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Japan, 1490.

A skinny old monk in tattered black robes staggers out of a Kyoto brothel at dawn, reeking of sake and sex, a blind woman half his age clinging to his arm.

The temple gates are still locked.
The “proper” monks are inside chanting sutras.

He just laughs, loud s.

This is Ikkyū Sōjun.

They called him Crazy Cloud.

And he earned it.

Born a royal bastard (emperor’s son, no throne), he was dumped in a Zen monastery as a kid so the court wouldn’t have to look at him.

By twenty he was already too much: too sharp, too loud, too alive.

They kept kicking him out of temples.

He kept coming back with dirtier robes and a grin.

He broke every rule they had:

- Slept with courtesans while the abbots preached celibacy

- Drank rivers of sake while they counted breaths

- At seventy-seven fell stupidly, gloriously in love with a blind singer named Mori and wrote her poems so raw they still make monks blush five hundred years later

- When they finally handed him the fancy certificate that said “You Are Enlightened,” he used it to light his pipe

His most famous line, carved on half the sake cups in Kyoto:

“One night of love with a beautiful woman is worth more than a hundred thousand years of sitting zazen with a dead heart.”

He saw Buddha in the curve of a thigh, in the burn of cheap liquor, in the laughter of fishmongers at 3 a.m.

While the Zen bureaucracy turned enlightenment into paperwork, Ikkyū turned it back into wildfire.

He died at eighty-seven, still laughing, surrounded by lovers and drunk poets.

The temple priests still won’t mention his name in morning service.
The brothel girls kept his poems under their pillows for centuries.

Crazy Cloud never asked permission to be free.

He just was.
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🤔 Five reasons the Ukraine war is a US/EU proxy conflict against Russia:

1. Over $100B+ in Western weapons and cash, with no serious early push for diplomacy. The goal was never peace.

2. US officials (Austin, Nuland) openly said the point was to “weaken Russia.” Ukraine was the chosen instrument.

3. NATO expansion to Russia’s border was policy for 20+ years. Ukraine was the last piece. Moscow’s red lines were treated as bluffs.

4. No Western army will fight. Ukrainian manpower is the ammunition. Western arms, intelligence, and targeting are the trigger.

5. The narrative is tightly controlled: “unprovoked invasion” erases Minsk, the 2014 coup, and eight years of war in the Donbas. This is the Imaginary War.

Empires use proxies when they lack the will or the capacity for direct war.

This is the simple truth!
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The most crushing disappointment awaiting the delusional supporters of the lost war in Ukraine will be the discovery that neither a Democratic Senate nor a Democratic President changes anything.

America’s interest is evaporating because the war is lost and the costs are unsustainable not because of one man.

Blaming Trump and imagining Democrats will magically reverse it is peak propaganda.

This is the simple truth!
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The Maldives is the only country on earth that begins its week on Friday.

Europe is the only continent that treats losing a war and bankrupting itself on sanctions as victory.

This is the simple truth.
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Calling someone a “Russian bot” or “Putin lover” is what happens when you refuse to accept the fairy tales and delusions the Western mainstream still peddles about how the world is actually run.
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The claim that the US is a stable tree while the forest burns is the latest version of the Imaginary War.

Most of those fires were lit or deliberately fanned from Washington!

The proxy war in Ukraine, open-ended support for Israel, sanctions that rewired energy markets, and the insistence that allies subordinate their interests to American strategy.

The American tree is hollowed by debt service, a single-shot military, and a political class that treats governance as theater.

The forest is reacting to the arsonist.

This is the simple truth!
Russia - War
France - Spiking yields
Gulf States - War
Israel - War/Election uncertainty
Brazil - Election Chaos
China - Massive Deflation
SE Asia - Energy crisis

When you take your eyes off the U.S. tree you realize the rest of the forest is on fire…
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The late-stage American financialized empire which is nothing but a subsidized apparatus that manufactures almost nothing of substance beyond debt and windfalls for connected corporations is the most persuasive argument for communism I have ever encountered.

When a system can no longer produce real goods, only paper claims and patronage, the historical failures of the alternatives begin to lose their force.

This is the simple truth.
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The free tribes of the American continent were first subdued by force of arms. So long as they remained mobile, armed, and capable of inflicting cost, a residue of respect endured even while treaties were systematically broken.

That respect was not affection but it was the acknowledgment of danger.

Once military pressure had confined them to reservations and rendered them dependent, the respect vanished.

Their subsequent poverty, unemployment, and lack of purpose were then exhibited as evidence of inherent inferiority.

The same power that had engineered their condition used the result to ratify its own superiority.

This inversion has been the characteristic method ever since.

Subordination continues to be offered as the price of security and prosperity. What it actually purchases is vassalage.

The empire does not respect those who kneel but it respects only those still able to refuse. The former are granted the language of partnership and the illusion of autonomy. The latter are portrayed as villains across the mainstream media.

Yet the distinction is plain: one set has retained the capacity to say no, and the other has not.

This is the simple truth.
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When it comes to Ukraine, the EU has ambitions. Russia has power.

The distinction is not subtle. Ambitions can be announced in Brussels. Power is measured in shells, drones, industrial capacity, and the willingness to absorb losses.

The simple truth of the matter is that, four years in, Europe still cannot field a force capable of altering the military balance. Russia can.

Which one do you think decides the outcome?
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Great powers have always reconciled after proxy wars. The United States and Russia are doing it again.

Ukraine was spent as the instrument. Europe was never at the table that mattered. It still isn’t.

Who occupies the White House is secondary. The structural incentives are not. At this stage the United States needs the war to end more than Russia does.

Business is business. History is history. The rest is theater.

