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Welcome to Week 1 with some fun new stuff @ActionNetworkHQ...
+ New weekly betting primer from me. One link, all season (free as always): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-bettin…
+ TD machine w/ @GDAWG5000 (PRO feature): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-anytim…
+ QB Ratings w/ @The_Oddsmaker's rankings (PRO): actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-live-…
+ New weekly betting primer from me. One link, all season (free as always): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-bettin…
+ TD machine w/ @GDAWG5000 (PRO feature): actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-anytim…
+ QB Ratings w/ @The_Oddsmaker's rankings (PRO): actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-live-…
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Ben Johnson is now 8-1 ATS in primetime as coach of the Bears -- Chicago has covered 8 straight..
As HC of Bears & OC Lions, Ben is 19-4-1 ATS in night games.
Last 30 yrs, only 2 HC have started 8-1 ATS or better in primetime -- Ben Johnson & Andy Reid.
As HC of Bears & OC Lions, Ben is 19-4-1 ATS in night games.
Last 30 yrs, only 2 HC have started 8-1 ATS or better in primetime -- Ben Johnson & Andy Reid.
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Evan Abrams retweeted
🏒 Debut of the NHL 1st Goal Model @ActionNetworkHQ!
1st goalscorer edges for every NHL game!
- Confidence intervals
- Kelly bet size staking
- Expected returns
+ more!
Quickslip links take you directly to the book/market to bet!
👇👇👇
actionnetwork.com/nhl/nhl-first-…
1st goalscorer edges for every NHL game!
- Confidence intervals
- Kelly bet size staking
- Expected returns
+ more!
Quickslip links take you directly to the book/market to bet!
👇👇👇
actionnetwork.com/nhl/nhl-first-…
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NFL underdogs of 7+ points are 9-20 SU and 20-6-3 ATS this season through 8 weeks...
A dog of 7+ points has won outright in each of the first 8 weeks of the season — the first time that has happened since 1971 ⤵️
A dog of 7+ points has won outright in each of the first 8 weeks of the season — the first time that has happened since 1971 ⤵️
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Through 8 games, the Cardinals have 3 outright wins. All 3 wins as an underdog of over a full TD at +7.5 or higher.
Arizona is first team since '95 Jaguars to win three games as a 7+ pt dog within first 8 games of the season: actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-underd…
Arizona is first team since '95 Jaguars to win three games as a 7+ pt dog within first 8 games of the season: actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-underd…
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Eagles are now 0-8 against the spread (0-7-1 SU) in the 2nd half this year-- first team since '06 winless both SU & ATS in 2H through 8 games.
Only one team doesn't have a cover against the 2nd half spread this season...
Eagles at 0-6 -- the first team to start a season w/ 6 straight 2H ATS losses since 2022 ⤵️
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'98 Washington also last team to start winless SU/ATS through 7 games.
Chargers are 0-9-1 ATS last ten games dating back to last season. Every other NFL team has at least 2 covers since Christmas of last year.
Chargers are 0-9-1 ATS last ten games dating back to last season. Every other NFL team has at least 2 covers since Christmas of last year.
Chargers are the first team since Washington in 1998 to start 0-7 SU with a preseason win total of above 8.
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Chargers are the first team since Washington in 1998 to start 0-7 SU with a preseason win total of above 8.
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For the first time in 9 years, Cowboys blow a 14+ pt lead at home…
As a favorite of 6+ pts this year, Dallas is 0-2 SU and 0-5 ATS since start of 2024.
As a favorite of 6+ pts this year, Dallas is 0-2 SU and 0-5 ATS since start of 2024.
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Baker Mayfield completes 0 passes and wins -- first time a team has done that since 1974.
Michael Penix Jr. has 4 INT and 8 completions. Only other QB last decade w/ 4+ INT and 8 or fewer comp. -- Nathan Peterman in 2017.
NFC South in the rain!
