Office for Budget Responsibility retweeted
UK House of Commons Committees
@HoCcommitteesUK
Oct 28
Want to know more about the Chancellor’s Budget?
From next week, the Treasury Committee will question leading economists, the @OBR_UK and the Chancellor across three evidence sessions.

Stream each session live on our website 👇
committees.parliament.uk/work/10011/bud…
28 October Chancellor John Healey delivers his 2026 Budget.3 November Treasury Committee questions leading economists.
4 November Treasury Committee questions the Office for Budget Responsiblity.11 November Treasury Committee questions Chancellor John Healey.
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 29
The October 2026 forecast at a glance
Bar chart showing CPI inflation in percentage change on a year earlier for 2027. Yellow = March 2026 at 2%, blue = latest forecast at 3 1/2%; probability dial showing probability of fiscal mandate being met. Yellow = November 2025 forecast at 59%, blue = latest forecast at 56%; Bar chart showing debt PSND excluding Bank of England in per cent of GDP. Yellow = 2026-27 at 92%, blue = 2031-32 at 94%
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 29
We published our October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook yesterday 📘 #ICYMI

obr.uk/efo/economic-a…
Hero graphic reading 'Rising energy prices and interest rates drive higher government borrowing Energy prices have risen sharply this year, pushing up inflation, lowering real incomes, and reducing GDP growth next year. Higher inflation and interest rates drive up the forecast for government borrowing. Budget decisions further increase borrowing in the near term and reduce it in the medium term. As a result, borrowing is forecast to fall to around 2% of GDP in the medium term, but at a slower near-term pace than previous plans. This would stabilise debt though at an elevated level. The fiscal mandate is met with a reduced margin which is small relative to risks around the forecast.'
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 28
We’ve just published our October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook 📘

Read the full report: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6ae1f7b8…
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 28
Replying to @OBR_UK
Under current plans, public sector net debt excluding the Bank of England is expected to peak at around 95 per cent of GDP in 2028-29 before remaining at elevated levels.
Line chart showing successive forecasts of PSND excluding Bank of England in per cent of GDP from 2011-12 to 2031-32. Orange line = November 2022, purple = November 2023, green = October 2024, yellow = November 2025, blue = October 2026, and black = outturn
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 28
Replying to @OBR_UK
Our October 2026 forecast at a glance.
Bar chart showing CPI inflation in percentage change on a year earlier for 2027. Yellow = March 2026 at 2%, blue = latest forecast at 3 1/2%; probability dial showing probability of fiscal mandate being met. Yellow = November 2025 forecast at 59%, blue = latest forecast at 56%; Bar chart showing debt PSND excluding Bank of England in per cent of GDP. Yellow = 2026-27 at 92%, blue = 2031-32 at 94%
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 28
Tune into the Budget Responsibility Committee’s presentation at 2.30pm. Watch live via Slido or on our YouTube channel.

app.sli.do/event/b1CkctRb… 📺
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 27
Our next Economic and fiscal outlook will be published on 28 October 2026. It will be published on gov.uk/government/org… after the Chancellor has presented the Budget to Parliament.

Supporting material, supplementary documents and detailed forecast tables will be published on obr.uk later on the afternoon of 28 October.
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 21
Consistent with guidance from the National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC), we have taken our website offline in view of the critical security issues affecting PHP. We will continue to follow further guidance.

For more information, see the NCSC advisory: ncsc.gov.uk/news/critical-…
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Oct 21
Our next Economic and fiscal outlook will be published on 28 October 2026.

It will be published on gov.uk/government/org… after the Chancellor has presented the Budget to Parliament.

Supporting material, supplementary documents and detailed forecast tables will be published elY on the afternoon of 28 October
Blue background with title text reading: 'Economic and fiscal outlook'. Body text reading: 'Due 28 October 2026'. White calendar icon below. Office for Budget Responsibility logo in the bottom right corner.
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Sep 23
The Treasury Committee has today published its report concluding its inquiry into The OBR: 15 years on.

OBR Chair Jonathan Haskel said: "We appreciate the Treasury Committee's support for the OBR's independence. We are always open to suggestions on how we might improve and will carefully consider this report's conclusions."

Read more on our website: obr.uk/treasury-commi…
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Sep 22
Latest year-to-date borrowing estimate above March forecast profile – we've just published our monthly commentary on the public finances📊

Read more on our website: obr.uk/monthly-public…
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Sep 17
How do income tax forecasts affect the Scottish Government's budget?

Our latest article, prepared jointly with the Scottish Fiscal Commission, explores the role of our respective forecasts in determining income tax reconciliations and influencing the funding available to the tps://t.co/xCuFb4UfR9
OBR articles Forecasts for Scottish income tax, block grant adjustments and reconciliations London skyline including the London Eye, the Shard and Big Ben
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Office for Budget Responsibility
@OBR_UK
Sep 3
Ever wondered about our process for forecasting migration?

Read about our use of a stay-rate model to inform the forecast, and the role of the ONS National Population Projections in our forecasting process in our newly published article: articles.obr.uk/forecasting-ne…
OBR articles Forecasting net migration London skyline illustration including the London Eye and Big Ben
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