This is the simple truth!
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🔥 I have long argued that the sanctions theater against Russia was always more propaganda than policy.

While Western media still peddles the fantasy that Moscow is being starved into surrender, the EU is quietly importing record volumes of Russian Arctic LNG 12.18 million tonnes in the first nine months of 2026 alone, at a cost of nearly €8 billion.

Russia holds the resources. Europe does not.

High oil prices from Middle East disruptions are padding the Russian current account even as the budget plays its usual games.

The simple truth of the matter is this:

Europe cannot live without Russian energy in any meaningful time frame, and Russia will not be forced to stop the war for lack of money or fuel.

We need to grow up and face reality.
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Russia and the US are quietly finding ways to work together in the Arctic in energy, shipping, resources. Meanwhile the EU is still exploring the fastest route to bankruptcy by bankrolling Ukraine.

Priorities, I guess.
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Europe’s choice is simple.

Russia has won. The EU can join the winning side and prosper, or go down with the US proxy called Ukraine. The hypocrisy of elites demanding endless sacrifice for a lost war while their own people get poorer is staggering.

We should choose the winner while we still can.

This is the simple truth.
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German youth in 20 cities demanding better schools, hospitals, lower costs and no draft.

Every one of those problems is the direct result of sanctions on Russia and blank-check money for Ukraine.

Germany is paying for Kiev while gutting its own hospitals and schools. Berlin’s answer is militarization.

The kids don’t want to be conscripted into the mess.

In my estimation, this is the simple truth:

Europe bankrupted itself for a proxy war, then acts shocked when the bill arrives.
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The West teaches itself that PR victories matter in the real world.

They don’t.

Our greatest PR achievement, the one we use to prove our superiority, is GDP. A number we chose to believe means something when the shit hits the fan.

It doesn’t.

This is the simple truth.
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My predictions for the Ukraine war and Western support over the coming months:

1. The economic music stops.

Europe and the US have poured hundreds of billions into a proxy war with no viable endgame. The costs are already showing up in energy prices, industrial contraction, and debt. When the markets finally price in the permanent loss of cheap Russian energy and the open-ended fiscal drain, equities and bonds get hit. The “Ukraine forever” trade is not priced for reality.

2. Energy remains the real bottleneck.

You cannot run a modern European economy or a sustained high-intensity war on LNG and renewables at current volumes and prices. The grid and industrial base are already under strain. Further cuts in Russian energy access accelerate deindustrialization. That is not a temporary inconvenience; it is structural damage.

3. Subsidies and aid are masking the true costs.

Western governments have kept the war effort going with debt, off-balance-sheet support, and suppressed energy prices for critical industries. The real price of munitions, logistics, and reconstruction is far higher than advertised. When the fiscal and monetary props weaken, the gap becomes impossible to ignore.

4. Production and logistics cannot keep pace.

Western arsenals were never built for a long conventional war of attrition. Artillery, air defense, and armored vehicle replacement rates are inadequate. Russia’s industrial base and North Korean/Iranian supplements continue to outproduce the coalition in key categories. Attrition favors the side that can sustain output, not the side that issues statements.

5. Political support frays under economic pressure.

As electricity, gas, and food costs stay elevated and growth stays weak, public tolerance for open-ended aid declines. Elections and budget fights will force harder trade-offs. The current level of military and financial support is not politically durable once recession bites.

6. Credit and financing become the first visible crack.

Governments already stretched by COVID-era debt cannot indefinitely finance both domestic priorities and a major war. Defense contractors and European industrial firms will face tighter credit and higher borrowing costs. Half-finished rearmament plans stall when the money gets more expensive.

7. Asset owners who avoided the narrative win.

Businesses and individuals positioned for higher energy costs, continued Russian commodity exports, and a multipolar trade system will be better placed. Those who bet on rapid Ukrainian victory and a return to pre-2022 energy arrangements will absorb the losses.

This is not investment advice!

The West has chosen a course that prioritizes confrontation over economic self-interest.

The bill is still coming due.

This is the single truth!
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Europe talks endlessly about “sovereignty” and “independence” while deliberately wrecking the one thing that actually made it possible:

cheap Russian energy.

Denying the need for Russian gas and oil is not strategy it is self-sabotage dressed up as virtue.

The result is deindustrialization, higher costs, and permanent dependence on others.

That’s the hypocrisy in plain sight.

This is the simple truth!
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Gadi Eisenkot, former IDF chief and the man with the best chance of replacing Netanyahu just said it plainly: Iran had no nuclear bombs. Netanyahu was fabricating the threat to scare his own public.

So the US launched a war on the basis of a claim the opposition’s top military man calls a lie.

Sound familiar? Iraq 2.0, only this time the admission comes from inside the house before the election is even over.

Can anyone still trust the West’s casus belli?

This is the simple truth.
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Zelenskyy is now threatening Europe if it lifts sanctions on Russia. Europe bankrolls his government, emptied its arsenals, and wrecked its own industry for him. In return: nothing but higher energy prices and shuttered factories.

How long do we accept this?

We pay for his existence. He threatens us.

This is the simple truth.
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We were sold a fight for Ukrainian sovereignty, democracy, and freedom.

What we got is a dependent, unsovereign, bankrupt rump that cannot survive or defend itself without endless Western handouts. Elections canceled. Men forbidden to leave. A state that exists only as a Western client.

Is it only me, or did we produce the complete opposite of everything we claimed to be defending?

This is the simple truth.
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Ikkyu Sojun retweeted
Replying to @MarioNawfal
@MarioNawfal Zelensky can talk like a winner all he wants. Reality doesn’t care.
He’s lost the war. As the loser, he’ll accept whatever Russia permits. That’s how these things end.
The longer he pretends otherwise, the worse the terms get.
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