Some thoughts on what the American midterm elections might mean for AI over the next 1-2 years:
aiandacademia.substack.com/p/the-united-s…
aiandacademia.substack.com/p/the-united-s…
0
2
0
129
How is educational technology changing?
Here's our full conversation with CHLOE report co-directors Richard Garrett and Bethany Simunich, where we explored a lot of questions:
youtu.be/DWgzrt956Fs
Here's our full conversation with CHLOE report co-directors Richard Garrett and Bethany Simunich, where we explored a lot of questions:
youtu.be/DWgzrt956Fs
0
2
5
248
Bryan Alexander retweeted
And so it came to pass that November 4th, 2026, recorded 2.03°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline, tied for the 4th highest anomaly on record.
8
144
437
7,172
"This “planetary stewardship” goes beyond phasing out the burning of fossil fuels to include strengthening forests, peatlands and other natural stores of carbon, along with behavioural changes, technological innovations, new ways of governing, and transforming social values. But derailment risks could undermine the political and social conditions needed to establish any sort of planetary stewardship."
Obvious to the casual observer:
"The name we give to these dynamics is 'derailment risk', the situation where the consequences of climate change makes it harder to deal with the drivers of climate change, and so sustainability efforts end up being derailed."
theconversation.com/the-worse-clim…
2
1
4
266
"The world has now experienced seven days above 2C."
Global temperatures have tied their all-time highest value on record at 2.04C above preindustrial levels (measured as a change from the 1850-1900 period) in the Copernicus/ERA5 dataset. The prior record was set back in November 2023.
The world has now experienced seven days above 2C.
0
0
1
293
JD Vance plays the anti Iran War card:
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
0
0
0
274
I just returned from the day's election shift. Very busy polling, higher numbers than usual. A bunch of first-time voters.
0
0
14
408
It's a weird world.
Take a break from your premature election-night scrolling to appreciate this headline: "Giant eagles once ruled the skies. They snatched human children, and shaped our evolution." bbc.com/future/article…
0
0
2
351
