past data) has BEV passing ICE in mid-2030 and reaching 50% a year later.
80% takes until transition continues without systematic change, which will almost assuredly not be the case, as I see this more as a lower limit.
PHEV peaks at about 13% in 2028 and then fades.
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Next decade the whole world will look like this
Even USA will catch up
Even USA will catch up
98.8% BEV in October, just a hair below September's record.
And that on the biggest October in over 30 years: 15,725 new cars, over 15,500 of them BEV. Year to date the market grew by about 6,300 cars. BEV grew by about 9,900, everything else shrank by about 3,600.
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Thread: Each week I run a simulation of Australia’s main electricity grid using rescaled generation data to show that it can get very close to 100% renewable electricity with 24GW/120GWh of storage (5 hrs at av demand)
Results:
Last week: 100.0% RE
Last 271 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5)
Results:
Last week: 100.0% RE
Last 271 weeks: 98.5% RE (1/5)
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
How can #electrification reshape energy systems?⚡
@IRENA’s visual story breaks down the numbers behind the 35% electrification by 2035 goal. Ahead of #COP31 next week, IRENA supports COP31 Presidency’s push "35% by 35” electrification target. Explore the story to see what it e of energy transition: irena.org/Digital-conten…
@IRENA’s visual story breaks down the numbers behind the 35% electrification by 2035 goal. Ahead of #COP31 next week, IRENA supports COP31 Presidency’s push "35% by 35” electrification target. Explore the story to see what it e of energy transition: irena.org/Digital-conten…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
The growth of batteries at 40% a year is not so much incredible as remarkably predictable.
Nevertheless it's great to see this prerequisite for replacing fossil fuels fall into place. And if there is one place AI can do a lot of good, it's in battery development.
Nevertheless it's great to see this prerequisite for replacing fossil fuels fall into place. And if there is one place AI can do a lot of good, it's in battery development.
This is simply incredible, CATL, the world’s largest battery maker, will reach 1 terrawatt this year!
That is nearly as much power as the entire grid in the US. Or double the Indian grid or eight times the grid in the UK.
CATL last year shipped 661 gigawatt of batteries. This year its expects to reach 1 terrawatt.
CATL produces 39% of the world’s electric car batteries and 30% of batteries for energy storage.
Hardly any company contributes more to the green transition than CATL. It was founded 25 years ago by Robin Zeng to create jobs for the people of his small hometown of Ningde in southern China. I visited the impressive headquarters a couple of years ago.
But the giant eyes even higher. At a show in Shanghai last week Robin Zeng said that: “We are still not good enough”.
We are for example not able to pack a big jet with batteries.
Robin Zeng believes the next battery revolution will be powered by artificial intelligence:
* AI accelerates material discovery - moving into sodium, solid state batteries and many new and exciting materials.
* AI converts scientific knowledge into higher performing battery designs.
* AI improves manufacturing - analyzes data and makes decisions in real time.
x.com/catl_official/…
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My 2026 projections for energy mix and growth of renewables and retreat of fossil fuels
5 years on from my 2021 projections
12 years on from my 2014 projection
@FSS_Au
5 years on from my 2021 projections
12 years on from my 2014 projection
@FSS_Au
My 2014 @FSS_Au CO2 emissions projection based on changing fuel mix
My 2021 projection 7 years on
(NB 2014 graph:
CO2 10x GT on left Y axis
Total Energy against right Y axis)
Energy related CO2 emissions have probably peaked
Bloomberg thinks so too
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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No scare campaigns or blanket assurances: Albany offers chance to lead on home electrification
Albany’s gas network closure presents a practical question: how do we help residents move rapidly and fairly to something cheaper and better?
Ray Wills, Howard Buckley & Peter Newman
Albany’s gas network closure presents a practical question: how do we help residents move rapidly and fairly to something cheaper and better?
Ray Wills, Howard Buckley & Peter Newman
Albany’s gas network closure presents a practical question: How do we help residents move rapidly and fairly to something cheaper and better?
reneweconomy.com.au/no-scare-campa…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Albany’s gas network closure presents a practical question: How do we help residents move rapidly and fairly to something cheaper and better?
reneweconomy.com.au/no-scare-campa…
reneweconomy.com.au/no-scare-campa…
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Prof Ray Wills retweeted
Just made an update from "my" Solar reality vs IEA graph for an upcoming book called "Power to the People". The difference is still going strong...
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Australia's interest rates won't bring down price of oil nor reduce inflationary effects of fossil fuels on the economy
Only electrifying the economy and moving to electric vehicles will do that
High petrol prices already slow the economy - we don't need higher interest rates
Only electrifying the economy and moving to electric vehicles will do that
High petrol prices already slow the economy - we don't need higher interest rates
'Widely expected' interest rise in Australia doesn't mean that's all we can do
We need a 21st RBA machinery update of the levers and how the Reserve Banks intervenes in the economy
RBA needs to ‘regenerate’ the economy from oil-shock inflation, not destroy it
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