Shohei Ohtani was worth 13.5 era-adjusted bWAR in 2022
Version 3.2 of our Era-Adjusted Baseball Stats is now live!
eckeraadjustment.web.illinois.edu
Some of the best baseball in history is being played right now. Take a look!
Version notes:
- Stats are now up-to-date through 2026.
- Talent pool version 3.0 remains the latest version.
- The fullhouse R package will be updated to include the new stats.
- Digressions document version 3.1 is still the latest, but its stats are outdated. I may update it eventually, but don't hold your breath.
@PaulHembo @BaseballWRLD_ @JessicaDBrand @AlexDevMLB @GoBirdinals
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717
Every outfielder with >45.0 WAR, an MVP, and a World Series ring
HOFers:
Babe Ruth
Willie Mays
Hank Aaron
Stan Musial
Tris Speaker
Mickey Mantle
Frank Robinson
Rickey Henderson
Roberto Clemente
Joe DiMaggio
Reggie Jackson
Willie Stargell
Joe Medwick
Non-HOFers:
Pete Rose
Mookie Betts
Christian Yelich
Really makes you think
HOFers:
Babe Ruth
Willie Mays
Hank Aaron
Stan Musial
Tris Speaker
Mickey Mantle
Frank Robinson
Rickey Henderson
Roberto Clemente
Joe DiMaggio
Reggie Jackson
Willie Stargell
Joe Medwick
Non-HOFers:
Pete Rose
Mookie Betts
Christian Yelich
Really makes you think
Traded in 2018
2018 NL MVP
Captain
2026 World Series champion
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30
554
72,073
Hunter Goodman has accumulated 4.5 WAR in his 4-year MLB career (per FanGraphs)
This makes him the most valuable catcher in Rockies history, surpassing Chris Iannetta’s 4.2 WAR
This makes him the most valuable catcher in Rockies history, surpassing Chris Iannetta’s 4.2 WAR
Hunter Goodman is on pace for 41 home runs this season.
Season Stats:
39 HR | 82 RBI
.245 AVG | .312 OBP | .840 OPS
Pace: 41 HR | 86 RBI
#Rockies
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45
3,031
2026 is the second season in 135 years were 7+ of the top-11 players in WAR are pitchers or two-way players (per FanGraphs)
Removing Ohtani, we have 6 pitchers in the top 11 in fWAR
I can't remember the last time we had more pitchers than nonpitchers in the top 11
Indeed, I will just say, without any research at all: that has never happened!
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36
7,623
The only World Series champions in the last decade without a 110 wRC+ was the 2019 Nationals
They had a 104 wRC+, led MLB in starting pitcher WAR, and were top-5 in both position player WAR and pitcher WAR
They had a 104 wRC+, led MLB in starting pitcher WAR, and were top-5 in both position player WAR and pitcher WAR
@AlexDevMLB Who is the one without a 110? And what was the #?
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22
1,744
8 of the last 9 World Series champions had a team wRC+ over 110
The only team in 2026 with a 110 wRC+ of higher is the Chicago Cubs
The only team in 2026 with a 110 wRC+ of higher is the Chicago Cubs
@pamsson I do not believe a sub-100 wRC+ team has won a World Series in the last decade
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102
9,579
Cal Raleigh and Taylor Ward have seen their ISOs drop over 150 points from 2025 to 2026
Both are among the 20 biggest power decreases in MLB history
Both are among the 20 biggest power decreases in MLB history
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20
4,547
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s MLB ranks:
2nd in Batting Value
1st in Defense Value
5th in Baserunning Value
This is the most well-rounded season by a position player in 116 years
2nd in Batting Value
1st in Defense Value
5th in Baserunning Value
This is the most well-rounded season by a position player in 116 years
In 1991, Cal Ripken Jr was 2nd in OFF (way behind Frank Thomas), 1st in DEF
1948: Lou Boudreau 3rd/1st
1954: Willie Mays 3rd/2nd
1984: Ripken again 5th/1st
1951: Jackie 4th/2nd
1959: Ernie Banks 6th/1st
1974: Schmidt 2nd/5th
2004: Beltre 8th/1st
1990: Bonds/Dykstra 2-7/7-2
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31,294
Sonny Gray will get Cy Young votes in his 1st year with BOS. He will have received Cy Young votes with four unique franchises (OAK/CIN/MIN)
Gray will become the 6th player with CY votes on four franchises, joining
Roger Clemens
Kevin Brown
Bartolo Colon
David Cone*
Cliff Lee*
Gray will become the 6th player with CY votes on four franchises, joining
Roger Clemens
Kevin Brown
Bartolo Colon
David Cone*
Cliff Lee*
Cy Young Predictor
Will only 5 AL pitchers place on ALL 30 ballots?
