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Week 8 CFP Resume Rankings are Live!
LSU and Texas pick up big wins which launch them back into this week's CFP, and Georgia pays the price now just outside of an At Large bid. BYU narrowly edges Utah for a CFP spot as the 4th strongest conference champion.
LSU and Texas pick up big wins which launch them back into this week's CFP, and Georgia pays the price now just outside of an At Large bid. BYU narrowly edges Utah for a CFP spot as the 4th strongest conference champion.
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Notre Dame's raw resume isn't impressive, which means the strength of opponents they beat/lost to are not substantial. Here is ND plus 3 similar raw resumes. Where ND shines is in the quality of play (opponent adjusted) seen through the composite power ratings highlighted below.
@CFPResumeRanks Let’s visualize Notre Dames “resume”
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New graphic alert!
Week 9 Top Games to Watch
Features:
- Raw resume stakes for each team given opponent & location
- Our projected spread (has room for improvement this year)
- The win probability for the favored team
- The quality of the game (strength/closeness)
- TV network
Week 9 Top Games to Watch
Features:
- Raw resume stakes for each team given opponent & location
- Our projected spread (has room for improvement this year)
- The win probability for the favored team
- The quality of the game (strength/closeness)
- TV network
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Not sure what happened on the coloring here, but I’ll get this updated tonight. Something is off, at least on my phone
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Week 8 Conference Strength Ratings
- The Big 12 stalled a bit this week after Texas Tech & BYU suffered upsets
- The Mountain West surge however is in full force, led by New Mexico's emergence in the G6 behind only Boise St and Oregon St
- LSU now the strongest in the SEC 👀
- The Big 12 stalled a bit this week after Texas Tech & BYU suffered upsets
- The Mountain West surge however is in full force, led by New Mexico's emergence in the G6 behind only Boise St and Oregon St
- LSU now the strongest in the SEC 👀
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Week 8's composite team strength rating contributors
Congratulations to all 20 models who contributed on merit to this week's composite ratings!
Congratulations to all 20 models who contributed on merit to this week's composite ratings!
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Full Top 25 Resume Rankings
Alabama neither leads in raw resume, nor team strength, but despite 2 losses continues to hold the best resume. Texas and LSU similarly are undervalued as a result of 2 losses. Meanwhile, no team may be more overvalued than Georgia, who misses the CFP
Alabama neither leads in raw resume, nor team strength, but despite 2 losses continues to hold the best resume. Texas and LSU similarly are undervalued as a result of 2 losses. Meanwhile, no team may be more overvalued than Georgia, who misses the CFP
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The loss for Texas Tech to Cincinnati is especially painful when viewed through the week to week comparison, with TT now well behind the CFP border.
The movement for Texas and LSU are especially pronounced here after each picked up a big win this past weekend.
The movement for Texas and LSU are especially pronounced here after each picked up a big win this past weekend.
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Did We Ball?
Top week 8 teams who balled out:
- Texas
- Illinois
- South Carolina
- UCF
- Cincinnati
Painful losses for the following CFP contenders:
- Oregon (likely no longer a contender)
- Texas Tech
- Iowa (long odds)
- BYU
- Tennessee
Top week 8 teams who balled out:
- Texas
- Illinois
- South Carolina
- UCF
- Cincinnati
Painful losses for the following CFP contenders:
- Oregon (likely no longer a contender)
- Texas Tech
- Iowa (long odds)
- BYU
- Tennessee
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Week 7 Conference Strength Ratings
The Big 12 is coming! The gap to the Big Ten is as tight as it has been in years and closing fast. There is still an elite tier keeping the Big Ten ahead, but we just saw what BYU did to an equivalently rated ND. Look out!
The Big 12 is coming! The gap to the Big Ten is as tight as it has been in years and closing fast. There is still an elite tier keeping the Big Ten ahead, but we just saw what BYU did to an equivalently rated ND. Look out!
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For those wondering if these ratings are any good at representing the season that was played.
2026 YTD thru Wk 8 #CFBPicker backwards-looking recap
@CFPResumeRanks continues to lead all backward-looking models, enjoying a close lead over @slate_fluker & Sagarin.
CFP's magic is SUP & MAE, whereas Slate's model goes an astounding 79.6% ATS. A battle to 👀moving forward.
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👑 for at least one more week retroactively, and again the best representation of the season as it was played (best for resume ranking).
2026 YTD thru Wk 8 #CFBPicker backwards-looking recap
@CFPResumeRanks continues to lead all backward-looking models, enjoying a close lead over @slate_fluker & Sagarin.
CFP's magic is SUP & MAE, whereas Slate's model goes an astounding 79.6% ATS. A battle to 👀moving forward.
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Week 7 Resume Rankings are Live!
Massive upsets have led to bunching at the top with very few securely in the CFP field. Last week's big 3 all lost and have fallen back to the pack. There are 8 teams outside of the cutline who are 1 big win away from the field & no one is safe!
Massive upsets have led to bunching at the top with very few securely in the CFP field. Last week's big 3 all lost and have fallen back to the pack. There are 8 teams outside of the cutline who are 1 big win away from the field & no one is safe!
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Further examining the deltas from last week and the scrunching at the top is obvious given the number of top teams who lost. The power ratings are still hesitant on the Big 12 teams, but the tide is rising steadily for the conference and those at the top!
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I butchered this graphic and didn’t update the CFP boundary lines on the left, so consider that a Freudian slip at where the line might be in a 24 team playoff. I’ll correct it later.
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Week 8 Game Spreads and Projections
Graphic update is in progress, hopefully will complete in time to drop later this week, or maybe next week at worst. In the meantime, enjoy more table information!
Graphic update is in progress, hopefully will complete in time to drop later this week, or maybe next week at worst. In the meantime, enjoy more table information!
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Week 7 rating systems who contributed to our composite.
Splunty continues to perform magnificently on the season, and Whitlock made a season debut in the top 20.
For those who rag on FPI for the perceived biases it shows, it still performs well and earns a spot weekly on merit!
Splunty continues to perform magnificently on the season, and Whitlock made a season debut in the top 20.
For those who rag on FPI for the perceived biases it shows, it still performs well and earns a spot weekly on merit!
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