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Go check out my NHL entry draft rankings. Brand new model for 2026.
BLUE BULLET 2026 NHL ENTRY DRAFT FINAL RANKINGS open.substack.com/pub/bluebullet…
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Breakdown📺: Mike Babcock has the Oilers playing a different brand of hockey - one that has proved successful when it matters most.
Offensively, there's work to be done but defensively, Edmonton is well ahead of schedule...
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Using Hockeystats, Formenton is the 4th best on the PK and is holding the spot for Savoie. The almighty Dennis King is right.
Can’t reply because the almighty Dennis King has me blocked because he doesn’t like to get challenged.

That being said, he’s using NST which is enough said in itself.

Hopefully you’re a little wiser and actually look into the PK goals against.
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Since Mattias Ekholm was traded to the Oilers, the GF/60+/- at 5x5 for the Oilers when he is on the ice with 97,29,&2.

22-23 to 25-26
TOI: 708
GF/60: 5.00
GA/60: 2.12
G+-/60: 2.88
GF%: 70.2

26-27
TOI: 164
GF/60: 4.75
GA/60: 1.46
G+-/60: 3.29
GF%: 76.5
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The Oilers have played 213 minutes at 5x5 w/o McDavid, Murphy, and Michaels.

GF% 60.0 (9-6)
xGF% 49.6
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6,777
Since Oct 2
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Since Oct 2 (min TOI 400)
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In 2022, I brought up 7 players who could go into the HHOF based simply on era-adjusted stats. Since, one has entered the hall every year between 2023-2026.

The only ones left are Zetterberg, Elias, and the nutcase.
HHOF eligible players with 1100+ era adjusted Pts and 0.90+ era adjusted Pts/GP

Turgeon 1315/1.02
Roenick 1228/0.90
Tkachuk 1150/0.96
Elias 1144/0.92
Fleury 1111/1.02

1000+Pts/0.95+Pts/GP

Zetterberg 1069/0.99
Mogilny 1054/1.06
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
The Oilers with Owen Michaels on the ice, last eight games:

- 0 goals for, 5 goals against
- 35 shot attempts for, 86 against
- 12 ozone starts, 10 dzone starts

His PK numbers are also team-worst.

This is low-hanging fruit. There's no shame in a rookie pro needing AHL time.
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
The difference in the Oilers’ game compared to last season is obvious. Less risk, fewer mistakes. And McDavid, Draisaitl and Bouchard playing together whenever possible.
flashscore.com/news/hockey-nh…
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Basically without Michaels, Murphy and McDavid; Oilers are 8-5 in GF-GA
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Not making the jump to the NHL at age 21 is a huge red flag, but not a death sentence. Brad Lambert in Winnipeg is a current example.

Low non-PP scoring in the AHL was the other red flag. AHL PP scoring at 20 is not a significant factor for career NHL games played.
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Oilers 5x5 score adjusted xGF% w/o Murphy

McDavid 65.7
Draisaitl 65.1
Podkolzin 64.9
Frederic 59.5
Hallander 57.3
Kapanen 53.3
Howard 52.1
Jones 51.5
Dach 50.2
Joseph 46.9
RNH 45.9
Formemton 45.5
Dickinson 43.0
Hyman 42.4
Michaels 40.9
Samanski 34.5
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Oilers w/ Murphy and/or Michaels

TOI: 366.9
GF%: 30.8 (8-18)
xGF%: 35.4

Oilers w/o Murphy and Michaels

TOI: 408.9
GF%: 72.5 (29-11)
xGF%: 59.2
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Trend continues with the wingers for Michaels.

w/ Michaels

Joseph 33.0
Formenton 31.7
Frederic 23.9

w/o Michaels

Frederic 48.7
Formenton 44.9
Joseph 43.6
Oilers 5x5 score adjusted xGF% w/o Michaels

Bouchard 63.4
Ekholm 56.3
Shea 55.5
Walman 52.4
Emberson 48.1
Mukhamadullin 45.7
Murphy 40.0

Oilers 5x5 score adjusted xGF% w/ Michaels

Bouchard 57.9
Ekholm 54.6
Walman 31.8
Shea 27.1
Mukhamadullin 26.0
Emberson 24.6
Murphy 24.2
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Oilers 5x5 score adjusted xGF% w/o Michaels

Bouchard 63.4
Ekholm 56.3
Shea 55.5
Walman 52.4
Emberson 48.1
Mukhamadullin 45.7
Murphy 40.0

Oilers 5x5 score adjusted xGF% w/ Michaels

Bouchard 57.9
Ekholm 54.6
Walman 31.8
Shea 27.1
Mukhamadullin 26.0
Emberson 24.6
Murphy 24.2
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Oilers xG+-/60 this season is their 4th best out of their last 20.
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Jason's claim is bogus.
The most overrated publicly available stat is expected goals for and against.

It is stunning how many base a team’s success off of that stat. The public models are not close to accurate.
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Average Percentile Score for Oilers based on Hockeyviz SG, Hockeystatcards Net Rating, and Hockeystats Box WAR
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Evan Bouchard famously finishes seasons with a -
The fact that Moritz Seider or Jaccob Slavin will lose the Norris this year because Evan Bouchard will have 90 points and -24 while playing with the greatest hockey player to ever live
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Calendar 2026

Bouchard 56-22-63-85 +45
Seider 55-3-34-37 +1
Slavin 50-1-11-12 +17
The fact that Moritz Seider or Jaccob Slavin will lose the Norris this year because Evan Bouchard will have 90 points and -24 while playing with the greatest hockey player to ever live
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Replying to @BlueBullet1981
I messed up. It's 84 points and +47
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