Seems insane to think so. Using ERA, ERA+FIP, Cy Classic, or Cy FIP-Augmented, its the same five names
FIP-only gives some hope to knock out Sonny Gray on a ballot or two maybe. Maybe a reliever will get some
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Cone and Lee have asterisks because their “fourth franchise” saw them get CY votes after a mid-season trade, being 1995 TOR and 2010 SEA
Colon’s fourth is similarly a mid-season trade, but his 2002 MON votes are fully a single franchise as it was an inter-league trade with CLE
Colon’s fourth is similarly a mid-season trade, but his 2002 MON votes are fully a single franchise as it was an inter-league trade with CLE
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171
Most IP by relievers in MLB history:
2026, 18313.3 (on pace)
2019, 18265.2
Most wins by RPs:
2021, 1083
2026, 1029 (on pace)
Best W-L% by RPs:
2021, .550
2024, .543
2026, .541
Lowest AVG against by RPs:
2022, .233
1968, .234
2024, .234
2021, .235
2026, .237
2026, 18313.3 (on pace)
2019, 18265.2
Most wins by RPs:
2021, 1083
2026, 1029 (on pace)
Best W-L% by RPs:
2021, .550
2024, .543
2026, .541
Lowest AVG against by RPs:
2022, .233
1968, .234
2024, .234
2021, .235
2026, .237
That must explain why we see so many guys
• winning 20 games a year
• striking out 300 batters a year
• throwing so many complete games
And so few position player pitching appearances! Who needs a backup catcher throwing 40 mph poo-poo when the game is better than ever!
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4,036
1. PHI’s stadium is 0.54 runs/9 more hitter-friendly than MIL (1.5 WAR)
2. PHI’s defense is 0.42 runs/9 worse than MIL (1.1 WAR)
3. Sanchez has thrown 20.1 more IP (0.2 WAR)
4. Sanchez has faced tougher teams. His 2026 opponents average 0.07 runs/9 more than Miz’s (0.2 WAR)
2. PHI’s defense is 0.42 runs/9 worse than MIL (1.1 WAR)
3. Sanchez has thrown 20.1 more IP (0.2 WAR)
4. Sanchez has faced tougher teams. His 2026 opponents average 0.07 runs/9 more than Miz’s (0.2 WAR)
Can someone nerdier than me explain this? How does 20 more innings with a lower era+ equate to 2.3 more bWAR?
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It’s worth noting that Baseball Reference WAR is based on RA9 rather than ERA. Sanchez has allowed 6 unearned runs to Misiorowski’s 8, making their RA9 difference of 0.38 (2.82 vs 2.44) smaller than their ERA difference of 0.55 (2.52 vs 1.97)
Miz gets 0.8 WAR from his RA9 lead
Miz gets 0.8 WAR from his RA9 lead
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119
JJ Wetherholt has a 104 wRC+. If he were to win ROTY, it would be the lowest wRC+ by a ROTY hitter since 2004 Crosby (23rd-lowest ever)
Sal Stewart has a 122 wRC+. If he were to win ROTY, it would be the lowest wRC+ by a ROTY first baseman since 1992 Karros (4th-lowest ever)
Sal Stewart has a 122 wRC+. If he were to win ROTY, it would be the lowest wRC+ by a ROTY first baseman since 1992 Karros (4th-lowest ever)
@AlexDevMLB @BryanSchmidt22 @QuinnSTLCards Any lately? It’s ok for us to say JJ had a great season but give credit and props to the opponent. Sal should take it at this point.
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There are three spans of 4+ years where the WAR leader won MVP each year:
AL 2021-25 (Ohtani/Judge/Ohtani/Judge/Judge)
NL 2012-16 (Posey/McCutchen/Kershaw/Harper/Bryant)
NL 2001-04 (Bonds/Bonds/Bonds/Bonds)
NL 2023-26 could join that company
AL 2021-25 (Ohtani/Judge/Ohtani/Judge/Judge)
NL 2012-16 (Posey/McCutchen/Kershaw/Harper/Bryant)
NL 2001-04 (Bonds/Bonds/Bonds/Bonds)
NL 2023-26 could join that company
I often here the trope "The MVP isn't the WAR award" but in reality, over the last decade, that's exactly what it's become.
Voters have gotten extremely good at picking the MVP and it often aligns with WAR. Here's the numbers since 2016:
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