James Conran retweeted
Less of a regional split on Lab bounce than I would have expected tbh
How England's regions look since Burnham took over
🔴 Labour up everywhere, most in the North West (+10.8), Yorkshire & Humber (+9.1) and East Midlands (+8.2)
🔵 Conservatives up everywhere too, most in the West Midlands (+4.8) and North East (+3.7)
🟦 Reform UK highest in the and East Midlands (25.3%), lowest in London (15.5%)
7-poll avg of regional subsamples, 20 July vs 9 Nov
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Lagarde is not without political skills but 14% vs 13.5% is a weak basis to gamble on someone who has never run in an actual election in her life (in contrast to Philippe).
The Cluster-17 poll is the first to test speculation about a possible run by the ECB head Lagarde after she steps down on 7 February. The survey suggests that, on 14%, she is already attracting more support than the sinking former front-runner of the centre Edouard Philippe, who falls to 13.5%. 3/
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James Conran retweeted
Federal prosecutors leaned on a one-time bodyguard of Omar's for information about her and when he didn't have what they wanted, they indicted him and then dropped charges after DHS began deportation. Now he's in Kenya, separated from his fiancé.
nytimes.com/2026/11/11/us/…
nytimes.com/2026/11/11/us/…
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James Conran retweeted
September saw some growth, more than expected.
First 9 months of the year, annualised UK growth is now running above 2.5%, clearly strongest post pandemic first three quarters, close to 2019…
ONS clearly pointing to AI-related investments as biggest single driver in 2026.
First 9 months of the year, annualised UK growth is now running above 2.5%, clearly strongest post pandemic first three quarters, close to 2019…
ONS clearly pointing to AI-related investments as biggest single driver in 2026.
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James Conran retweeted
Breaking News: Judge Richard A. Posner, the most-cited legal scholar of the latter half of the 20th century, has died. nyti.ms/4Aizsyo
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James Conran retweeted
If a Sorkin script had “secretly razes the historic East Wing of the White House, deliberately built not to be Versailles, and then added a gilded giant ballroom with uh, “donations”, and taxpayer money in the middle of wars, tariffs and crypto”, we’d say too heavy in symbolism.
Wow the Whitehouse Ball room is….quite something. To put it mildly
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James Conran retweeted
Scott Colom will defeat Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in a major upset to become the first Democrat that voters in deep-red Mississippi have elected to the chamber in more than four decades, CNN projects. cnn.it/4iEnxUo
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James Conran retweeted
Hindsight is 20/20: NC Republicans could have easily drawn a 9R-5D or even a 10R-4D map that would have withstood a blue tsunami (by drawing one more safe Dem seat in the Triad). Instead, by trying for a 11R-3D map, they're on track to end up in a 11D-3R hole.
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James Conran retweeted
New @CookPolitical: with more than 116.7 million votes counted, Dems' lead in the national House vote is up to 13.6 points. cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker/2…
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James Conran retweeted
NEW: The @nytimes confirms that ICE deliberately electronically "disappeared" tens of thousands of people in detention and ordered contractors to refuse to reveal where they're held to family or lawyers.
30% of all immigrants detained in ICE jails now have their location hidden.
30% of all immigrants detained in ICE jails now have their location hidden.
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James Conran retweeted
In 2015, scientists expected the world would pass the 1.5C threshold in 2042–27 years down the road. Now they expect the threshold will be passed in 2029. In eleven years we’ve accelerated warming so much that we’ve shaved thirteen years off the timeline.
In 2015, the projected date for reaching 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels was 2042, based on ERA5 data. Today, our C3S global temperature-trend-monitor anticipates the threshold breach within this decade.
Read the article: climate.copernicus.eu/how-fast-world…
#CopernicusClimate
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James Conran retweeted
Majority of Britons support the UK applying to join the EU but 4 in 10 think it would harm Britain’s ability to act in its own best interests.
👉tinyurl.com/mr48r723
(Fieldwork 15-22 October)
👉tinyurl.com/mr48r723
(Fieldwork 15-22 October)
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James Conran retweeted
Spain’s center-right People’s Party has pledged to “put a stop to the imposition of unrealistic timelines” for climate goals if it wins the national election this month.
That would mark a significant shift from PM Pedro Sánchez’s pro-green policies.
vist.ly/5s5n4
That would mark a significant shift from PM Pedro Sánchez’s pro-green policies.
vist.ly/5s5n4
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James Conran retweeted
Voter turnout in Texas as a percent of eligible voters was about 47% in 2026. That's high for a midterm election, but only about 1 point higher than the 2018 midterm, and lower than almost all recent Presidential elections. Over half of eligible voters in Texas didn't vote.
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James Conran retweeted
US higher education is organized by the "meritocratic consensus": students with greater pre-college academic achievement should attend better-funded universities.
When and why did the consensus arise? Is it economically justified? A 🧵 on our new study: aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
When and why did the consensus arise? Is it economically justified? A 🧵 on our new study: aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
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James Conran retweeted
There is little evidence justifying the efficiency of the meritocratic consensus, and substantial room for skepticism.
Whether the consensus persists in US universities depends on whether they -- and their primary owners, the American public -- wish it to.
Whether the consensus persists in US universities depends on whether they -- and their primary owners, the American public -- wish it to.
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James Conran retweeted
As the meritocratic consensus has strengthened, the economic mobility role of universities has deteriorated.
Lower-income students get less value from college-going than ever before, in part due to the relative decline in the value of their universities. nber.org/papers/w33797
Lower-income students get less value from college-going than ever before, in part due to the relative decline in the value of their universities. nber.org/papers/w33797
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