“The stable and open international order erected during America’s watch—Pax Americana—is unraveling, giving way to global disarray,” argues expert @CharlesKupchan.

In his new book, Bringing Order to Anarchy: Governing the World to Come, Kupchan lays out a guide for building a new order fit for the emerging multipolar world. Learn more: cfr.org/books/bringing…

“The stable and open international order erected during America's watch—Pax Americana—is unraveling, giving way to global disarray,” argues expert @CharlesKupchan.

In his new book, Bringing Order to Anarchy: Governing the World to Come, Kupchan lays out a guide for building a new order fit for the emerging multipolar world. Learn more: cfr.org/books/bringing…

This year's UN climate summit, COP31, kicks off in Turkey on November 9 with the world on track to miss climate targets—and governments grappling with the consequences of climate change.

Three think tank experts in the United States, Canada, and South Africa analyze the status n and what we can expect from international cooperation going forward: cfr.org/articles/cop31…

"Despite being the world’s two largest democracies, the United States and India have often been at odds over issues of strategic autonomy and Western-dominated rules and institutions. The end of the Cold War presented the two with a window for rapprochement, and while the rogressed, India largely remained a reluctant participant in the U.S.-led global order," writes expert Manjari Chatterjee Miller in a CFR report.

Under President Trump, the United States has "turned on the norms that it had (at least nominally) championed, such as free trade and multilateralism." This transition period poses a host of challenges—and a few opportunities for collaboration—between the two countries, Miller argues.

Read her analysis: cfr.org/reports/india-…

“Eighty-eight percent of voters were concerned about corruption—but I don’t think you can walk in day one and cry impeachment. You actually have to deliver results,” says Sabrina Singh, former deputy Pentagon press secretary under President Joe Biden. Singh examines whether newly eliver on their anticorruption promises following midterm victories.

Watch the full conversation: youtube.com/watch?v=v0Ih7R…

The day after the U.S. midterms, equities rallied on relief that the election results were clear-cut. But as investors digested the implications of the election results, equity markets turned sharply lower.

“In particular, the outlook for companies tied to artificial into doubt, given a wave of local ballot measures across ten states—nearly all of which backed data center restrictions—and the success of Democratic candidates who campaigned against data center expansion,” writes expert Rebecca Patterson.

“This U.S. equity volatility has quickly spread to other asset classes and markets around the world,” she writes. “Perhaps unsurprisingly, these gyrations are fueling worries that the so-called AI bubble could soon pop.”

The volatility “is a stark reminder that politicians and policymakers should watch financial markets and economic trends, and that investors should watch politics and policy. They are all interconnected,” Patterson writes.

Read the full analysis: cfr.org/articles/the-m…

“This week’s results demonstrate what happens when foreign policy meets the kitchen table,” writes CFR’s president @MikeFroman on the midterm elections. “Affordability was front and center in voters’ minds, and they linked that to the Iran war and tariffs.”

Read his analysis of the results of the midterm elections and why it matters for foreign policy: cfr.org/articles/in-th…

The U.S. midterm election brought a massive shift in Congress's composition. @CFR_org's @spsaki, @YanzhongHuang, @ProfYadav, and @TomBollyky give their reflections on what this could mean for domestic and global health policy as well as research. thinkglobalhealth.org/article/expert…

"Voters in 29 jurisdictions . . . passed bans or at least restrictions on data center construction," notes Rebecca Patterson, host of The Spillover, pointing to signs of backlash against AI and data centers that emerged in the midterm elections. Patterson and Diane Swonk, chief uss the dynamics of the backlash and how it could affect U.S. economic growth moving forward.

Watch or listen to the latest episode of The Spillover here or wherever you get your podcasts: youtu.be/AtLcdBfnGN0?si…

What do the U.S. midterm results mean for global health? CFR experts weigh in: Democratic control of Congress means more oversight of funding and the America First Global Health Strategy, possible partial USAID restoration, continued bipartisan focus on competing with China in biopharma/supply chains, and groundwork for future engagement—without immediate reversals. Read the analysis:
thinkglobalhealth.org/article/expert…

Following the Democratic Party’s sweep of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate, Asian leaders have said little publicly—but in private "many are relieved," writes expert @JoshKurlantzick.

