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Replying to @PaulRoundy1
@DrShepherd2013 Doubting Einstein's prediction implied doubting his abilities, b/c unless he was flawed, how could he have been wrong?
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Paul Roundy retweeted
So America is choosing the European path of slower growth, pessimism over optimism, and long-term surrender of superpower status to China. Thirty years ago Democrats chose optimism, embracing the Internet—hell, Al Gore took credit—and now they choose stagnation via overregulation. “Banning” isn’t a ban; it’s a straitjacket conceding AI power to the Chinese. They side with the candle makers upset over electricity’s job losses. This pessimism clashes with the energized America that made the last century America’s century. Let’s welcome the Chinese century.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Democrats face a push for a “day 1” ban on AI superintelligence, with up to 20 YEARS in prison for violators.

Arizona Rep. Yassamin Ansari says a pause on advanced AI and a ban on artificial superintelligence must be “top of the Democratic agenda on day 1.”

A bill hat was introduced by Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar in September.

Under the bill:

- Developing or deploying superintelligent AI would be banned

- Advanced AI development would pause until a new federal regulator sets rules and a model review process

- A new cabinet-level AI department would monitor frontier models and oversee removing dangerous capabilities, like ignoring shutdown commands

- Companies that try to get around it would face the “corporate death penalty”

- Individuals would face up to 20 years in prison

AI and data centers were a “crucial or major factor” for 56% of voters in the midterms, per an NBC News exit poll.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
White Oak Pastures is loony toons levels of stupid. Here is their owner writing for RFK Jr.’s anti-vaxx org. What a terrible bedfellow for Farm Action.
This fifth-generation farmer just warned the future of farming is “bleak.”

Jenni Harris: “The average age of a farmer is… 60-something.”

“It is a… dying career.”

“Farms are selling to developers.”

“You hear suicide rates.”

“And farms that sell out.”

@VinnieTortorich: “How ng?”

Jenni’s family farm @whiteoakpasture goes back to 1866.

“We had to radically change what we did.”

“For us, revenue is very diversified.”

“We had to put processing in.”

“We had to brand our product.”

“We are in the direct-to-consumer business shipping meat.”

“We are in the tourism business.”

“This is a hard time to be in agriculture and it’s a hard time to be a consumer.”

“Prices are high.”

“Input costs are high.”

“Which is ultimately taken away from your profit.”

Source: Fitness Confidential Podcast
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We just watched many members of the Maga right who had been begging for a reindustrialization of America, actively fight along with many on the political left as part of a moral panic to attempt to disrupt industrialization in America.
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This argument is true to a point, these really were comparatively moderate democrats, mostly, that won here. However, many of them were running on a populist message that is profoundly illiberal. It's a message demeaning the wealthy, taking advantage of a moral panic around data centers, to build anger in the direction of an election. Most moral panics have some kind of truth behind them, but most of it is just a lie. And they're going to try to go in and take down all of this advancement towards American leadership.
My primary takeaway from the US midterms is a hopeful one: the return to normie liberalism here.

Dems that won overwhelmingly were 'Blue Dog' Dems. The majority is so large that the far-left, anti-Israel wing has no real power, one that they otherwise would have had if the blue great.

The data is clear: moderates significantly outperformed progressives/socialists in the Senate races. This should be the lesson for Democrats looking ahead to 2028, if they can ignore the noise from leftist influencers online.

While there are a few points of concern that should by no means be dismissed, overall this result is truly excellent. First and foremost, it was a desperately necessary rejection of Trump/MAGA corruption, paving the way to get the US back on the right track. However, this can also be viewed as a path to course correction for the Democratic Party also, if - and only if - they have the sense to learn the right lessons here.
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Replying to @PaulRoundy1
What I mean by the advancement toward American leadership is referring to American technology companies.
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The most popular opinions of the electorate appear to me to be in an almost constant state of being partially wrong, pushing for policies that can't work, and when the people finally realize it, often driven by false moral panics themselves, they switch to the other side of being wrong. This isn't just a shallow opinion of a Centrist, one can focus on objective realities. People just want things that don't match what's actually true. For example, they might think it's appropriate to focus the attention of liberal institutions around far left identitarian principles, or from the other side to assume that we have to take down our scientific institutions because a substantial amount of their activity had been commandeered for left-wing ideologies. Why not instead find ways to revive their liberal centers?
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The banana trees are starting to grow back.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
🔎 Should universities consider an applicant's political views?

New research by HxA Senior Fellow Eric Torres reveals a surprising point of agreement between Democrats and Republicans:
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He's got a point. To many on the left, diversity is only real when it checks the right opinion boxes. They can be as racist in their language as Nazis when they get out of line.
A black man raised by a single mother and born in 1970s Crown Heights, last night became the first elected black governor of Florida, a state whose slave-owning Civil War-era governor actually committed suicide when he realized the war was lost.

Seen any celebration of that from the usual diversity milestone celebrators?
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Paul Roundy retweeted
Zucman a pris une fessée retentissante.

Non seulement les Californiens ont dit non à la taxe sur la fortune, qu’il poussait, mais ils ont voté pour la proposition 42 qui interdit toute nouvelle taxe de ce type, future ou rétrospective.

