Augus retweeted
Replying to @wenaltseason
Starting with @AugusLSN (@AugurProject) on the difference between prediction markets and gambling:

"In a casino, the house always extracts. In a sportsbook, the odds are negative-EV by design

A real prediction market is an open order book. Nobody inside the protocol has a privileged position over you"

And on whales pushing the odds in their own favour:

"Sure, with enough money you can push 40% to 80%

But lying to a prediction market means putting your money on the table for everyone else to take"
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Meritocracies are a beautiful thing
🎙️ "Crypto is a Swiss Army knife for freedom: it's decentralized, permissionless, trustless."

That's how Phill ( @AugusLSN ), co-founder of the Lituus Foundation and steward of @AugurProject, frames the cypherpunk case for crypto

Hear why this DevNTell clip 👀
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Augus retweeted
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Augus retweeted
DevNTell - @AugurProject: The Decentralized Layer for Prediction Markets feat. @AugusLSN | Host: @narb_s x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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Augus retweeted
We’re glad to share this one.

@krakenfx has been one of Augur’s longest-standing exchange partners, including during its hibernation.

We’re grateful for their support of REP holders and for their broader commitment to decentralized, open-source software. The space could use ers on Kraken are covered. You don’t have to do anything. The migration will happen automatically on their end.

support.kraken.com/articles/augur…
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Augus retweeted
For the first time since launching 10 years ago --
Augur has forked!
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There should be an l2beat but for oracles. Let's see what stage everyone is.
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Who are you trusting to resolve your prediction markets?

The team? Few Token Whales? Some security council?

You should instead trust in the open market. Thats Augur.
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Augus retweeted
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Augus retweeted
GM. Lituus Labs is proposing a new Augur.

A modular, cross-chain oracle — open to any use case, not just prediction markets.

Pay a fee. Ask a question. Get decentralized truth.

Read the proposal and share your thoughts 👇
medium.com/@lituusfoundat…
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We're seeking community input on triggering and testing Augur's algorithmic fork - a unique opportunity to strengthen oracle security and showcase the codified social defense system.

This impacts REP holders, who would migrate within 6 month to avoid a burn, reducing supply.
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Augus retweeted
gm. Augur is Back.

The Lituus Foundation is reviving Augur, the pioneering decentralized oracle that brought crypto prediction markets to life.

Augur’s oracle ensures economic security with a decentralized system of incentives. $REP holders compete in a permissionless, me where honesty is the most profitable action.

As prediction markets scale into the billions, the risks of censorship and manipulation grow. Augur solves this with a specialized, immutable oracle—free from corruptible councils or emergency backstops. Without it, the potential of prediction markets to deliver unbiased information remains limited.

Two development teams are leading the charge:

Lituus Labs(@AugusLSN): Will apply new technology and learnings to modernize and improve the oracle, starting with exploring a low-fee L2 deployment.

Dark Florists(@MicahZoltu): Committed to building censorship-resistant prediction tools on Ethereum Mainnet, their first initiative will be an AMM-like streamlining of the trading experience.

We invite developers, thinkers, and contributors to join us on this journey. Let’s shape the future of informational finance together — decentralized, permissionless, and unstoppable.

Come join the discord and get involved!
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My personal Turing test for AI would be a solution for one of the Millennium Prize Problems.

Undeniably net-new content, solve P=NP and change the world.
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Had ChatGPT analyze last year of stock data to determine the best strategy.
It told me to place a market buy on VIX at 2:13PM EST every Wednesday.
Sharpe of 6.9, I'm gonna be rich!
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I lend money to Bob, Bob lends the money to Alice, Alice loses the money, and now Bob can't make me whole.

Whose fault, and who's on the hook?
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"When you do things right, people won't be sure you've done anything at all."
Be nice to people without expecting anything in return
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#PoS is a more significant net benefit to society and the right way forward.

However, #Ethereum #Flippening impact on miners whose lives will be uprooted deserves consideration.

Is this their reward for fidelity?
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Is #cryptocurrency moving away from #decentralization as a core tenet?
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What kind of a brokerage policy allows short selling valued at multiples of daily volume? @FTX_Official

The #CelShortSqueeze strategy will work for any illiquid coins that have a high short float.

The retail gains may be temporary, but the losses for shorters are permanent.
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