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The US-Iran war looks set to demolish far more than it appears to.
The longer the US stays in this, the higher the odds this stops being a US-Iran war and becomes a Gulf-wide one. Not escalation that threatens Washington or Tehran. Escalation that consumes the entire region.
already projected to contract by as much as 8.5% this year and that's before this war spreads to the other members of the region.
Wars that don't end on schedule rarely stay the same size. They occupy more geography and more actors, not less. Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Yemen, Oman - every one of them sits close enough to be pulled in, and none of them are large enough to absorb it without breaking.
It may not be in the very near future but if this drags on, the endgame won't be as simple as US or Iran losing. It's the entire Gulf burning down, taking the global economy with it.
That may sound like overthinking or worst-case scenario building. Right now, it's reading closer to a forecast.
Connect @GlobalFaults for more
The longer the US stays in this, the higher the odds this stops being a US-Iran war and becomes a Gulf-wide one. Not escalation that threatens Washington or Tehran. Escalation that consumes the entire region.
already projected to contract by as much as 8.5% this year and that's before this war spreads to the other members of the region.
Wars that don't end on schedule rarely stay the same size. They occupy more geography and more actors, not less. Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Yemen, Oman - every one of them sits close enough to be pulled in, and none of them are large enough to absorb it without breaking.
It may not be in the very near future but if this drags on, the endgame won't be as simple as US or Iran losing. It's the entire Gulf burning down, taking the global economy with it.
That may sound like overthinking or worst-case scenario building. Right now, it's reading closer to a forecast.
Connect @GlobalFaults for more
The headlines say Trump is weighing a ground operation.
I don't think he would commit US troops to it. Not for lack of will. The math is brutal either way. American casualties on Iranian soil would be politically unrecoverable. Four months from midterms, with his approval near und war is the one move Republicans can't absorb.
Listen to what he actually said: "We have other people who will do the ground campaign for us".
The Kurdish option was floated back in March, but it never materialized. Turkey killed it before it started. Arming and activating the Kurds is still on the table as a way to tie up IRGC forces at the border. But if not Kurds, it's more likely intelligence assets already inside Iran.
Iran's own supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, hasn't shown his face or used his voice once since March. CIA and Mossad have reportedly been trying to confirm if he's even functionally in charge.
The US was aiming for full regime change as part of the initial plan - partially achieved. Now, with negotiations stalled and Iran showing no sign of folding, the US may aim to dismantle more of the IRGC's command layer through these same assets. That may be the only path left for the US to save face and renegotiate from a position of authority.
That's a quieter war than the one making headlines. It's also the only one that fits the timeline Trump is actually running against.
Connect @GlobalFaults for more
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Polish politician Grzegorz Braun tore down the European Union flag, wiped his shoes with it, and burned it.
He stated that Poland would not display the symbols of what he called a dark organization.
"This is Poland, not Brussels."
He stated that Poland would not display the symbols of what he called a dark organization.
"This is Poland, not Brussels."
The UN adopts the Russian resolution against the glorification of Nazism: 117 votes in favor.
Almost all NATO & EU members voted Against (except Turkey, which abstained).
EU’s hatred of Russia is so intense that it seems willing to embrace Nazism and racism!
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Jensen Huang has resigned as president, CEO and board member of Nvidia after 33 years at the helm. CFO Colette Kress named interim CEO.
The news comes amid reports of 2 affairs, one involving a woman spying for China.
China may be relishing the news.
The news comes amid reports of 2 affairs, one involving a woman spying for China.
China may be relishing the news.
The UN adopts the Russian resolution against the glorification of Nazism: 117 votes in favor.
Almost all NATO & EU members voted Against (except Turkey, which abstained).
EU’s hatred of Russia is so intense that it seems willing to embrace Nazism and racism!
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The UN adopts the Russian resolution against the glorification of Nazism: 117 votes in favor.
Almost all NATO & EU members voted Against (except Turkey, which abstained).
EU’s hatred of Russia is so intense that it seems willing to embrace Nazism and racism!
Almost all NATO & EU members voted Against (except Turkey, which abstained).
EU’s hatred of Russia is so intense that it seems willing to embrace Nazism and racism!
Germany's top General: "If there is one sentence I take away from the last few years it is: to give up everything for freedom, that is freedom."
Welcome back, Germany.
Fascism never went away in Europe; it was simply rebranded.
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He is a US Senator from Arizona, saying that Ukrainian lives matter no more than killing Russians.
Tomorrow, he may say the same about Europeans or Canadians.
After all, who cares what happens to innocent civilians?
Tomorrow, he may say the same about Europeans or Canadians.
After all, who cares what happens to innocent civilians?
Hakeem Jeffries: "Pete Hegseth, the so-called Secretary of Defense, been a failure and a disaster for the American people.
