The Ohio Valley’s FIRST freeze of the season could arrive Sunday morning...

Much of Indiana and central Kentucky could drop to 32° or colder, with most of the bigger cities in the low to mid 30s.

None of the big airports, from Indianapolis to Louisville to Cincinnati, have hit over or bring in sensitive plants if you still have them out there Saturday evening!
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The river running through Copperhill, Tennessee and McCaysville, Georgia just hit its HIGHEST level on record...

It crested at 18.05 feet around 6 AM Eastern, topping the old record of 17.75 feet from 1990, after up to 7.6 inches of rain fell nearby.

Numerous homes and everal feet of water this morning, and a Flash Flood Emergency was issued for both towns.
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A brief tornado can’t be ruled out tomorrow across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia, from Norfolk and the Outer Banks down to Wilmington and Florence...
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FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Fannin and Gilmer counties in Georgia!

Flash flooding resulting in mudslides and water rescues is already occurring in these areas, as 5-6" of rain has fallen over the last several hours!

Do not attempt to travel unless fleeing flooding or under an reatened by flooding, move to higher ground NOW!
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Here's a look at how much SNOW typically falls across the United States every winter! ❄️

This year has a lot of moving pieces with El Niño in play, so some of you could blow right past these numbers while others won’t come close.

Don’t get your hopes up just yet though, of weeks are looking pretty warm for most of the country.
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Talk about some UNUSUAL November weather... Buffalo, New York is WARMER than Dallas, Texas!

Buffalo reached 78°F today, while Dallas has only climbed to 75°F!

That 78°F reading in Buffalo is a preliminary RECORD HIGH for November 4th.

Not exactly the temperatures you'd expect in November!
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UNWARNED TORNADO just south of Montevallo, Alabama!

Take shelter now if you're in this area!
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The polar vortex has nearly stopped spinning, and its winds could even briefly turn backward by Sunday...

Winds about 20 miles up circling the North Pole usually blow around 55 mph in early November, but they’ve slowed to just 2 mph today, and the vortex has split into two Siberia.

Models them reversing to a light breeze the wrong way from Sunday through the middle of next week before spinning back up. Even a brief flip would be the earliest on record, beating November 27, 1968.

Despite the hype, it doesn’t mean a big cold blast will make its way into the US, with much of the country still favored to be warmer than normal next week.
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A brief tornado can’t be ruled out today from Atlanta up through Chattanooga and Knoxville, with the threat ending by early evening.
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Devastating flooding in Florida has now claimed 2 lives in Brevard County, Florida.

More than 160 people have been rescued following a historic 1-IN-1,000-YEAR rainfall event.

Radar estimates suggest some areas received up to 26 INCHES of rain in just 72 hours.

My thoughts are ted by this catastrophic flooding event.
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TORNADO WARNING for Hamburg, Arkansas!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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The Atlantic might not be done yet, with a possible subtropical storm trying to form this weekend...

An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of Bermuda over the next day or so, with a 40% chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical system over ill slowly drift east into the open Atlantic, and conditions are expected to turn unfavorable for development early next week.
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TORNADO WARNING for Marion, Louisiana!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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20 Inches In 12 Hours - We've NEVER Seen This Much Rain In This Part of Florida This Fast...
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TORNADO WARNING for Bernice, Louisiana!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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a message from our video editor...
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We are LIVE covering a TORNADO IN PROGRESS near Shreveport, Louisiana!

LINK: youtube.com/watch?v=tSkql1…
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TORNADO WARNING for Shreveport, Louisiana!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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OBSERVED TORNADO WARNING for Stonewall, Lousiana!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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The same flood water that hit Pagosa Springs this weekend just pushed the San Juan River to its highest level ever recorded at Shiprock, New Mexico...

The river crested at 19.9 feet early this morning, more than 5 feet above the old record from 2019. Upstream in Farmington, it f a foot short of a record set back in 1909.

Now all that water is heading into Utah. At Mexican Hat, the river is moving about 254,000 gallons every second, the most since 1972, and it’s expected to stay above flood stage through Thursday before it reaches Lake Powell.
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TORNADO IN PROGRESS near Belcher, Louisiana!

Seek shelter IMMEDIATELY if you are in this warning!
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Melbourne’s all-time rain record wasn’t the only one to fall in Florida on Monday. The same storm set 11 rainfall records across the state in a single day...
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A brief tornado or two can’t be ruled out today from East Texas and Arkansas up through Missouri, as a line of storms pushes east toward the Mississippi River into tonight...
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TORNADO WARNING for Cedarville, Arkansas!

Seek shelter if you are in this warning!
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TORNADO IN PROGRESS north of Adair, Oklahoma!

Seek shelter IMMEDIATELY if you are in this warning!
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Nearly 3 TRILLION GALLONS of rain have fallen across Florida in just 48 hours!

That's enough water to cover roughly 2.2 MILLION football fields with 3 FEET of water!

Some areas along Florida's east coast have seen radar-estimated rainfall totals approaching 26 INCHES.

The at has fallen across Florida over the past two days is absolutely staggering!
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Though tornadoes remain possible tonight, today's severe weather threat significantly underperformed expectations...

We love busting!
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A 1-IN-1,000-YEAR flooding event is unfolding in Brevard County, Florida!

More than 100 people have been rescued as extreme rainfall overwhelms the area.

Melbourne recorded over 11 INCHES of rain in a single day, shattering its previous daily record, which was set by Hurricane timates suggest some areas received up to 26 INCHES of rain in just 48 hours.
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STATE OF EMERGENCY declared in Arizona after historic flash flooding hit 7 counties...

3 straight days of heavy rain starting Friday have sent rivers and washes out of their banks. Oak Creek Canyon flooded and forced mass evacuations in Sedona, the Little Colorado River went ow, and Cottonwood and Camp Verde are being evacuated too.

