Join me for a stelar panel on Brazil's election, Oct 15 12:30pm (Chicago), w/ @OliverStuenkel, @hourly_radio and @NPTO, sponsored by @uchidemocracy and @clacsuchicago.
On campus: events.uchicago.edu/event/281541-b…
Zoom (com legendas em português disponível!): uchicago.zoom.us/j/99876401814?…
On campus: events.uchicago.edu/event/281541-b…
Zoom (com legendas em português disponível!): uchicago.zoom.us/j/99876401814?…
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
.@BigBigBLessing discusses Trump’s approach to the drug war—and argues that conditional repression of cartels would be more effective than blanket crackdowns.
foreignaffairs.com/mexico/how-ame…
foreignaffairs.com/mexico/how-ame…
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I spoke with @folha RE: the shocking expansion of Brazil's prison-based criminal "factions"
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Key takeaways: the CV, PCC, and dozens of copycat factions grew enormously over the last 20 years, as did incarceration, drug interdiction, Police militarization, etc.. Evidence suggests State repression is strengthening, not weakening them.
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Why is state presence so uneven in cities, w gang-rule abutting wealthy zones? We see lmtd. evidence of increasing returns to statebuilding; this may drive "neglect traps"--leaders invest where state already strong. w @cblatts @SantiagoTobon @gusduncan
cup.org/4e4DyCn
cup.org/4e4DyCn
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For ~70-100 million Latin Americans, criminal groups provide order and reduce local crime. Criminal governance is positively correlated with state presence, especially police. Our piece now out in PoP, w Andres Uribe, @noahschouela, & @ElayneStecher.
cambridge.org/core/journals/…
cambridge.org/core/journals/…
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Como o Trump, ironicamente, podia reorientar a falida guerra às drogas. Artigo meu no Globo de hj.
oglobo.globo.com/opiniao/artigo…
oglobo.globo.com/opiniao/artigo…
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Brazilian daily @JornalOGlobo today writes about our recently published paper estimating the extent of criminal governance in Latin America.
The paper is open access: doi.org/10.1017/S15375….
oglobo.globo.com/brasil/noticia…
The paper is open access: doi.org/10.1017/S15375….
oglobo.globo.com/brasil/noticia…
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
One of the least known, most important facts about life in Latin America: most people can turn to police for order & security, but 1 in 6 are also governed by gangs and criminal groups—that’s 77–101 million Latin Americans under some kind of gang rule.
NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!
#Criminal #Governance in #Latin #America: Prevalence and Correlates
By Andres Uribe, @BigBigBLessing, @noahschouela & @ElayneStecher
doi.org/10.1017/S15375…
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How many people live with criminal governance in the Americas? Based on nationally representative survey data, we offer a rough estimate (Spoiler: as many as 100 million). Criminal governance also seems to be systematically correlated with greater, not weaker, state presence.
NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!
#Criminal #Governance in #Latin #America: Prevalence and Correlates
By Andres Uribe, @BigBigBLessing, @noahschouela & @ElayneStecher
doi.org/10.1017/S15375…
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!
#Criminal #Governance in #Latin #America: Prevalence and Correlates
By Andres Uribe, @BigBigBLessing, @noahschouela & @ElayneStecher
doi.org/10.1017/S15375…
#Criminal #Governance in #Latin #America: Prevalence and Correlates
By Andres Uribe, @BigBigBLessing, @noahschouela & @ElayneStecher
doi.org/10.1017/S15375…
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I'm thrilled to be speaking today with the President of Uruguay, Juan Pablo Luna, and Marcelo Sabina, in organized crime in Latin America. Livestream here (en español):
youtube.com/live/HHARDY5Rq…
youtube.com/live/HHARDY5Rq…
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If social scientists learn one thing from 2024, it is that close, as-if-random elections totally suck
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
Focused deterrence “starts with police identifying and meeting the local criminal groups most likely to commit violence”, writes @bigbigblessing. But it “alone won’t solve Latin America’s woes”, explains the political scientist in a guest essay econ.st/3LZlzhv
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Why do crackdowns on drug cartels and gangs only make criminal violence worse? Because they don't create the right incentives. Conditional repression is a better--though harder--approach. My take in @TheEconomist
HT to @AnaLankes for making this happen!
economist.com/by-invitation/…
HT to @AnaLankes for making this happen!
economist.com/by-invitation/…
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I'm excited to be tackling the challenges of #CriminalGovernance tomorrow at @WorldBank 's and @the_IDB 'a #FragilityForum with @joanacmmonteiro, @SantiagoTobon @RSerranoBerthet et al
Criminal governance lies hidden in plain sight, but it's growing andwe ignore it at our peril.
Criminal governance lies hidden in plain sight, but it's growing andwe ignore it at our peril.
Join us on Tuesday, February 27, at 1:30 p.m. ET at the @WorldBank's #FragilityForum to discover how #LatAm and the #Caribbean can respond more effectively to #Crime and #Violence challenges. Don't miss evidence-based strategies to build safer communities! Sign up here: bit.ly/3SSsLiH
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
Join us on Tuesday, February 27, at 1:30 p.m. ET at the @WorldBank's #FragilityForum to discover how #LatAm and the #Caribbean can respond more effectively to #Crime and #Violence challenges. Don't miss evidence-based strategies to build safer communities! Sign up here: bit.ly/3SSsLiH
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Benjamin Lessing retweeted
Join us on February 27 at 1:30 p.m. ET in the #FragilityForum by the @WorldBank to discover how #LatAm and the #Caribbean can respond effectively to the dynamic #Crime and #Violence challenges. Don't miss out on evidence-based strategies to build safer communities!
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