He shredded the law and the Constitution with impunity, and there is no circumstance that justifies Pete Hegseth continuing to hold this position."
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First images of the talks in Abu Dhabi. Russia, US & Ukraine are now in the same room after Feb 2027.
Kushner and Witkoff are mediating, with Medinsky leading Moscow's team and Umerov leading Kyiv's.
European delegation was not admitted to the negotiating room.
Kushner and Witkoff are mediating, with Medinsky leading Moscow's team and Umerov leading Kyiv's.
European delegation was not admitted to the negotiating room.
Zelenskyy resorts to his favorite pastime of scaring European leaders with Russia.
It keeps his paychecks coming with no accountability to Ukrainians or Europeans.
And yet, not a single European leader is willing to call out this ever-escalating rhetoric.
Works everytime.
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Hakeem Jeffries: "Pete Hegseth, the so-called Secretary of Defense, been a failure and a disaster for the American people.
He shredded the law and the Constitution with impunity, and there is no circumstance that justifies Pete Hegseth continuing to hold this position."
He shredded the law and the Constitution with impunity, and there is no circumstance that justifies Pete Hegseth continuing to hold this position."
Iran has denied of any planned meeting between US and Iranian officials.
Is it again an attempt to manipulate the oil market before the next strike?
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Iran has denied of any planned meeting between US and Iranian officials.
Is it again an attempt to manipulate the oil market before the next strike?
Is it again an attempt to manipulate the oil market before the next strike?
US VP JD Vance & Iran’s National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaei are expected to meet in Doha next week.
Talks can be significant.
But, the real question is whether both sides are finally ready to move beyond threats and maximalist demands towards a workable agreement.
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Reports of proposed US Iran deal:
US could permit Iran to enrich uranium to 3.67%, reportedly fine by Iran.
Iran would reduce stockpile of uranium enriched to 60%.
US could unfreeze $6-9 billion in Iranian assets.
US naval blockade be lifted immediately upon an agreement.
US could permit Iran to enrich uranium to 3.67%, reportedly fine by Iran.
Iran would reduce stockpile of uranium enriched to 60%.
US could unfreeze $6-9 billion in Iranian assets.
US naval blockade be lifted immediately upon an agreement.
US VP JD Vance & Iran’s National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaei are expected to meet in Doha next week.
Talks can be significant.
But, the real question is whether both sides are finally ready to move beyond threats and maximalist demands towards a workable agreement.
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US VP JD Vance & Iran’s National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaei are expected to meet in Doha next week.
Talks can be significant.
But, the real question is whether both sides are finally ready to move beyond threats and maximalist demands towards a workable agreement.
Talks can be significant.
But, the real question is whether both sides are finally ready to move beyond threats and maximalist demands towards a workable agreement.
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: "The Supreme Leader ordered us to put an end to the situation of 'neither war nor peace.'
We can negotiate with dignity and resolve the issue with dignity."
Is Iran stretching its hand out to finalize a deal?
Is Russia mediating for the US?
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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: "The Supreme Leader ordered us to put an end to the situation of 'neither war nor peace.'
We can negotiate with dignity and resolve the issue with dignity."
Is Iran stretching its hand out to finalize a deal?
Is Russia mediating for the US?
We can negotiate with dignity and resolve the issue with dignity."
Is Iran stretching its hand out to finalize a deal?
Is Russia mediating for the US?
Trump announces Task Force Iron Gate to blockade land routes into Iran.
It consists of just 20 people, so it may simply be a coordinating body working with neighbouring countries to stop inflows.
Pakistan's recent closure of its land borders with Iran fits the pattern.
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Germany's top General: "If there is one sentence I take away from the last few years it is: to give up everything for freedom, that is freedom."
Welcome back, Germany.
Fascism never went away in Europe; it was simply rebranded.
Welcome back, Germany.
Fascism never went away in Europe; it was simply rebranded.
Zelenskyy resorts to his favorite pastime of scaring European leaders with Russia.
It keeps his paychecks coming with no accountability to Ukrainians or Europeans.
And yet, not a single European leader is willing to call out this ever-escalating rhetoric.
Works everytime.
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Trump announces Task Force Iron Gate to blockade land routes into Iran.
It consists of just 20 people, so it may simply be a coordinating body working with neighbouring countries to stop inflows.
Pakistan's recent closure of its land borders with Iran fits the pattern.
It consists of just 20 people, so it may simply be a coordinating body working with neighbouring countries to stop inflows.
Pakistan's recent closure of its land borders with Iran fits the pattern.
BREAKING: The US has likely struck Qeshm Island in recent minutes.
Multiple photos show a plume of smoke rising from the island.
Locals in Qeshm are reporting Fighter Jet activity above Qeshm.