Les Californiens veulent donc garder t une partie avait déjà déserté.
Contrairement à l’intox de la gauche française, ils ont compris que plus il y a de milliardaires à un endroit, moins il y a de pauvreté.
Zucman habillé pour l’hiver californien : il avait sillonné la Californie pour faire adopter la « proposition 40 », une taxe de 5% sur la fortune des milliardaires.
Avec 58% des bulletins de vote décomptés, le « non » est parti pour l’emporter largement.
Attendez-vous à le service public !
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Paul Roundy retweeted
Observation on the Midterms:

I have seen elections swing back & forth since I first started voting in 1972.

Some speak of such swings almost mystically, as if a political force is at work above people & parties themselves.

I think what happens is when people get into power they forget what got them there in the first place and lose focus. Case in point:

Trump 1 won, in part, promising to do something about the open border problem, but never solved it, didn't finish the wall, then obsessed over the "stolen election" nonsense.

Biden won, in part, by promising to restore sanity, but instead implemented insane open border policies, woke progressive DEI CRT programs, etc. & this led voters to put Trump back in.

Trump 2 won, in part, by promising to end all this woke nonsense, implement sound economic policies, and never again go to war in the Middle East, but instead invaded Iran, overstepped domestic programs (like DOGE cutting important science research programs instead of real government waste), and implemented completely irrational tariffs & tariff wars with allies.

Heading to 2028, will the Dems agree with AOC that Woke 1 was "crazy" and course correct to sound economic policies and winning back their working-class base? Will the GOP agree with Vance to end the war, get prices back down, eliminate the idiotic tariffs & economic nationalism policies that are anti-capitalistic & contra free-trade?

Unfortunately, after 54 years of voting, I doubt it, and so that pendulum will just keep swinging back and forth. Maybe John Stuart Mill was right:

“A party of order or stability, and a party of progress or reform, are both necessary elements of a healthy state of political life.”
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From a thread to which I cannot reply. The moral panic movement around AI has made a lot of interesting bedfellows.
@gmiller I think yesterday's bloody MAGA slaughter in which proudly participated owed to Trump's horrible policies & odious person. Trump can't win against Iran WTF! The public's tired of this repulsive, stupid, dysfunctional slug! AI-techbro stuff is distant & highbrow by comparison.
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Across the whole election, this was probably the most crazy thing I saw. Genuine dirty politics.
This is pretty ridiculous.

In the Alaska race, the Dems basically propped up a decoy candidate with the same name as a real GOP candidate, and he's pulling enough votes to throw the race.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
What makes opposition to data centers a moral panic is not that opponents are skeptical of their value but that the scale and intensity of the opposition is wildly disproportionate to any plausible account of their costs.
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I wonder what fraction of people actually believe that our kids would be better off if we attempted to completely eliminate all risk of injury and death for them. Everything we could do carries a trade-off.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
Economics professor thinks mathematicians won't get paid in the future because AI beat him on a social media math puzzle.
AI got the right answer, simulated it 100 million times cause I didn't believe the answer, then provided an explanation I understood for why the answer it gave was right. The last part is what should scare mathematicians hoping they're gonna get paid long into the future.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
The DSA candidate for Senate in Oklahoma just lost by 18 points.
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Paul Roundy retweeted
The wealth tax is being soundly rejected in the bluest state in the bluest of years. This is a very unpopular policy.
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Every Democrat who won a competitive district tonight is a political moderate. Normies. Non-fanatics. Clergy and doctors. AND YET, the progressive wing looks at these moderate victories as proof that what the party really needs is more fanatics.

Eric Hoffer called this decades ago in The True Believer. Fanatics actually despise moderates more than their real enemies. Why? Because incremental wins preserve the system they want to tear down. To them, steady progress is a bigger threat than losing.
🚨 Ro Khanna Urges Democrats to Embrace Hasan Piker as He Calls for a Radical Transformation of the Democratic Party

During an election-night conversation with Hasan Piker, Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna revealed that fellow House Democrats had questioned his decision to appear on roadcast.

Khanna defended his appearance, arguing that Democrats should recognize Piker's enormous audience and influence among younger voters. He even expressed frustration that more of his colleagues have yet to recognize the political value of engaging with him.

The conversation then shifted to what the night's apparent blue wave could mean for the Democratic Party's ideological future.

Khanna argued that the Left's electoral performance demonstrated the political advantages of a strong progressive flank, while acknowledging that the party establishment would not simply concede the ideological battles ahead.

“When it comes to taxing billionaire wealth and Medicare for all and free college and zeroing out aid to Israel and stopping military sales, there's still gonna be a fight.”

Hasan took the discussion further, asking how Democrats could build a legislative agenda that would ensure Republicans never regain political power.

Khanna responded by calling for a sweeping expansion of government, including a wealth tax on billionaires, Medicare for All, free college, and free childcare.

He also warned Democrats against allowing the party's political consultants to impose an incrementalist approach to governing, arguing that electoral victories mean little without radical change.

“I want a Democratic Party that's actually gonna transform the political economic system and our foreign policy.”
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The party that can signal normalcy will get rewarded. Time to move away from crazy woke maga socialist nonsense. Return to genuine liberalism.
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