Asian partners and allies hope that President Trump’s decision-making on the Iran redictable,” he writes. “Some think he could even move more quickly toward winding down the war, which has roiled Asian energy markets—Asia relies more on oil and liquefied natural gas from the Persian Gulf than any other part of the world."

But Trump "is nothing if not unpredictable,” he adds. “Asian leaders will find out fairly quickly—on many levels—whether their hopes for improved relations with the United States are reality or fantasy.”

President Trump is scheduled to arrive in Manila on November 16 for the summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and related meetings. “By then, he could well have . . . renewed attacks on Iran,” Kurlantzick writes.

“Such a move would be profoundly dangerous militarily for the United States, which is already low on many munitions. But diplomatically, it would also all but seal the United States’ long-term unpopularity in Asia.”

Read the full analysis: cfr.org/articles/they-…

Representatives from around the world will gather in Antalya, Turkey, for this year's UN climate summit.

COP31, which is taking place from November 9 to 20, "is notable for two reasons," write expert Alice C. Hill and Angus Soderberg.

"First, it coincides with the tenth s Agreement entering into force; and second, the United States—the world’s second-largest and historically biggest emitter, which formally withdrew from the agreement at the start of this year—will not send an official delegation."

The summit faces mounting pressure to accelerate climate action and deliver on implementation, as projections indicate that the world will overshoot the 1.5°C (2.7°F) global warming threshold.

“COP31 isn’t expected to be characterized by one big outcome or breakthrough. But that nations continue to convene in this formal channel shows that climate action and the hope for a better future that it portends is not going away.”

Read more: cfr.org/articles/cop31…

Our Global Conflict Tracker traces ongoing armed conflicts around the world. It includes background information, the latest news developments, conflict status assessments, and resources for further research—all updated regularly.

Use the interactive tool to learn more: cfr.org/global-conflic…

“We’ve had thirteen months in a row where average hourly earnings have fallen short of the overall inflation number. There’s only three times in history we’ve seen that,” says Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG, in conversation with Rebecca Patterson on The Spillover podcast. e inflation to cancer, noting that “the later you catch it, the more it metastasizes.”

Watch the latest episode of The Spillover here or wherever you get your podcasts: youtu.be/AtLcdBfnGN0?si…

RT @dhume: Since the 1950s, India has tried unsuccessfully to establish a semiconductor industry. Will the current effort have better luck?…

While the Trump administration has attempted to seize the realist mantle, claiming that its foreign policy is one of “flexible realism,” it has misread core elements of the theory. I explain in @ForeignAffairs with a close reading of Hans Morgenthau’s writings.

“It’s conventional wisdom that you can’t win an election on foreign policy, but you certainly can lose one,” says CFR President @MikeFroman, noting that “in this election, Americans were clearly very focused on affordability. And they linked affordability to the Iran war and to oman explains what the resulting shake-up in Congress could mean for U.S. foreign policy going forward.

“The optimism of the early post–Cold War years seems like a distant memory. . . . Instead, great power competition has returned with a vengeance,” writes expert @JamesMLindsay.

“The world today displays troubling similarities to the years before World War I,” he writes. In d far-fetched as the year began became a horrifying reality just eight months later. Nothing has changed in the human psyche and governmental decision-making since then to prevent leaders from making similar mistakes today.”

Read his analysis: cfr.org/articles/the-r…

@JamesMLindsaywhat history tells us about the dangers of great power competition, Lindsay sat down with Odd Arne Westad, a professor of history and global affairs at Yale University, on the latest episode of The President’s Inbox podcast.

Listen here or wherever you get your podcasts: cfr.org/podcasts/presi…