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BREAKING: Israeli President Herzog has announced that he will task Gadi Eisenkot to form a new government.
Eisenkot will formally receive mandate on Nov 8 & have 28 + 14 days to form the government.
He needs to secure the support of 61 lawmakers.
Eisenkot will formally receive mandate on Nov 8 & have 28 + 14 days to form the government.
He needs to secure the support of 61 lawmakers.
BREAKING: The US has likely struck Qeshm Island in recent minutes.
Multiple photos show a plume of smoke rising from the island.
Locals in Qeshm are reporting Fighter Jet activity above Qeshm.
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BREAKING: The US has likely struck Qeshm Island in recent minutes.
Multiple photos show a plume of smoke rising from the island.
Locals in Qeshm are reporting Fighter Jet activity above Qeshm.
Multiple photos show a plume of smoke rising from the island.
Locals in Qeshm are reporting Fighter Jet activity above Qeshm.
Trump says US has “one or two” sites in Iran that may need to be dealt with.
“We can do that in 10 mins. We have that plan,” he said.
According to Axios, US & Israel are preparing for a massive bombing campaign against Iran that could last up to 7 days.
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Zelenskyy resorts to his favorite pastime of scaring European leaders with Russia.
It keeps his paychecks coming with no accountability to Ukrainians or Europeans.
And yet, not a single European leader is willing to call out this ever-escalating rhetoric.
Works everytime.
It keeps his paychecks coming with no accountability to Ukrainians or Europeans.
And yet, not a single European leader is willing to call out this ever-escalating rhetoric.
Works everytime.
The Kremlin confirms Russian delegation will visit Abu Dhabi on Nov 10-11 to participate in trilateral talks on Ukraine.
Witkoff calls them “working-level talks.” Not leaders.
For Russia, they show it’s open to peace. For Ukraine, they buy time.
Settlement or managing the war?
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The Kremlin confirms Russian delegation will visit Abu Dhabi on Nov 10-11 to participate in trilateral talks on Ukraine.
Witkoff calls them “working-level talks.” Not leaders.
For Russia, they show it’s open to peace. For Ukraine, they buy time.
Settlement or managing the war?
Witkoff calls them “working-level talks.” Not leaders.
For Russia, they show it’s open to peace. For Ukraine, they buy time.
Settlement or managing the war?
A paramedic who helped evacuate people from a basement in Petropavlivska Borshchahivka now speaks out.
All the doctors have started receiving threats! They want to kill anyone who reveals the truth!
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Germany is considering joining the UK-Italy-Japan GCAP fighter program.
No decision has been made, and time pressure is shaping every step.
Defense Minister Pistorius will meet Japan and Italy for talks within two weeks.
No decision has been made, and time pressure is shaping every step.
Defense Minister Pistorius will meet Japan and Italy for talks within two weeks.
A paramedic who helped evacuate people from a basement in Petropavlivska Borshchahivka now speaks out.
All the doctors have started receiving threats! They want to kill anyone who reveals the truth!
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A paramedic who helped evacuate people from a basement in Petropavlivska Borshchahivka now speaks out.
All the doctors have started receiving threats! They want to kill anyone who reveals the truth!
All the doctors have started receiving threats! They want to kill anyone who reveals the truth!
Ukrainian crowd tries to STORM National Guard facility near Kiev as citizens are being held inside.
Protesters are outraged, smashed police bus while security forces fired shots.
A doctor claimed that between 25 & 30 people were inside, 4 in serious condition.
Change required.
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Ukrainian crowd tries to STORM National Guard facility near Kiev as citizens are being held inside.
Protesters are outraged, smashed police bus while security forces fired shots.
A doctor claimed that between 25 & 30 people were inside, 4 in serious condition.
Change required.
Protesters are outraged, smashed police bus while security forces fired shots.
A doctor claimed that between 25 & 30 people were inside, 4 in serious condition.
Change required.
A TORTURE CHAMBER of Zelensky was uncovered near Kiev.
More than 40 mobilised men were held captive by Ukraine's National Guard, the youngest was just 14 (below).
There is now great outrage in Ukraine against Zelensky.
Europe will still not understand.
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A TORTURE CHAMBER of Zelensky was uncovered near Kiev.
More than 40 mobilised men were held captive by Ukraine's National Guard, the youngest was just 14 (below).
There is now great outrage in Ukraine against Zelensky.
Europe will still not understand.
More than 40 mobilised men were held captive by Ukraine's National Guard, the youngest was just 14 (below).
There is now great outrage in Ukraine against Zelensky.
Europe will still not understand.
48 out of 54 African Union countries have participated in the 3rd Russia-Africa Summit.
It confirms Africa's rejection of the Europe's attempts to isolate Russia in international forums.
The next Russia-Africa Summit could be held on African soil.
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