Pinned Tweet
Every election brings new polls, headlines, and predictions.

In a free and open market, those trades bring together information from people across the country to produce a market price that updates in real time.

As new information comes in, people can change their minds. The Markets tell you the odds. Voters decide the outcome.
55
76
1,016
446,180
Kalshi retweeted
MAJOR SHIFT: People on Kalshi's markets estimate 34 of the 35 2026 Senate races to shift LEFT of their 2024 Presidential Election margin

Maine is the only state traders forecast to shift 4 pts. RIGHT

Average Senate shift left: D+12.7
22
20
103
37,451
Kalshi retweeted
JUST IN: Total volume for Senate general elections is approaching $200 million

The top 2 Senate races (Texas and Michigan) make up almost half of the total volume
4
8
25
5,762
Kalshi retweeted
The market never sleeps
7
12
41
7,252
JUST IN: Democrat Adam Hamilton is now the favorite in Kansas Senate race
18
13
143
21,117
JUST IN: Movie theater chain plans to hypnotize customers into forgetting films so they can watch them again for the first time
43
28
431
45,693
BREAKING: Trump declares MAGA is "stronger than ever before"
42
41
693
27,823
JUST IN: Democrats odds of sweeping both the House and Senate in the midterms hit 70%
42
44
381
33,076
JUST IN: Jobs focused on "fixing AI" mistakes surge over 85%
37
33
665
36,778
JUST IN: Microsoft AI CEO warns against treating AI as conscious
45
32
605
43,812
JUST IN: Netanyahu urges Trump to resume attacks on Iran immediately after midterm elections
41
28
399
63,828
JUST IN: Kanye West breaks the record for the highest-attended hip-hop concert in US stadium history
20
35
599
37,241
JUST IN: Tesla was Norway's #1 best-selling car brand last month
23
18
572
29,122
JUST IN: State Department reveals it has revoked over 300,000 visas, the most in American history
20
32
436
31,941
JUST IN: Social Security benefits could be cut as early as 2032
83
86
753
70,087
JUST IN: Odds of a Democratic "blue tsunami" in the midterms surge to all-time high 63%
40
56
791
55,227
JUST IN: Anthropic bans Claude from recreating existing video games
47
44
632
51,680
JUST IN: Trump declares US is "very close" to having a deal
JUST IN: Trump and Canadian Prime Minister agree to work toward a new US-Canada trade deal
40
108
1,393
58,785
JUST IN: Elon Musk's X leads all major social media websites in time spent per visit
38
81
1,720
45,662
JUST IN: Anthropic CEO pushes for employees to donate to charity as company prepares for IPO
35
8
428
49,227
Kalshi retweeted
Sydney Sweeney has a 12% chance to be cast as the next Bond girl
16
35
176
199,390