Michael Penix Jr. has 4 INT and 8 completions. Only other QB last decade w/ 4+ INT and 8 or fewer comp. -- Nathan Peterman in 2017.
NFC South in the rain!
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Bengals are up to -13.5 vs Titans — Cincy’s biggest favorite since 2009 behind Carson Palmer. If they close 14+, would be biggest fav. since 1990 ⤵️
🏈 TITANS vs BENGALS NFL BEST BET
🐅 BENGALS -12.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/CIN1101
🗣️ "Tennessee has a -62 scoring margin in the first half of games this season, which is the worst in the league. The Titans will likely fall behind early and have no he running game. This further puts the onus of any potential comeback in the hands of Cam Ward. Ward's 27.1 passer rating under pressure and turnover-worthy throw rate nearly doubling his big-time throw rate makes it too difficult to trust him in delivering any chance at a backdoor cover. The Bengals are -6.5 in the 1st half, which is another position worth a look. However, I am more comfortable allowing the full 60 minutes to play out as Ward’s game-altering mistake(s) can come at any time. Joe Burrow is heating up at the right time and the Titans do not have the personnel to slow him down. I expect the Bengals to cruise to victory with significant margin." - @JohnnyLFootball
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Preseason odds to win title in 2026 across 7 major sports — Most longshots we’ve seen (30-1+). Shortest odds at +850. Crazy year.
CFB: Indiana (100-1)
NFL: Seahawks (60-1)
WNBA: Valkyries (33-1)
MLB: Brewers (30-1)
CBB: Michigan (16-1)
NBA: Knicks (9-1)
NHL: Hurricanes (+850)
CFB: Indiana (100-1)
NFL: Seahawks (60-1)
WNBA: Valkyries (33-1)
MLB: Brewers (30-1)
CBB: Michigan (16-1)
NBA: Knicks (9-1)
NHL: Hurricanes (+850)
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USC has closed +6 or higher at home eleven times last 35 yrs — one outright upset ⤵️
1996 vs Notre Dame, Lou Holtz’ last game for Irish
1996 vs Notre Dame, Lou Holtz’ last game for Irish
🏈 OHIO STATE vs USC CFB BEST BET
⚔️ USC +6.5 👇
Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/USCOHIOST
🗣️ "What are we going to get from the Buckeyes without starting quarterback Julian Sayin? That's hard to say, but I'm confident it won't look as clean with either Luke or a combination of both.
Sayin has issues against elite defensive fronts due to his lack of mobility, but he would have carved up this USC defense.
You'd think the Buckeyes would want to lean on their ground game with a freshman making his first career start on the road, but they haven't been great in that department.
Ohio State's ground game ranks 98th in yards per carry and 123rd in explosiveness. And USC's defense actually grades out very well in yards before contact allowed.
As a result, Ohio State will need help from its inexperienced quarterbacks in order to sustain drives. I have my doubts even with Jeremiah Smith (who will get his as always) on the field.
If I'm USC, I'm keeping Prophet Brown over the top of Smith all game and daring Fahey or St. Clair to throw to anybody else. I also wouldn't be surprised if one of them forces a throw to Smith that ends in disaster at some point.
On the other side of the ball, Ohio State once again has an elite defense under coordinator Matt Patricia, but this unit has clearly taken a step back from last year's historically dominant group.
One of the primary problems has been the lack of pressure. That may prove problematic against USC quarterback Jayden Maiava, who has been one of the nation's most lethal passers when kept clean in the pocket.
Just take a look at the discrepancy in his numbers:
When kept clean: 72.4% completion percentage, 18 TDs, 2 INTs, 0.8% TWP, 77% ADJ, 9 YPA
Under pressure: 37.7% completion percentage, 1 TDs, 3 INTs, 6% TWP, 48.8% ADJ, 5.4 YPA
That's a stark contrast." @Stuckey2
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NFC North dominates other divisions. 16-3 SU this year. Here is last 3 seasons, only profitable div. on moneyline ⤵️
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