Carolina Forward retweeted
Remember kids, when pollsters undercount Republicans, it’s a scandal because they don’t understand how to capture the opinions of “real America”
When they undercount Democrats, oh well, it’s just a polling error, shit happens
When they undercount Democrats, oh well, it’s just a polling error, shit happens
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Two of the most corrupt, and corrupting, political leaders in modern North Carolina history are both leaving office this year in a humiliating spectacle of greed and overreach.
For more than a decade, Phil Berger and Tim Moore ran the North Carolina state legislature as their weaponized a firehose of corporate dark money from out of state to enforce strict party discipline in the State Senate and State House, respectively.
Many people ask why there isn't more independence among North Carolina state lawmakers. The answer for the last 15 years has been one of these men.
Tim Moore racked up a long and tawdry list of moneymaking grifts and sex scandals. He abused his office for personal financial gain over and over again. When he was finished in Raleigh, he drew his own Congressional district to run in, so he could go to Washington and make another big score. As a Congressman, he became one of the most active stock traders on insider information.
Phil Berger, too, bent the law, broke norms, and profited handsomely from his political power. He placed his children in positions of power, snubbed bipartisanship in favor of single-minded dedication to big corporate donors, and traded an astonishing mid-decade re-gerrymander of North Carolina's Congressional map to buy a Trump endorsement in his unexpectedly competitive primary.
But then, things went wrong.
First, Berger overreached when he tried selling out North Carolina to the casino interests, and he spent $10 million of corporate donors' money to save his seat - and failed. He lost his primary, and the Democrat he tried to cut down - Don Davis - is returning to office next year.
Next, Tim Moore was too arrogant and busy trading stocks to notice that the people of his district don't like him. He lost his Congressional race in NC-14 to Democrat Lakesha Womack, who had almost zero money and a mostly volunteer staff.
Both men were stunned. They thought they were invincible, because 15 years of gerrymandering and cash had blinded them to reality.
These men hurt North Carolina, poisoned our politics, and divided us as a state. The Great State of North Carolina will now begin to heal - because they're gone.
For more than a decade, Phil Berger and Tim Moore ran the North Carolina state legislature as their weaponized a firehose of corporate dark money from out of state to enforce strict party discipline in the State Senate and State House, respectively.
Many people ask why there isn't more independence among North Carolina state lawmakers. The answer for the last 15 years has been one of these men.
Tim Moore racked up a long and tawdry list of moneymaking grifts and sex scandals. He abused his office for personal financial gain over and over again. When he was finished in Raleigh, he drew his own Congressional district to run in, so he could go to Washington and make another big score. As a Congressman, he became one of the most active stock traders on insider information.
Phil Berger, too, bent the law, broke norms, and profited handsomely from his political power. He placed his children in positions of power, snubbed bipartisanship in favor of single-minded dedication to big corporate donors, and traded an astonishing mid-decade re-gerrymander of North Carolina's Congressional map to buy a Trump endorsement in his unexpectedly competitive primary.
But then, things went wrong.
First, Berger overreached when he tried selling out North Carolina to the casino interests, and he spent $10 million of corporate donors' money to save his seat - and failed. He lost his primary, and the Democrat he tried to cut down - Don Davis - is returning to office next year.
Next, Tim Moore was too arrogant and busy trading stocks to notice that the people of his district don't like him. He lost his Congressional race in NC-14 to Democrat Lakesha Womack, who had almost zero money and a mostly volunteer staff.
Both men were stunned. They thought they were invincible, because 15 years of gerrymandering and cash had blinded them to reality.
These men hurt North Carolina, poisoned our politics, and divided us as a state. The Great State of North Carolina will now begin to heal - because they're gone.
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You have to wonder if North Carolina Republicans are ready to internalize yet that @NCGOP has been completely out-worked and out-hustled by @abreezeclayton since she became @NCDemParty chair in 2023 - and we're all now seeing the results.
All of the GOP bros completely dismissed chair, because she's a young woman. (Many of them harbor an obsession with her.) Yet compared to @simmonsncgop (or @WhatleyNC!), Clayton has simply worked harder leading her party than her NCGOP counterparts have.
When Clayton pushed for Democratic organizing in rural counties, the conservative pundits laughed. When she recruited candidates in almost every single legislative race, the GOP bros mocked it as a waste of time.
But none of them are laughing today. Instead, Democrats have flipped county commissions across the state, won 70 NC House Seats, and would've won an NC Senate majority, were it not for egregious gerrymandering.
And in 2028, the Republican gerrymander of North Carolina, which has completely defined our state's politics for 15 years, is finally going to be fed into a woodchipper. Get ready.
All of the GOP bros completely dismissed chair, because she's a young woman. (Many of them harbor an obsession with her.) Yet compared to @simmonsncgop (or @WhatleyNC!), Clayton has simply worked harder leading her party than her NCGOP counterparts have.