Swift-water rescues are still going on, and stretches of State Routes 87 and 89A remain closed.

The declaration gets state help to clear roads, repair damage and support people forced from their homes.
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BEAUTIFUL Mammatus near Burkburnett, Texas a short time ago!

@EdgarONealWX
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John McKinney has the rain shaft of all time in Helena, Oklahoma...

@jmckinneywx1 @WxFront
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STATE OF EMERGENCY issued for 7 Florida counties after flooding rain swamped parts of central and south Florida...

Some of the worst flooding was in Brevard County and along the Treasure Coast. The declaration gets state resources to the flooded communities faster.

Brevard, , Martin, Highlands, Hardee and DeSoto are all included.
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We're likely going LIVE this afternoon with chasers on the ground across Oklahoma and Kansas...

A Tornado Watch is in effect until 10 PM CST, with a few tornadoes possible and a couple that could be intense.

You can also follow our chasers' locations and live streams in the free @WxFront app!
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Melbourne, Florida just had its wettest day EVER recorded...

The airport has measured 10.63 inches since midnight, beating the previous record of 10.23 inches from Hurricane Irma in 2017.

Rain continues to fall across the region, so today's totals will continue to increase areawide.
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MAJOR flooding is ongoing across Palm Bay, Florida, with nearly 20 INCHES of rain having fallen in some areas over the last 12 hours!

A Flash Flood Emergency is in effect in these areas. Do NOT attempt to travel unless fleeing flooding or under an evacuation order!

📷Kelly Yetter
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Parts of Florida’s Space Coast have now picked up over a FOOT of rain since midnight, with nearly 17 inches near Malabar, and it’s STILL coming down...

A strong high to the north is pushing ocean air straight into the Space Coast, loaded with about 2 inches of moisture, way er.

A leftover spin from earlier storms is sitting just south of Orlando and squeezing that moisture out, so new storms keep forming along the coast and running over the same towns.
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Several tornadoes are possible today between Wichita and Oklahoma City, and some could be strong if supercells can hold together into early this evening!
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Nearly 10 inches of rain has fallen in parts of Palm Bay, Florida since midnight, and it’s STILL coming down hard...

Melbourne’s airport has measured 6.4 inches so far, already its wettest November day on record. A Flash Flood Emergency is in effect for Palm Bay and West EST.
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SEVERAL TORNADOES, some possibly strong, and damaging winds will target north-central Oklahoma and south-central Kansas today, now upgraded to an Enhanced Risk...

Morning showers will clear out of western Kansas and Oklahoma, letting temperatures climb into the 70s and low 80s upercells are expected to fire from south-central Kansas into western Oklahoma by around 4 to 5 PM. They may take some time to get organized, and the early storms could turn into bowing line segments instead of supercells.

If supercells can hold together into early this evening, they’ll run into strengthening winds near the ground. That makes the corridor from Wichita down toward Oklahoma City and Tulsa the most likely spot for tornadoes.

Tonight, storms along the dryline will merge into a line that pushes east with damaging winds and embedded tornadoes, reaching western Missouri and the Oklahoma–Arkansas border early Tuesday morning.

Farther south, storms will fire along the dryline in North Texas late this afternoon, with large hail early, then damaging winds and a few tornadoes as they form a line.

A livestream is likely!
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If you live in Dallas, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Wichita, Kansas City, or Omaha, you need to watch out for a risk of tornadoes today...
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The San Juan River in Pagosa Springs, Colorado, is rising FAST, and it’s forecast to beat its 1911 record by more than 4 feet tonight...
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GO PATRIOTS!
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STRONG TORNADOES are possible tomorrow evening across Kansas and Oklahoma...

Wichita and Oklahoma City are both inside the area where an EF2 or stronger tornado can’t be ruled out, and the threat could continue after dark.
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A powerful storm will fire supercells across Oklahoma and Kansas tomorrow, bringing the threat of damaging winds and a few tornadoes...

Storms will develop along the dryline late Monday afternoon from the Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma and southwest Kansas.

Any ere could produce a few tornadoes, along with hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat peaks Monday evening near the Kansas–Oklahoma border, where a developing low will crank up the winds near the ground, and a few strong tornadoes are possible into the early overnight hours.

Storms will then merge into a line and push into eastern Kansas and Missouri overnight with damaging winds and brief tornadoes.
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New Mexico has only seen 2 November tornadoes since 1950, and tonight could add to that list...

A few tornadoes are possible overnight from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle, and a strong one can’t be ruled out near Clovis and Roswell.
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Damaging storms will race across New Mexico and into the Texas Panhandle tonight...

A fast-moving line of storms will form this evening and push across central and eastern New Mexico overnight, then reach the Texas Panhandle early Monday morning.

Damaging winds pose a h gusts exceeding 70 mph possible in east-central New Mexico. A few tornadoes, potentially strong, may also occur.

Before that, a few strong storms with gusty winds and an isolated tornado are possible in southern Arizona this afternoon.
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Parts of the Southwest could see rainfall totals that only happen about once every 100 years today...

3 to 5 inches of rain is expected along the Mogollon Rim north and east of Phoenix, and almost all of it will run off because the ground is already soaked.

Southwest ntains are looking at essentially a repeat of last week’s flash flooding. An upgrade to a High Risk, the highest level, is possible.
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STRONG TORNADO THREAT is possible in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas on Monday...
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FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for portions of Pearl River County, Mississippi!

This is driven by 6-10" of rainfall in the last 3 hours alone. Flash flooding is already occurring, with ongoing high-water rescues and swift-moving water reported covering multiple roadways. Do NOT attempt g an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order!
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