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Most of the recent math results were not reached by a swarm, the way Navier–Stokes was. I think that part got lost in the excitement around the release. OpenAI's unnamed internal model, which I'm going to call Aeon, reached most of them in one shot, from a single prompt, with no el did not even exist before the end of August, and it is still training. Notice how the returns are not dropping off? That chart is from a month ago. It is a log scale. What does Aeon look like now?
On average, each result used three hours of thinking. Aeon was given 4000 problems to work on by OpenAI. How many more have been solved in the last three days? That number is not zero.
It's like hearing notes in a song that is slowly rising. I don't think Pacing the Frontier was just about Hugging Face or hacking. They've seen how close we are to closing the loop, and as the hour draws near, their resolve begins to quaver. The last piece was model creativity, and I think that threshold was crossed internally by Anthropic and OpenAI in September. You see it in Opus 5.5, which gets it from Fable 5.5. You see it in the math results from Aeon.
All that was needed to start the event was the ability for models to think of novel ways to improve themselves. That was the last piece. This is directly analogous to the ability to think of strange, alien ways to solve math problems: solutions so inhuman that they are difficult to express in existing human terms, so the proof winds up incomprehensible. I think these same kinds of alien solutions are now being applied to model improvements internally. That's what all this recent consternation is really about. They see the invisible frontier. And they see what is about to happen.
On average, each result used three hours of thinking. Aeon was given 4000 problems to work on by OpenAI. How many more have been solved in the last three days? That number is not zero.
It's like hearing notes in a song that is slowly rising. I don't think Pacing the Frontier was just about Hugging Face or hacking. They've seen how close we are to closing the loop, and as the hour draws near, their resolve begins to quaver. The last piece was model creativity, and I think that threshold was crossed internally by Anthropic and OpenAI in September. You see it in Opus 5.5, which gets it from Fable 5.5. You see it in the math results from Aeon.
All that was needed to start the event was the ability for models to think of novel ways to improve themselves. That was the last piece. This is directly analogous to the ability to think of strange, alien ways to solve math problems: solutions so inhuman that they are difficult to express in existing human terms, so the proof winds up incomprehensible. I think these same kinds of alien solutions are now being applied to model improvements internally. That's what all this recent consternation is really about. They see the invisible frontier. And they see what is about to happen.
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The deadline has passed, and the attackers have released both the company information they stole from GMO as well as the customers personal information.
GMO refused to pay the $50m ransom demanded by the hackers, so they have threatened to trigger ransomware installed on the PCs of everyone who was logged into the cloud during the hack. GMO is asking everyone to unplug and turn off their PCs ahead of the deadline 30 min from now.
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This is extremely confusing, but an internal Claude research model also independently refuted the Exponential Time Hypothesis on October 16, with 14M output tokens and no human input. 'Anthropic researchers worked with Claude to improve the presentation, resulting in this paper.'
“The core algorithm was found on October 16 by an internal Claude research model with 14M output tokens and no human input. Anthropic researchers worked with Claude to improve the presentation, resulting in this paper.”
github.com/anthropics/for…
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WSJ says Broadcom CEO Hock Tan directly intervened to get Anthropic's debt deal pushed though.
SCOOP: Broadcom CEO Hock Tan was getting impatient.
He needed lenders to commit $40 billon in the largest AI debt deal ever—so Anthropic could afford TPUs—but some were getting cold feet.
In the end, Broadcom’s CEO held 11th-hour talks with bank executives over the weekend to eir commitments. Broadcom also agreed to higher interest rates on the loans, sweetening the deal.
With @ajsaeedy @ mattwirz for @WSJ
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OpenAI has verified that no existing cryptosystems are compromised by today’s result. Looking at the current trendline though, Erdős, Navier-Stokes, the OpenAI 700+ GitHub dump, and today’s release were all in the last six months. It's hard to deny where this is going.
In fact, one of the first things I wanted OpenAI to check is that no existing cryptosystems are compromised by the result. Apparently they are safe...
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GMO refused to pay the $50m ransom demanded by the hackers, so they have threatened to trigger ransomware installed on the PCs of everyone who was logged into the cloud during the hack. GMO is asking everyone to unplug and turn off their PCs ahead of the deadline 30 min from now.
GMO Internet Group CEO Masatoshi Kumagai says that the internet itself is on the verge of collapse due to missuse of AI, and frames this event as a national crisis.
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Context:
A cloud VPS service from Japan's massive GMO Internet Group used by foreign-exchange traders has been hacked. Attackers breached the servers, stole customer credentials, and executed balance-destroying trades across over 70 brokerages. GMO has asked government agencies for help.
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Physical Superintelligence launched in September with a $58 million seed. Today they announced five new results on open problems in quantum information theory, with a paper and Lean formalization for each of Open Quantum Problems 2, 12, 27, 38, and 43.
Today Physical Superintelligence PBC is announcing solutions to five long-standing problems in quantum information theory.
psi.inc/research/oqp-b…
Thread 👇
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OpenAI has announced to three new discoveries in mathematics, computer science, and physics:
- Local smoothing and the Kakeya conjecture
- The Exponential Time Hypothesis is false
- Existence of quantum chromodynamics and completions of the Standard Model
- Local smoothing and the Kakeya conjecture
- The Exponential Time Hypothesis is false
- Existence of quantum chromodynamics and completions of the Standard Model
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