When Clayton pushed for Democratic organizing in rural counties, the conservative pundits laughed. When she recruited candidates in almost every single legislative race, the GOP bros mocked it as a waste of time.
But none of them are laughing today. Instead, Democrats have flipped county commissions across the state, won 70 NC House Seats, and would've won an NC Senate majority, were it not for egregious gerrymandering.
And in 2028, the Republican gerrymander of North Carolina, which has completely defined our state's politics for 15 years, is finally going to be fed into a woodchipper. Get ready.
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Why don't you go ask @SenatorBerger @ncspeakerhall @RepTimMooreNC? After all, they've been governing it for the last 15 years.
So where did all of the lottery money go?
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There are a lot of things you can say about @SenThomTillis, but he's a guy with a very keen sense of the political winds. He says 2028 is going to be a "very negative" environment for Republicans.
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Everything you need to know about the next 20 years across North Carolina, Virginia and Georgia is right here on this map.
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North Carolina's outgoing Republican leadership has starved the public school system of capital funding for many years. As a result, capital needs for statewide school building maintenance, renovation and construction projects has risen to almost $18 billion over the next 5 e small snapshot into the staggering challenges Democrats will face when they take power in the NC House in January.
ncnewsline.com/2026/11/05/nor…
ncnewsline.com/2026/11/05/nor…
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Protip for Republican candidates in North Carolina: you may not want to take political advice from folks who have never known a North Carolina without election maps rigged in their favor.
These folks have no idea what's happened, and no mental model to compete in it. GLWT.
These folks have no idea what's happened, and no mental model to compete in it. GLWT.
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Wow - these are pretty serious allegations that @NCGOP officials, including @DallasWoodhouse and @WhatleyNC, actively sabotaged a fellow Republican Congressman, @realcawthorn. đź‘€
One time, the entire NC11 Executive Committee was in a closed door session with Madison Cawthorn discussing strategy.
As the discussions were happening, they were being broadcast LIVE on Twitter by DALLAS WOODHOUSE.
Michael Whatley said he had a press engagement that evening. Never could find it but, I bet if we used GPS coordinates on his phone, he was sitting next to Dallas as those tweets were being broadcasted.
People within the NCGOP sabotaged Madison. And all of them deserve to be punished for it.
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Carolina Forward retweeted
With NC Dems taking control of the house and maybe tie-ing the senate, it's time to repeal the 10% limit on NCDOT transit funding.
25% Cars, 25% Buses, and 50% Rail should be the new formula.
Build it all. Resurrect the Durham Light Rail. High Speed Rail to Georgia and DC.
25% Cars, 25% Buses, and 50% Rail should be the new formula.
Build it all. Resurrect the Durham Light Rail. High Speed Rail to Georgia and DC.
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.@JonathanFelts, who just managed the single worst crashout for a North Carolina statewide federal race in 50 years with @WhatleyNC, is also still leading @SenTedBuddNC's campaign - and he says they'll be fine, folks, who's worried?
wral.com/news/nccapitol…
wral.com/news/nccapitol…
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The October edition of the Carolina Forward Poll found @WhatleyNC at 40%, @RoyCooperNC at 50%, and 10% undecided.
Actual result: @WhatleyNC 39.1%, Cooper 58.7%, other 2.2%.
The polls were mostly pretty good in the 2026 cycle, and accurately predicted the GOP performance. But er-estimated the Democrats.
Actual result: @WhatleyNC 39.1%, Cooper 58.7%, other 2.2%.
The polls were mostly pretty good in the 2026 cycle, and accurately predicted the GOP performance. But er-estimated the Democrats.
The October edition of the Carolina Forward Poll is in!
👉 Former Governor @RoyCooperNC leads @whatleync by 10 points (50% to 40%)
👉 Justice @Anita_Earls leads @repsarahstevens by 9 points (50% to 41%) in the race for the NC Supreme Court
👉 Democrats have a 7-point lead over e legislative generic ballot (49% to 42%)
In this edition of the Carolina Forward Poll, we also asked about voters' views of the Trump administration's tariffs and automated license plate readers (ex. Flock cameras). Let's dive in.
Full results: carolinaforward.org/news/the-octob…
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Carolina Forward retweeted
The Mecklenberg-Charlotte area slowly but surely becoming for North Carolina Democrats what the Atlanta Metro area is for Georgia Democrats.
It will be a little while before we get the final precinct results with all Absentee/Early votes sorted by precinct but this is my current estimate of what the final precinct map will look like for the 2026 Senate Race
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Things are about to get very contentious in the North Carolina SD-24 race. đź‘€
VoteHub obtained North Carolina’s list of voters with provisional ballots still to be counted from the State Board of Elections office. They are heavily Democratic and could help Democrats hold NC-05 and flip NC-03.
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